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← AI will roughly double US GDP growth next year from about 2% to about 4%, and possibly more.
17 connected korrents · 17 moments on record from 7 Dec 2024 to 18 Sept 2026.
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America
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AI and jobs Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: AI will roughly double US GDP growth next year from about 2% to about 4%, and possibly more. AI will roughly double US GDP growth next year from about 2% to about 4%, and possibly more. Last stated yesterday
18 Sept 2026
EM
Elon Musk — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI and robots will more than double the global economy in less than ten years. — tap to centre the map on it AI and robots will more than double the global economy in less than ten years. Last stated a week ago
9 Sept 2026
EM
Elon Musk — holds since 2026-09-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: World GDP growth is certain to accelerate, and the share of GDP spent on computation will be a hundred times what it was, because a computer is now a factory rather than a warehouse. — tap to centre the map on it World GDP growth is certain to accelerate, and the share of GDP spent on computation will be a hundred times what it was, because a computer is now a factory rather than a warehouse. Last stated 6 months ago
23 Mar 2026
JH
Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-03-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it. — tap to centre the map on it We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it. Last stated 11 months ago
17 Oct 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The rest of people's lives will mostly revolve around AI, yet economic growth will still be about 1.5%. — tap to centre the map on it The rest of people's lives will mostly revolve around AI, yet economic growth will still be about 1.5%. Last stated 3 days ago
16 Sept 2026
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Broad deployment of AI that can learn on the job will very likely produce rapid economic growth for some period of time. — tap to centre the map on it Broad deployment of AI that can learn on the job will very likely produce rapid economic growth for some period of time. Last stated 10 months ago
25 Nov 2025
IS
Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The real danger in AI-driven growth is geographic: 50% growth in and around Silicon Valley and business as usual everywhere else. — tap to centre the map on it The real danger in AI-driven growth is geographic: 50% growth in and around Silicon Valley and business as usual everywhere else. Last stated 7 months ago
13 Feb 2026
DA
Dario Amodei — holds since 2026-02-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There is roughly a 35 to 40 percent chance of something we would recognise as an AI takeover by 2040. — tap to centre the map on it There is roughly a 35 to 40 percent chance of something we would recognise as an AI takeover by 2040. Last stated a month ago
11 Aug 2026
RG
Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI research will be fully automated around 2030 or 2031, and AI will beat humans at essentially any job by about 2033. — tap to centre the map on it AI research will be fully automated around 2030 or 2031, and AI will beat humans at essentially any job by about 2033. Last stated a month ago
11 Aug 2026
RG
Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. — tap to centre the map on it A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. Last stated a month ago
18 Aug 2026
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-10-31 — tap for who they are
EB
Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A city's first rail line comes in at a reasonable cost and every line after it does not, because the follow-up outgrows the in-house team that oversaw the pilot. — tap to centre the map on it A city's first rail line comes in at a reasonable cost and every line after it does not, because the follow-up outgrows the in-house team that oversaw the pilot. Last stated 2 years ago
7 Dec 2024
AL
Alon Levy — holds since 2024-12-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country cannot have radical technological breakthroughs and also refuse to tolerate uncomfortably rich people, because the financial system it resents is what funds the innovation. — tap to centre the map on it A country cannot have radical technological breakthroughs and also refuse to tolerate uncomfortably rich people, because the financial system it resents is what funds the innovation. Last stated a year ago
13 Aug 2025
KJ
Keyu Jin — holds since 2025-08-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A large, sustained AI capability lead by either the US or China could shift the global balance of power between them. — tap to centre the map on it A large, sustained AI capability lead by either the US or China could shift the global balance of power between them. Last stated 2 weeks ago
5 Sept 2026
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Almost nobody in America is paying attention to the space race with China, and a Chinese landing at the lunar south pole will change that. — tap to centre the map on it Almost nobody in America is paying attention to the space race with China, and a Chinese landing at the lunar south pole will change that. Last stated a month ago
18 Aug 2026
EB
Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: America cannot simply copy China's manufacturing methods, because which technology is correct depends on the local price of labour. — tap to centre the map on it America cannot simply copy China's manufacturing methods, because which technology is correct depends on the local price of labour. Last stated 7 months ago
12 Feb 2026
AV
Austin Vernon — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country's large trade deficit in manufactured goods reduces its manufacturing employment below what it would be with balanced trade. — tap to centre the map on it A country's large trade deficit in manufactured goods reduces its manufacturing employment below what it would be with balanced trade. Last stated 2 weeks ago
7 Sept 2026
PK
Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Rebuilding American manufacturing is a decades-long educational and cultural project, not something tariffs can do. — tap to centre the map on it Rebuilding American manufacturing is a decades-long educational and cultural project, not something tariffs can do. Last stated 9 months ago
25 Dec 2025
MH
Molson Hart — holds since 2025-12-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Tariff revenue is real but far too small to make a dent in the American deficit. — tap to centre the map on it Tariff revenue is real but far too small to make a dent in the American deficit. Last stated 7 months ago
24 Feb 2026
PK
Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-02-24 — tap for who they are
At the centre
AI will roughly double US GDP growth next year from about 2% to about 4%, and possibly more.
Holds Read this korrent →
AI and robots will more than double the global economy in less than ten years.
Holds
World GDP growth is certain to accelerate, and the share of GDP spent on computation will be a hundred times what it was, because a computer is now a factory rather than a warehouse.
Holds
We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it.
Holds
The rest of people's lives will mostly revolve around AI, yet economic growth will still be about 1.5%.
Holds
Broad deployment of AI that can learn on the job will very likely produce rapid economic growth for some period of time.
Holds
The real danger in AI-driven growth is geographic: 50% growth in and around Silicon Valley and business as usual everywhere else.
Holds
There is roughly a 35 to 40 percent chance of something we would recognise as an AI takeover by 2040.
Holds
AI research will be fully automated around 2030 or 2031, and AI will beat humans at essentially any job by about 2033.
Holds
A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world.
Holds
A city's first rail line comes in at a reasonable cost and every line after it does not, because the follow-up outgrows the in-house team that oversaw the pilot.
Holds
A country cannot have radical technological breakthroughs and also refuse to tolerate uncomfortably rich people, because the financial system it resents is what funds the innovation.
Holds
A large, sustained AI capability lead by either the US or China could shift the global balance of power between them.
Holds
Almost nobody in America is paying attention to the space race with China, and a Chinese landing at the lunar south pole will change that.
Holds
America cannot simply copy China's manufacturing methods, because which technology is correct depends on the local price of labour.
Holds
A country's large trade deficit in manufactured goods reduces its manufacturing employment below what it would be with balanced trade.
Holds
Rebuilding American manufacturing is a decades-long educational and cultural project, not something tariffs can do.
Holds
Tariff revenue is real but far too small to make a dent in the American deficit.
Holds