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← A large, sustained AI capability lead by either the US or China could shift the global balance of power between them.

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8 connected korrents · 7 moments on record from 17 Nov 2025 to 5 Sept 2026.

Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject A large, sustained AIcapability lead by eitherthe US or China could shift… NS Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-05 China is more likely to cooperate on AI safety if the US maintains a clear and comfortable lead in AI capabilities. China is more likely tocooperate on AI safety… NS Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-05 China leapfrogged the West on cars by treating internal combustion as obsolete and mastering the technology that replaces it. China leapfrogged theWest on cars by… NS Noah Smith — holds since 2026-08-29 Every impressive new Chinese AI model release triggers a wave of claims that America is falling behind, and this pattern will keep repeating. Every impressive newChinese AI model… ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-03 France and Germany will ban Tesla's full self-driving to protect their own car industry. France and Germany willban Tesla's full… PL Pieter Levels — holds since 2026-07-22 Frontier labs are incentivised toward fear because it justifies staying closed, which leaves open-source advocates rooting for Chinese labs. Frontier labs areincentivised toward… NR Naval Ravikant — holds since 2026-08-21 In US-China AI competition the closed labs are beside the point; the competitor that shifts things must be American, open source and able to serve inference at scale. In US-China AIcompetition the closed… DR Dax Raad — holds since 2026-09-03 Only the US and China have substantial startup activity left; the rest of the world cannot really do startups. Only the US and Chinahave substantial… PL Pieter Levels — holds since 2025-11-17 Restricting US AI models does not work: China builds better ones and everyone switches to them. Restricting US AImodels does not work… PL Pieter Levels — holds since 2026-07-17
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