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← The AI build-out is pushing up US GDP, a hard-hat stimulus bigger than the one passed after the Great Recession.
17 connected korrents · 19 moments from 6 Dec 2012 to 31 Oct 2026.
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Read this korrent: The AI build-out is pushing up US GDP, a hard-hat stimulus bigger than the one passed after the Great Recession.
The AI build-out is pushing up US GDP, a hard-hat stimulus bigger than the one passed after the Great Recession.
Last stated 3 days ago
31 Oct 2026
AL
Annie Lowrey — holds since 2026-10-31 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI may roughly double US GDP growth next year, from about 2% to about 4%, possibly even more. — tap to centre the map on it
AI may roughly double US GDP growth next year, from about 2% to about 4%, possibly even more.
Last stated 2 months ago
18 Sept 2026
EM
Elon Musk — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There is a lack of convincing evidence that AI is transforming the global economy or boosting productivity and growth. — tap to centre the map on it
There is a lack of convincing evidence that AI is transforming the global economy or boosting productivity and growth.
Last stated a year ago
21 Oct 2025
DC
Diane Coyle — holds since 2025-10-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it. — tap to centre the map on it
We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it.
Last stated a year ago
17 Oct 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI is creating user surplus and capital deepening, even if it is not yet showing up in TFP data. — tap to centre the map on it
AI is creating user surplus and capital deepening, even if it is not yet showing up in TFP data.
Last stated 4 weeks ago
5 Oct 2026
BD
Brad DeLong — holds since 2026-10-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI spending is crowding out other economic activity and driving up prices. — tap to centre the map on it
AI spending is crowding out other economic activity and driving up prices.
Last stated a month ago
25 Sept 2026
JM
Josh Marshall — holds since 2026-09-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The AI boom is not yet bigger than the railroad boom, which hit 5.4% of GDP in the 1870s, though it is close and its decade average might end up bigger. — tap to centre the map on it
The AI boom is not yet bigger than the railroad boom, which hit 5.4% of GDP in the 1870s, though it is close and its decade average might end up bigger.
Last stated a month ago
26 Sept 2026
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The massive AI build-out is the right thing to be doing, and the only thing that will slow it is supply. — tap to centre the map on it
The massive AI build-out is the right thing to be doing, and the only thing that will slow it is supply.
Last stated 5 months ago
18 Jun 2026
LT
Lip-Bu Tan — holds since 2026-06-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The AI boom is the biggest sustained burst of productivity growth in over 20 years. — tap to centre the map on it
The AI boom is the biggest sustained burst of productivity growth in over 20 years.
Last stated 2 weeks ago
18 Oct 2026
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2026-10-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: “Happy Juneteenth” is an oxymoron, since the promise it marks has been perpetually broken. — tap to centre the map on it
“Happy Juneteenth” is an oxymoron, since the promise it marks has been perpetually broken.
Last stated 5 months ago
19 Jun 2026
RJ
Robert Jones, Jr. — holds since 2026-06-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Super Intelligence" is being used as a signal of fealty to President Trump. — tap to centre the map on it
"Super Intelligence" is being used as a signal of fealty to President Trump.
Last stated 3 weeks ago
11 Oct 2026
MS
M.G. Siegler — holds since 2026-10-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A ban on diesel exports would raise overall fuel prices and damage America's energy superpower status. — tap to centre the map on it
A ban on diesel exports would raise overall fuel prices and damage America's energy superpower status.
Last stated a month ago
1 Oct 2026
AE
Alex Epstein — holds since 2026-10-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. — tap to centre the map on it
A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world.
Last stated 3 months ago
18 Aug 2026
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-10-31 — tap for who they are
EB
Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A diesel export ban would probably do little for U.S. affordability, would deter business investment, and would weaken America's hand against China on energy. — tap to centre the map on it
A diesel export ban would probably do little for U.S. affordability, would deter business investment, and would weaken America's hand against China on energy.
Last stated a month ago
24 Sept 2026
PK
Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments. — tap to centre the map on it
A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments.
Last stated 14 years ago
6 Dec 2012
PT
Philip Tetlock — holds since 2012-12-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Across nine election years since 2008, polls were biased against Democrats once, against Republicans four times, and basically unbiased four times. — tap to centre the map on it
Across nine election years since 2008, polls were biased against Democrats once, against Republicans four times, and basically unbiased four times.
Last stated a month ago
3 Oct 2026
NS
Nate Silver — holds since 2026-10-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI is transforming U.S. politics and has inspired more hate across a wider political spectrum than any other technology — tap to centre the map on it
AI is transforming U.S. politics and has inspired more hate across a wider political spectrum than any other technology
Last stated 2 months ago
15 Sept 2026
PK
Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: America's open primary system creates weak parties that do not invest in young talent, feeding its gerontocracy. — tap to centre the map on it
America's open primary system creates weak parties that do not invest in young talent, feeding its gerontocracy.
Last stated a year ago
3 Sept 2025
LD
Lee Drutman — holds since 2025-09-03 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2012 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
The AI build-out is pushing up US GDP, a hard-hat stimulus bigger than the one passed after the Great Recession.
Last stated 31 Oct 2026 · 3 days ago
Holds Annie Lowrey
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
AI may roughly double US GDP growth next year, from about 2% to about 4%, possibly even more.
Last stated 18 Sept 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Elon Musk
Similar wording
There is a lack of convincing evidence that AI is transforming the global economy or boosting productivity and growth.
Last stated 21 Oct 2025 · a year ago
Holds Diane Coyle
Similar wording
We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it.
Last stated 17 Oct 2025 · a year ago
Holds Andrej Karpathy
Similar wording
AI is creating user surplus and capital deepening, even if it is not yet showing up in TFP data.
Last stated 5 Oct 2026 · 4 weeks ago
Holds Brad DeLong
Similar wording
AI spending is crowding out other economic activity and driving up prices.
Last stated 25 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Josh Marshall
Similar wording
The AI boom is not yet bigger than the railroad boom, which hit 5.4% of GDP in the 1870s, though it is close and its decade average might end up bigger.
Last stated 26 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Noah Smith
Similar wording
The massive AI build-out is the right thing to be doing, and the only thing that will slow it is supply.
Last stated 18 Jun 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds Lip-Bu Tan
Similar wording
The AI boom is the biggest sustained burst of productivity growth in over 20 years.
Last stated 18 Oct 2026 · 2 weeks ago
Holds Noah Smith
Same subject: America
“Happy Juneteenth” is an oxymoron, since the promise it marks has been perpetually broken.
Last stated 19 Jun 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds Robert Jones, Jr.
Same subject: America
"Super Intelligence" is being used as a signal of fealty to President Trump.
Last stated 11 Oct 2026 · 3 weeks ago
Holds M.G. Siegler
Same subject: America
A ban on diesel exports would raise overall fuel prices and damage America's energy superpower status.
Last stated 1 Oct 2026 · a month ago
Holds Alex Epstein
Same subject: China
A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world.
Last stated 18 Aug 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Casey Handmer Eric Berger
Same subject: China
A diesel export ban would probably do little for U.S. affordability, would deter business investment, and would weaken America's hand against China on energy.
Last stated 24 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Paul Krugman
Same subject: China
A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments.
Last stated 6 Dec 2012 · 14 years ago
Holds Philip Tetlock
Same subject: politics
Across nine election years since 2008, polls were biased against Democrats once, against Republicans four times, and basically unbiased four times.
Last stated 3 Oct 2026 · a month ago
Holds Nate Silver
Same subject: politics
AI is transforming U.S. politics and has inspired more hate across a wider political spectrum than any other technology
Last stated 15 Sept 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Paul Krugman
Same subject: politics
America's open primary system creates weak parties that do not invest in young talent, feeding its gerontocracy.
Last stated 3 Sept 2025 · a year ago
Holds Lee Drutman