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← Life expectancy is not a prediction of how long people alive today will live.
14 connected korrents · 14 moments on record from 1 Jun 2022 to 26 Aug 2026.
Everything filed under demographics
demographics
Everything filed under immigration
immigration
Everything filed under inflation
inflation Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Life expectancy is not a prediction of how long people alive today will live. Life expectancy is not a prediction of how long people alive today will live. Last stated 3 years ago
2 Jan 2024
SD
Saloni Dattani — holds since 2024-01-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Every predicted ceiling on human life expectancy has so far been broken. — tap to centre the map on it Every predicted ceiling on human life expectancy has so far been broken. Last stated 3 years ago
2 Jan 2024
SD
Saloni Dattani — holds since 2024-01-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Expecting AI or longer lives to arrive in time makes people skip having a plan for falling birth rates at all. — tap to centre the map on it Expecting AI or longer lives to arrive in time makes people skip having a plan for falling birth rates at all. Last stated 3 years ago
17 Jan 2024
RH
Robin Hanson — holds since 2024-01-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: If you can predict it, it does not count as emergence. — tap to centre the map on it If you can predict it, it does not count as emergence. Last stated 3 years ago
1 Sept 2023
NO
Neri Oxman — holds since 2023-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Mortality is not what gives life its urgency: the goals people actually pursue are not driven by knowing they will die. — tap to centre the map on it Mortality is not what gives life its urgency: the goals people actually pursue are not driven by knowing they will die. Last stated 3 months ago
16 Jun 2026
PB
Paul Bloom — holds since 2026-06-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: You do not need to predict the future; you only need to live in everyone else's relative future, which is a few high-conviction beta updates away. — tap to centre the map on it You do not need to predict the future; you only need to live in everyone else's relative future, which is a few high-conviction beta updates away. Last stated 12 months ago
18 Sept 2025
TL
Tobias Lütke — holds since 2025-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change. — tap to centre the map on it A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change. Last stated 3 weeks ago
20 Aug 2026
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A religion cannot revive itself by encouraging its members to have more children. — tap to centre the map on it A religion cannot revive itself by encouraging its members to have more children. Last stated 2 weeks ago
24 Aug 2026
RB
Ryan Burge — holds since 2026-08-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Any theory of the fall in birth rates must explain both the worldwide collapse and the differences between countries, and most theories explain only one. — tap to centre the map on it Any theory of the fall in birth rates must explain both the worldwide collapse and the differences between countries, and most theories explain only one. Last stated 2 years ago
1 Nov 2024
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2024-11-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country benefits from immigration in proportion to whether the people arriving are net contributors who assimilate. — tap to centre the map on it A country benefits from immigration in proportion to whether the people arriving are net contributors who assimilate. Last stated 2 weeks ago
26 Aug 2026
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: America treats its inability to build and to admit skilled migrants as mysteries to be endured rather than problems to be solved. — tap to centre the map on it America treats its inability to build and to admit skilled migrants as mysteries to be endured rather than problems to be solved. Last stated 3 years ago
23 Jan 2024
DW
Dan Wang — holds since 2024-01-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Anti-immigration parties gain ground by generating fear, not by winning the argument about what immigration does. — tap to centre the map on it Anti-immigration parties gain ground by generating fear, not by winning the argument about what immigration does. Last stated 3 years ago
29 Nov 2023
LP
Lant Pritchett — holds since 2023-11-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost. — tap to centre the map on it A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost. Last stated 5 months ago
1 Apr 2026
TP
Thuan Pham — holds since 2026-04-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Cash welfare benefits contributed at least somewhat to the inflation of 2021-2022. — tap to centre the map on it Cash welfare benefits contributed at least somewhat to the inflation of 2021-2022. Last stated 4 years ago
25 Jul 2022
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2022-07-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total. — tap to centre the map on it Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are