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← Market bubbles and crashes are inevitable but impossible to predict in advance.
17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 9 Aug 2022 to 26 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under investing
investing
Everything filed under startups
startups
Everything filed under market efficiency
market efficiency
Everything filed under venture capital
venture capital
Everything filed under value investing
value investing
Everything filed under stock market
stock market
Everything filed under courage
courage
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Read this korrent: Market bubbles and crashes are inevitable but impossible to predict in advance.
Market bubbles and crashes are inevitable but impossible to predict in advance.
Last stated 3 months ago
30 Jul 2026
JC
JL Collins — holds since 2026-07-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Nobody can reliably predict when market drops will occur, how deep they'll go, or when they'll end. — tap to centre the map on it
Nobody can reliably predict when market drops will occur, how deep they'll go, or when they'll end.
Last stated a year ago
12 May 2025
JC
JL Collins — holds since 2025-05-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Nobody is to blame for the valuation bubble; it was just a market. — tap to centre the map on it
Nobody is to blame for the valuation bubble; it was just a market.
Last stated 4 years ago
12 Dec 2022
MS
Mark Suster — holds since 2022-12-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A run of correct forecasts is not evidence of expertise, because among many forecasters some are right by chance. — tap to centre the map on it
A run of correct forecasts is not evidence of expertise, because among many forecasters some are right by chance.
Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Most investments are really speculations, because only a handful of businesses can be predicted with any confidence. — tap to centre the map on it
Most investments are really speculations, because only a handful of businesses can be predicted with any confidence.
Last stated 3 years ago
20 Feb 2024
BA
Bill Ackman — holds since 2024-02-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Prediction markets will become normal by next year. — tap to centre the map on it
Prediction markets will become normal by next year.
Last stated 5 months ago
20 Jun 2026
JB
Josh Brown — holds since 2026-06-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Mega-cap stocks are unlikely to dominate the stock market forever. — tap to centre the map on it
Mega-cap stocks are unlikely to dominate the stock market forever.
Last stated a month ago
25 Sept 2026
BC
Ben Carlson — holds since 2026-09-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The AI bubble is going to pop soon and loudly. — tap to centre the map on it
The AI bubble is going to pop soon and loudly.
Last stated 3 weeks ago
13 Oct 2026
TB
Tim Bray — holds since 2026-10-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: You do not need to predict the future; you only need to live in everyone else's relative future, which is a few high-conviction beta updates away. — tap to centre the map on it
You do not need to predict the future; you only need to live in everyone else's relative future, which is a few high-conviction beta updates away.
Last stated a year ago
18 Sept 2025
TL
Tobias Lütke — holds since 2025-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company that deviates from open standards in its data exports without documenting the deviation creates an artificial vendor lock-in. — tap to centre the map on it
A company that deviates from open standards in its data exports without documenting the deviation creates an artificial vendor lock-in.
Last stated 2 years ago
3 Mar 2025
TS
Tobias Sjösten — holds since 2025-03-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country's war effort improves when scarce resources flow to its most effective units rather than being spread evenly across all of them. — tap to centre the map on it
A country's war effort improves when scarce resources flow to its most effective units rather than being spread evenly across all of them.
Last stated 4 months ago
10 Jul 2026
AV
Austin Vernon — holds since 2026-07-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A dominant company's lead in market share compounds over time and becomes harder for competitors to close, especially in technology. — tap to centre the map on it
A dominant company's lead in market share compounds over time and becomes harder for competitors to close, especially in technology.
Last stated a month ago
22 Sept 2026
BR
Barry Ritholtz — holds since 2026-09-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A big venture firm's edge is deploying capital into what is obviously working; a small firm's is backing a founder or idea that is not yet obvious. — tap to centre the map on it
A big venture firm's edge is deploying capital into what is obviously working; a small firm's is backing a founder or idea that is not yet obvious.
Last stated a year ago
23 Jul 2025
JS
Jon Sakoda — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A cash-flowing core business can fund long-term speculative R&D in a way no venture capitalist would ever support. — tap to centre the map on it
A cash-flowing core business can fund long-term speculative R&D in a way no venture capitalist would ever support.
Last stated 7 months ago
12 Apr 2026
ES
Evan Spiegel — holds since 2026-04-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A first-time founder has an advantage over a repeat winner, because past success makes it too easy to raise money and hire against a big vision before there is product-market fit. — tap to centre the map on it
A first-time founder has an advantage over a repeat winner, because past success makes it too easy to raise money and hire against a big vision before there is product-market fit.
Last stated 5 months ago
14 Jun 2026
MP
Mark Pincus — holds since 2026-06-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: UK universities demand more equity in spin outs because they are too inexperienced to realize they are charging over market rate. — tap to centre the map on it
UK universities demand more equity in spin outs because they are too inexperienced to realize they are charging over market rate.
Last stated 2 weeks ago
26 Oct 2026
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2026-10-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: “Why now?” is the wrong question to make a founder answer — the honest answer can simply be that you started now. — tap to centre the map on it
“Why now?” is the wrong question to make a founder answer — the honest answer can simply be that you started now.
Last stated 3 months ago
28 Jul 2026
BS
Blake Scholl — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A belief nobody else shares is a warning, and a belief everybody shares is also a warning; the right number of people who agree with you is small but not zero. — tap to centre the map on it
A belief nobody else shares is a warning, and a belief everybody shares is also a warning; the right number of people who agree with you is small but not zero.
Last stated 3 months ago
28 Jul 2026
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are