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← The fertility rate in China is below 1.0.
17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 6 Dec 2012 to 4 Nov 2026. Nearly all of them are about demographics .
Everything filed under China
China
Everything filed under religion
religion
Everything filed under humility
humility Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: The fertility rate in China is below 1.0. The fertility rate in China is below 1.0. Last stated yesterday
4 Nov 2026
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2026-11-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Demographics won't start to hurt China until the 2040s at the earliest. — tap to centre the map on it Demographics won't start to hurt China until the 2040s at the earliest. Last stated 4 weeks ago
6 Oct 2026
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2026-10-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change. — tap to centre the map on it A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change. Last stated 3 months ago
20 Aug 2026
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A religion cannot revive itself by encouraging its members to have more children. — tap to centre the map on it A religion cannot revive itself by encouraging its members to have more children. Last stated 2 months ago
24 Aug 2026
RB
Ryan Burge — holds since 2026-08-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Any theory of the fall in birth rates must explain both the worldwide collapse and the differences between countries, and most theories explain only one. — tap to centre the map on it Any theory of the fall in birth rates must explain both the worldwide collapse and the differences between countries, and most theories explain only one. Last stated 2 years ago
1 Nov 2024
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2024-11-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Birth rates can move in whatever direction a society chooses, whenever it chooses; there is no ratchet. — tap to centre the map on it Birth rates can move in whatever direction a society chooses, whenever it chooses; there is no ratchet. Last stated a year ago
15 Jul 2025
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2025-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Calling the fall in birth rates a mystery is not humility but obscurantism: there is already a good causal account of it. — tap to centre the map on it Calling the fall in birth rates a mystery is not humility but obscurantism: there is already a good causal account of it. Last stated 3 months ago
20 Aug 2026
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Culture can be changed, so falling birth rates are a fixable problem rather than a one-way ratchet of modernity. — tap to centre the map on it Culture can be changed, so falling birth rates are a fixable problem rather than a one-way ratchet of modernity. Last stated a year ago
1 Jul 2025
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2025-07-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Demography is about to turn the rich world’s problem from finding a job for every person into finding a person for every job. — tap to centre the map on it Demography is about to turn the rich world’s problem from finding a job for every person into finding a person for every job. Last stated 3 years ago
29 Nov 2023
LP
Lant Pritchett — holds since 2023-11-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: 8Cr13MoV is no longer an acceptable steel for a knife, because the brands that built their name on it have moved on. — tap to centre the map on it 8Cr13MoV is no longer an acceptable steel for a knife, because the brands that built their name on it have moved on. Last stated a month ago
27 Sept 2026
AS
Anthony Sculimbrene — holds since 2026-09-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. — tap to centre the map on it A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. Last stated 3 months ago
18 Aug 2026
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-10-31 — tap for who they are
EB
Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A continental army's first mission is to keep the regime in power, not to defend the border — which is what the People's Liberation Army is for. — tap to centre the map on it A continental army's first mission is to keep the regime in power, not to defend the border — which is what the People's Liberation Army is for. Last stated 5 months ago
9 Jun 2026
SP
Sarah Paine — holds since 2026-06-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A diesel export ban would probably do little for U.S. affordability, would deter business investment, and would weaken America's hand against China on energy. — tap to centre the map on it A diesel export ban would probably do little for U.S. affordability, would deter business investment, and would weaken America's hand against China on energy. Last stated a month ago
24 Sept 2026
PK
Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments. — tap to centre the map on it A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments. Last stated 14 years ago
6 Dec 2012
PT
Philip Tetlock — holds since 2012-12-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A large, sustained AI capability lead by either the US or China could shift the global balance of power between them. — tap to centre the map on it A large, sustained AI capability lead by either the US or China could shift the global balance of power between them. Last stated 2 months ago
5 Sept 2026
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: China looks more like Japan than it did 10 or 5 years ago. — tap to centre the map on it China looks more like Japan than it did 10 or 5 years ago. Last stated yesterday
4 Nov 2026
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2026-11-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Chinese pop culture will not experience an absolute flowering like 90s Japan because CCP censorship makes it boring — tap to centre the map on it Chinese pop culture will not experience an absolute flowering like 90s Japan because CCP censorship makes it boring Last stated a month ago
5 Oct 2026
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2026-10-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Commercial shipbuilding keeps moving to whichever country has the cheapest labour, and America has never been that country. — tap to centre the map on it Commercial shipbuilding keeps moving to whichever country has the cheapest labour, and America has never been that country. Last stated 2 years ago
5 Sept 2024
BP
Brian Potter — holds since 2024-09-05 — tap for who they are
At the centre
The fertility rate in China is below 1.0.
Holds Read this korrent →
Demographics won't start to hurt China until the 2040s at the earliest.
Holds
A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change.
Holds
A religion cannot revive itself by encouraging its members to have more children.
Holds
Any theory of the fall in birth rates must explain both the worldwide collapse and the differences between countries, and most theories explain only one.
Holds
Birth rates can move in whatever direction a society chooses, whenever it chooses; there is no ratchet.
Holds
Calling the fall in birth rates a mystery is not humility but obscurantism: there is already a good causal account of it.
Holds
Culture can be changed, so falling birth rates are a fixable problem rather than a one-way ratchet of modernity.
Holds
Demography is about to turn the rich world’s problem from finding a job for every person into finding a person for every job.
Holds
8Cr13MoV is no longer an acceptable steel for a knife, because the brands that built their name on it have moved on.
Holds
A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world.
Holds
A continental army's first mission is to keep the regime in power, not to defend the border — which is what the People's Liberation Army is for.
Holds
A diesel export ban would probably do little for U.S. affordability, would deter business investment, and would weaken America's hand against China on energy.
Holds
A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments.
Holds
A large, sustained AI capability lead by either the US or China could shift the global balance of power between them.
Holds
China looks more like Japan than it did 10 or 5 years ago.
Holds
Chinese pop culture will not experience an absolute flowering like 90s Japan because CCP censorship makes it boring
Holds
Commercial shipbuilding keeps moving to whichever country has the cheapest labour, and America has never been that country.
Holds