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← The software job losses of the past few years were caused more by the…
17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 11 Oct 2018 to 15 Oct 2026. Nearly all of them are about interest rates .
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surgical outcomes Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: The software job losses of the past few years were caused more by the end of zero-interest-rate money and the post-COVID crash than by AI. The software job losses of the past few years were caused more by the end of zero-interest-rate money and the post-COVID crash than by AI. Last stated 3 months ago
29 Jul 2026
HW
Hillel Wayne — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it. — tap to centre the map on it A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it. Last stated a year ago
16 Jul 2025
JD
Jamie Dimon — holds since 2025-07-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. — tap to centre the map on it A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A Fed easing move being immediately followed by a sharp jump in long-term rates suggests the Federal Reserve has lost control over the narrative governing bond-market expectations. — tap to centre the map on it A Fed easing move being immediately followed by a sharp jump in long-term rates suggests the Federal Reserve has lost control over the narrative governing bond-market expectations. Last stated a week ago
15 Oct 2026
BD
Brad DeLong — holds since 2026-10-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output. — tap to centre the map on it A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending. — tap to centre the map on it A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending. Last stated 2 months ago
21 Aug 2026
RD
Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A longer average debt maturity protects a government from temporary interest-rate spikes and gives it more time to adjust to permanent rate increases. — tap to centre the map on it A longer average debt maturity protects a government from temporary interest-rate spikes and gives it more time to adjust to permanent rate increases. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A new monetary network with its own unit can only bootstrap from zero to mass adoption through a period of upward price volatility. — tap to centre the map on it A new monetary network with its own unit can only bootstrap from zero to mass adoption through a period of upward price volatility. Last stated a year ago
6 Jul 2025
LA
Lyn Alden — holds since 2025-07-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A persistently low safe interest rate signals that capital is not very productive at the margin, an underlying economic problem rather than a policy variable. — tap to centre the map on it A persistently low safe interest rate signals that capital is not very productive at the margin, an underlying economic problem rather than a policy variable. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. Last stated 10 months ago
1 Jan 2026
JL
Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. Last stated 3 months ago
15 Jul 2026
DH
Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. — tap to centre the map on it A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. Last stated a month ago
17 Sept 2026
PC
Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. — tap to centre the map on it A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. Last stated 8 months ago
12 Feb 2026
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI should be released iteratively rather than built in secret, because AI and surprise do not go together and the world needs time to adapt before it is under the gun. — tap to centre the map on it AI should be released iteratively rather than built in secret, because AI and surprise do not go together and the world needs time to adapt before it is under the gun. Last stated 3 years ago
18 Mar 2024
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An AI can already earn an A on a university economics midterm, years earlier than informed forecasters expected. — tap to centre the map on it An AI can already earn an A on a university economics midterm, years earlier than informed forecasters expected. Last stated 4 years ago
21 Mar 2023
BC
Bryan Caplan — holds since 2023-03-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard. — tap to centre the map on it AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard. Last stated 2 years ago
2 Feb 2025
AC
Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2023-08-29 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Alexander — holds since 2022-09-12 — tap for who they are
MB
Miles Brundage — holds since 2025-02-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: As models keep growing, AI is running out of enough high-quality unique training tokens to keep up. — tap to centre the map on it As models keep growing, AI is running out of enough high-quality unique training tokens to keep up. Last stated 4 months ago
24 Jun 2026
LW
Lilian Weng — holds since 2026-06-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Current techniques restrict pre-trained representation power because standard language models are unidirectional. — tap to centre the map on it Current techniques restrict pre-trained representation power because standard language models are unidirectional. Last stated 8 years ago
11 Oct 2018
KT
Kristina Toutanova — holds since 2018-10-11 — tap for who they are
MC
Ming-Wei Chang — holds since 2018-10-11 — tap for who they are
KL
Kenton Lee — holds since 2018-10-11 — tap for who they are
JD
Jacob Devlin — holds since 2018-10-11 — tap for who they are
At the centre
The software job losses of the past few years were caused more by the end of zero-interest-rate money and the post-COVID crash than by AI.
Holds Read this korrent →
A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it.
Holds
A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate.
Holds
A Fed easing move being immediately followed by a sharp jump in long-term rates suggests the Federal Reserve has lost control over the narrative governing bond-market expectations.
Holds
A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output.
Holds
A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending.
Holds
A longer average debt maturity protects a government from temporary interest-rate spikes and gives it more time to adjust to permanent rate increases.
Holds
A new monetary network with its own unit can only bootstrap from zero to mass adoption through a period of upward price volatility.
Holds
A persistently low safe interest rate signals that capital is not very productive at the margin, an underlying economic problem rather than a policy variable.
Holds
A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI.
Holds
A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to.
Holds
A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls.
Holds
A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact.
Holds
AI should be released iteratively rather than built in secret, because AI and surprise do not go together and the world needs time to adapt before it is under the gun.
Holds
An AI can already earn an A on a university economics midterm, years earlier than informed forecasters expected.
Holds
AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard.
Holds
As models keep growing, AI is running out of enough high-quality unique training tokens to keep up.
Holds
Current techniques restrict pre-trained representation power because standard language models are unidirectional.
Holds