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← When the direction of a variable such as interest rates is unknown,…
17 connected korrents · 15 moments from 5 Sept 2010 to 25 Aug 2026. Nearly all of them are about interest rates .
Everything filed under investing
investing
Everything filed under inflation
inflation
Everything filed under public debt
public debt
Everything filed under fiscal policy
fiscal policy
Everything filed under surgical outcomes
surgical outcomes
Everything filed under quantitative easing
quantitative easing Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: When the direction of a variable such as interest rates is unknown, one can allocate to sectors that benefit either way. When the direction of a variable such as interest rates is unknown, one can allocate to sectors that benefit either way. Last stated 6 years ago
13 Oct 2020
CP
Chamath Palihapitiya — holds since 2020-10-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it. — tap to centre the map on it A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it. Last stated a year ago
16 Jul 2025
JD
Jamie Dimon — holds since 2025-07-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. — tap to centre the map on it A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output. — tap to centre the map on it A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending. — tap to centre the map on it A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending. Last stated 2 months ago
21 Aug 2026
RD
Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A longer average debt maturity protects a government from temporary interest-rate spikes and gives it more time to adjust to permanent rate increases. — tap to centre the map on it A longer average debt maturity protects a government from temporary interest-rate spikes and gives it more time to adjust to permanent rate increases. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A new monetary network with its own unit can only bootstrap from zero to mass adoption through a period of upward price volatility. — tap to centre the map on it A new monetary network with its own unit can only bootstrap from zero to mass adoption through a period of upward price volatility. Last stated a year ago
6 Jul 2025
LA
Lyn Alden — holds since 2025-07-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A persistently low safe interest rate signals that capital is not very productive at the margin, an underlying economic problem rather than a policy variable. — tap to centre the map on it A persistently low safe interest rate signals that capital is not very productive at the margin, an underlying economic problem rather than a policy variable. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Aggressive quantitative easing should raise long-term interest rates, because effective monetary stimulus raises them. — tap to centre the map on it Aggressive quantitative easing should raise long-term interest rates, because effective monetary stimulus raises them. Last stated 16 years ago
6 Sept 2010
SS
Scott Sumner — holds since 2010-09-05 — tap for who they are
SS
Scott Sumner — no longer holds since 2010-09-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bubble can only be identified in retrospect, so arguing about whether one is happening now cannot be settled now. — tap to centre the map on it A bubble can only be identified in retrospect, so arguing about whether one is happening now cannot be settled now. Last stated 10 months ago
9 Dec 2025
HM
Howard Marks — holds since 2025-12-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A founder who does not know their own goal dies by a thousand compromises and ends up running a company they do not want to work at. — tap to centre the map on it A founder who does not know their own goal dies by a thousand compromises and ends up running a company they do not want to work at. Last stated 4 months ago
2 Jun 2026
MP
Mark Pincus — holds since 2026-06-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A margin only counts while you are still investing heavily, because cutting the investment raises this year's margin and lowers the long-term one. — tap to centre the map on it A margin only counts while you are still investing heavily, because cutting the investment raises this year's margin and lowers the long-term one. Last stated a year ago
16 Jul 2025
JD
Jamie Dimon — holds since 2025-07-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Almost no mutual fund earns the fees it charges, so most investors are better off buying an index fund. — tap to centre the map on it Almost no mutual fund earns the fees it charges, so most investors are better off buying an index fund. Last stated 3 years ago
20 Feb 2024
BA
Bill Ackman — holds since 2024-02-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An investor's starting point should be the portfolio that is best to hold independent of any tactical market view — tap to centre the map on it An investor's starting point should be the portfolio that is best to hold independent of any tactical market view Last stated a month ago
25 Aug 2026
RD
Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-02-19 — tap for who they are
NM
Nick Maggiulli — holds since 2026-08-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: At a market price-earnings ratio of twenty-three there is little upside and a long way to fall, where at fifteen there would be much less risk. — tap to centre the map on it At a market price-earnings ratio of twenty-three there is little upside and a long way to fall, where at fifteen there would be much less risk. Last stated a year ago
16 Jul 2025
JD
Jamie Dimon — holds since 2025-07-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: More intelligent people tend to be better investors because of lower time-discounting, greater risk tolerance, and more accurate economic forecasts, not any single factor. — tap to centre the map on it More intelligent people tend to be better investors because of lower time-discounting, greater risk tolerance, and more accurate economic forecasts, not any single factor. Last stated 6 years ago
13 Mar 2021
GW
Gwern — holds since 2021-03-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost. — tap to centre the map on it A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost. Last stated 6 months ago
1 Apr 2026
TP
Thuan Pham — holds since 2026-04-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An economy on a fixed, unprintable base money supply can sustain rapid long-run growth with zero cumulative price inflation. — tap to centre the map on it An economy on a fixed, unprintable base money supply can sustain rapid long-run growth with zero cumulative price inflation. Last stated 7 months ago
11 Mar 2026
LA
Lyn Alden — holds since 2026-03-11 — tap for who they are
At the centre
When the direction of a variable such as interest rates is unknown, one can allocate to sectors that benefit either way.
Holds Read this korrent →
A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it.
Holds
A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate.
Holds
A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output.
Holds
A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending.
Holds
A longer average debt maturity protects a government from temporary interest-rate spikes and gives it more time to adjust to permanent rate increases.
Holds
A new monetary network with its own unit can only bootstrap from zero to mass adoption through a period of upward price volatility.
Holds
A persistently low safe interest rate signals that capital is not very productive at the margin, an underlying economic problem rather than a policy variable.
Holds
Aggressive quantitative easing should raise long-term interest rates, because effective monetary stimulus raises them.
No longer holds
A bubble can only be identified in retrospect, so arguing about whether one is happening now cannot be settled now.
Holds
A founder who does not know their own goal dies by a thousand compromises and ends up running a company they do not want to work at.
Holds
A margin only counts while you are still investing heavily, because cutting the investment raises this year's margin and lowers the long-term one.
Holds
Almost no mutual fund earns the fees it charges, so most investors are better off buying an index fund.
Holds
An investor's starting point should be the portfolio that is best to hold independent of any tactical market view
Holds
At a market price-earnings ratio of twenty-three there is little upside and a long way to fall, where at fifteen there would be much less risk.
Holds
More intelligent people tend to be better investors because of lower time-discounting, greater risk tolerance, and more accurate economic forecasts, not any single factor.
Holds
A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost.
Holds
An economy on a fixed, unprintable base money supply can sustain rapid long-run growth with zero cumulative price inflation.
Holds