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← Every predicted ceiling on human life expectancy has so far been broken.
14 connected korrents · 14 moments from 13 Dec 1968 to 26 Aug 2026.
Everything filed under demographics
demographics
Everything filed under health and fitness
health and fitness In tension Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Every predicted ceiling on human life expectancy has so far been broken. Every predicted ceiling on human life expectancy has so far been broken. Last stated 3 years ago
2 Jan 2024
SD
Saloni Dattani — holds since 2024-01-02 — tap for who they are
In tension: A human lifespan of about 90 to 100 years is right, and living forever is not something to want. — tap to centre the map on it A human lifespan of about 90 to 100 years is right, and living forever is not something to want. Last stated 2 months ago
26 Aug 2026
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Life expectancy is not a prediction of how long people alive today will live. — tap to centre the map on it Life expectancy is not a prediction of how long people alive today will live. Last stated 3 years ago
2 Jan 2024
SD
Saloni Dattani — holds since 2024-01-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The long decline in mortality is not guaranteed to continue: new shocks and old unsolved diseases can reverse it. — tap to centre the map on it The long decline in mortality is not guaranteed to continue: new shocks and old unsolved diseases can reverse it. Last stated 3 years ago
2 Jan 2024
SD
Saloni Dattani — holds since 2024-01-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Extending the human lifespan past its natural ceiling will require deep genetic engineering, not just better healthcare. — tap to centre the map on it Extending the human lifespan past its natural ceiling will require deep genetic engineering, not just better healthcare. Last stated 6 years ago
14 Apr 2021
TU
Tim Urban — holds since 2021-04-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Humanity is unlikely to change in any fundamental way any time soon. — tap to centre the map on it Humanity is unlikely to change in any fundamental way any time soon. Last stated 4 months ago
24 Jun 2026
JB
Jamie Brandon — holds since 2026-06-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A finite world can support only a finite population, so population growth must eventually reach zero — tap to centre the map on it A finite world can support only a finite population, so population growth must eventually reach zero Last stated 58 years ago
13 Dec 1968
GH
Garrett Hardin — holds since 1968-12-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A mass death does not by itself produce a boom afterwards: expecting a pandemic to renew an economy on its own misreads what followed the Black Death. — tap to centre the map on it A mass death does not by itself produce a boom afterwards: expecting a pandemic to renew an economy on its own misreads what followed the Black Death. Last stated 6 years ago
4 Jun 2020
AP
Ada Palmer — holds since 2020-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change. — tap to centre the map on it A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change. Last stated 2 months ago
20 Aug 2026
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Governments should pay a lot for children and let the people who respond reveal which cultural compromises are acceptable, rather than deciding in advance which value to give up. — tap to centre the map on it Governments should pay a lot for children and let the people who respond reveal which cultural compromises are acceptable, rather than deciding in advance which value to give up. Last stated 3 years ago
3 Oct 2023
RH
Robin Hanson — holds since 2023-10-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Improving entertainment technology raises the bar parenthood has to clear, because people have children when it looks more fun than the alternatives. — tap to centre the map on it Improving entertainment technology raises the bar parenthood has to clear, because people have children when it looks more fun than the alternatives. Last stated a year ago
1 Jul 2025
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2025-07-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Most people should get married and have kids much earlier than the current average, and have more of them. — tap to centre the map on it Most people should get married and have kids much earlier than the current average, and have more of them. Last stated 2 years ago
13 Jan 2025
KD
Kent C. Dodds — holds since 2024-12-29 — tap for who they are
KD
Kent C. Dodds — holds since 2025-01-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Immigration cannot hold a rich country's working-age population steady, because doing so would require it to become 40 to 50 per cent foreign-born. — tap to centre the map on it Immigration cannot hold a rich country's working-age population steady, because doing so would require it to become 40 to 50 per cent foreign-born. Last stated 2 years ago
1 Nov 2024
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2024-11-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Immigration is irrelevant to the real problem low fertility creates, because that problem is people having fewer children than they wanted. — tap to centre the map on it Immigration is irrelevant to the real problem low fertility creates, because that problem is people having fewer children than they wanted. Last stated a year ago
14 Oct 2025
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2025-10-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The return of inflation is what made Donald Trump's second presidency possible, and therefore what makes everything that presidency changes possible. — tap to centre the map on it The return of inflation is what made Donald Trump's second presidency possible, and therefore what makes everything that presidency changes possible. Last stated 2 years ago
19 Jan 2025
JB
Jennifer Burns — holds since 2025-01-19 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Every predicted ceiling on human life expectancy has so far been broken.
Holds Read this korrent →
A human lifespan of about 90 to 100 years is right, and living forever is not something to want.
Holds
Life expectancy is not a prediction of how long people alive today will live.
Holds
The long decline in mortality is not guaranteed to continue: new shocks and old unsolved diseases can reverse it.
Holds
Extending the human lifespan past its natural ceiling will require deep genetic engineering, not just better healthcare.
Holds
Humanity is unlikely to change in any fundamental way any time soon.
Holds
A finite world can support only a finite population, so population growth must eventually reach zero
Holds
A mass death does not by itself produce a boom afterwards: expecting a pandemic to renew an economy on its own misreads what followed the Black Death.
Holds
A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change.
Holds
Governments should pay a lot for children and let the people who respond reveal which cultural compromises are acceptable, rather than deciding in advance which value to give up.
Holds
Improving entertainment technology raises the bar parenthood has to clear, because people have children when it looks more fun than the alternatives.
Holds
Most people should get married and have kids much earlier than the current average, and have more of them.
Holds
Immigration cannot hold a rich country's working-age population steady, because doing so would require it to become 40 to 50 per cent foreign-born.
Holds
Immigration is irrelevant to the real problem low fertility creates, because that problem is people having fewer children than they wanted.
Holds
The return of inflation is what made Donald Trump's second presidency possible, and therefore what makes everything that presidency changes possible.
Holds