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← Market bubbles and crashes are inevitable but impossible to predict in advance.

17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 9 Aug 2022 to 26 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under investing investing Everything filed under startups startups Everything filed under market efficiency market efficiency Everything filed under venture capital venture capital Everything filed under value investing value investing Everything filed under stock market stock market Everything filed under courage courage Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Market bubbles and crashes are inevitable but impossible to predict in advance. Market bubbles and crashes are inevitablebut impossible to predict in advance. Last stated 3 months ago 30 Jul 2026 JC JL Collins — holds since 2026-07-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: Nobody can reliably predict when market drops will occur, how deep they'll go, or when they'll end. — tap to centre the map on it Nobody can reliably predict whenmarket drops will occur, how deepthey'll go, or when they'll end. Last stated a year ago 12 May 2025 JC JL Collins — holds since 2025-05-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: Nobody is to blame for the valuation bubble; it was just a market. — tap to centre the map on it Nobody is to blame for the valuationbubble; it was just a market. Last stated 4 years ago 12 Dec 2022 MS Mark Suster — holds since 2022-12-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: A run of correct forecasts is not evidence of expertise, because among many forecasters some are right by chance. — tap to centre the map on it A run of correct forecasts is notevidence of expertise, because amongmany forecasters some are right bychance. Last stated 4 years ago 9 Aug 2022 GK Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: Most investments are really speculations, because only a handful of businesses can be predicted with any confidence. — tap to centre the map on it Most investments are reallyspeculations, because only a handfulof businesses can be predicted withany confidence. Last stated 3 years ago 20 Feb 2024 BA Bill Ackman — holds since 2024-02-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: Prediction markets will become normal by next year. — tap to centre the map on it Prediction markets will becomenormal by next year. Last stated 5 months ago 20 Jun 2026 JB Josh Brown — holds since 2026-06-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: Mega-cap stocks are unlikely to dominate the stock market forever. — tap to centre the map on it Mega-cap stocks are unlikely todominate the stock market forever. Last stated a month ago 25 Sept 2026 BC Ben Carlson — holds since 2026-09-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: The AI bubble is going to pop soon and loudly. — tap to centre the map on it The AI bubble is going to pop soonand loudly. Last stated 3 weeks ago 13 Oct 2026 TB Tim Bray — holds since 2026-10-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: You do not need to predict the future; you only need to live in everyone else's relative future, which is a few high-conviction beta updates away. — tap to centre the map on it You do not need to predict thefuture; you only need to live ineveryone else's relative future,which is a few high-conviction betaupdates away. Last stated a year ago 18 Sept 2025 TL Tobias Lütke — holds since 2025-09-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company that deviates from open standards in its data exports without documenting the deviation creates an artificial vendor lock-in. — tap to centre the map on it A company that deviates from openstandards in its data exportswithout documenting the deviationcreates an artificial vendorlock-in. Last stated 2 years ago 3 Mar 2025 TS Tobias Sjösten — holds since 2025-03-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A country's war effort improves when scarce resources flow to its most effective units rather than being spread evenly across all of them. — tap to centre the map on it A country's war effort improves whenscarce resources flow to its mosteffective units rather than beingspread evenly across all of them. Last stated 4 months ago 10 Jul 2026 AV Austin Vernon — holds since 2026-07-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: A dominant company's lead in market share compounds over time and becomes harder for competitors to close, especially in technology. — tap to centre the map on it A dominant company's lead in marketshare compounds over time andbecomes harder for competitors toclose, especially in technology. Last stated a month ago 22 Sept 2026 BR Barry Ritholtz — holds since 2026-09-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: A big venture firm's edge is deploying capital into what is obviously working; a small firm's is backing a founder or idea that is not yet obvious. — tap to centre the map on it A big venture firm's edge isdeploying capital into what isobviously working; a small firm's isbacking a founder or idea that isnot yet obvious. Last stated a year ago 23 Jul 2025 JS Jon Sakoda — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: A cash-flowing core business can fund long-term speculative R&D in a way no venture capitalist would ever support. — tap to centre the map on it A cash-flowing core business canfund long-term speculative R&D in away no venture capitalist would eversupport. Last stated 7 months ago 12 Apr 2026 ES Evan Spiegel — holds since 2026-04-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: A first-time founder has an advantage over a repeat winner, because past success makes it too easy to raise money and hire against a big vision before there is product-market fit. — tap to centre the map on it A first-time founder has anadvantage over a repeat winner,because past success makes it tooeasy to raise money and hire againsta big vision before there isproduct-market fit. Last stated 5 months ago 14 Jun 2026 MP Mark Pincus — holds since 2026-06-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: UK universities demand more equity in spin outs because they are too inexperienced to realize they are charging over market rate. — tap to centre the map on it UK universities demand more equityin spin outs because they are tooinexperienced to realize they arecharging over market rate. Last stated 2 weeks ago 26 Oct 2026 PG Paul Graham — holds since 2026-10-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: “Why now?” is the wrong question to make a founder answer — the honest answer can simply be that you started now. — tap to centre the map on it “Why now?” is the wrong question tomake a founder answer — the honestanswer can simply be that youstarted now. Last stated 3 months ago 28 Jul 2026 BS Blake Scholl — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: A belief nobody else shares is a warning, and a belief everybody shares is also a warning; the right number of people who agree with you is small but not zero. — tap to centre the map on it A belief nobody else shares is awarning, and a belief everybodyshares is also a warning; the rightnumber of people who agree with youis small but not zero. Last stated 3 months ago 28 Jul 2026 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Market bubbles and crashes are inevitable but impossible to predict in advance. Last stated 30 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago Holds JL Collins Read this korrent →