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← Asked when an AI could build a billion-dollar business on its own: AGI has already arrived.
17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 5 Nov 2019 to 2 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under AI alignment
AI alignment
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs
Everything filed under measuring intelligence
measuring intelligence
Everything filed under ARC-AGI
ARC-AGI Cannot both be true Cannot both be true In tension Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Asked when an AI could build a billion-dollar business on its own: AGI has already arrived. Asked when an AI could build a billion-dollar business on its own: AGI has already arrived. Last stated 7 months ago
23 Mar 2026
JH
Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-03-23 — tap for who they are
Cannot both be true: AGI worth the name would combine human adaptiveness with machine reliability, not reproduce human performance including human failures. — tap to centre the map on it AGI worth the name would combine human adaptiveness with machine reliability, not reproduce human performance including human failures. Last stated a year ago
7 Jun 2025
GM
Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are
Cannot both be true: Passing ARC-AGI does not amount to achieving AGI: o3 still fails on some very easy tasks, indicating fundamental differences from human intelligence. — tap to centre the map on it Passing ARC-AGI does not amount to achieving AGI: o3 still fails on some very easy tasks, indicating fundamental differences from human intelligence. Last stated 2 years ago
20 Dec 2024
FC
François Chollet — holds since 2024-12-20 — tap for who they are
In tension: There is a 25% chance of AGI by 2027, a 50% chance by 2034, and a 75% chance by 2045 — tap to centre the map on it There is a 25% chance of AGI by 2027, a 50% chance by 2034, and a 75% chance by 2045 Last stated 4 months ago
11 Jun 2026
SA
Scott Alexander — holds since 2026-06-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. Last stated 5 months ago
4 Jun 2026
AI
Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean. — tap to centre the map on it A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean. Last stated 11 months ago
25 Nov 2025
IS
Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. — tap to centre the map on it A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. Last stated a year ago
7 Jun 2025
GM
Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that. — tap to centre the map on it A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that. Last stated 5 months ago
4 Jun 2026
PT
Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A strong track record in a technical field is only weak evidence that someone has good strategic judgment about AGI. — tap to centre the map on it A strong track record in a technical field is only weak evidence that someone has good strategic judgment about AGI. Last stated 2 years ago
22 Mar 2025
NN
Neel Nanda — holds since 2025-03-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A true artificial general intelligence cannot exist without being recognized as a moral subject. — tap to centre the map on it A true artificial general intelligence cannot exist without being recognized as a moral subject. Last stated a year ago
10 Jun 2025
SH
Samuel Hammond — holds since 2025-06-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AGI is not a finish line to be crossed but a smear with width, and we are already standing on it. — tap to centre the map on it AGI is not a finish line to be crossed but a smear with width, and we are already standing on it. Last stated 2 months ago
3 Sept 2026
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AGI might create a two-tier split in society — tap to centre the map on it AGI might create a two-tier split in society Last stated 3 weeks ago
2 Oct 2026
PL
Pieter Levels — holds since 2026-10-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve. — tap to centre the map on it A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve. Last stated a month ago
15 Sept 2026
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Being able to statistically predict what someone will say does not mean you understand them. — tap to centre the map on it Being able to statistically predict what someone will say does not mean you understand them. Last stated a month ago
18 Sept 2026
CD
Cory Doctorow — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect. — tap to centre the map on it Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect. Last stated 7 years ago
5 Nov 2019
FC
François Chollet — holds since 2019-11-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. Last stated 10 months ago
1 Jan 2026
JL
Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. Last stated 3 months ago
15 Jul 2026
DH
Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. — tap to centre the map on it A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. Last stated a month ago
17 Sept 2026
PC
Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Asked when an AI could build a billion-dollar business on its own: AGI has already arrived.
Holds Read this korrent →
AGI worth the name would combine human adaptiveness with machine reliability, not reproduce human performance including human failures.
Holds
Passing ARC-AGI does not amount to achieving AGI: o3 still fails on some very easy tasks, indicating fundamental differences from human intelligence.
Holds
There is a 25% chance of AGI by 2027, a 50% chance by 2034, and a 75% chance by 2045
Holds
A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated.
Holds
A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean.
Holds
A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted.
Holds
A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that.
Holds
A strong track record in a technical field is only weak evidence that someone has good strategic judgment about AGI.
Holds
A true artificial general intelligence cannot exist without being recognized as a moral subject.
Holds
AGI is not a finish line to be crossed but a smear with width, and we are already standing on it.
Holds
AGI might create a two-tier split in society
Holds
A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve.
Holds
Being able to statistically predict what someone will say does not mean you understand them.
Holds
Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect.
Holds
A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI.
Holds
A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to.
Holds
A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls.
Holds