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← Estimating GDP involves a significant amount of educated guesswork.
15 connected korrents · 15 moments from 1 Jun 2022 to 12 Oct 2026.
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AI and jobs Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Estimating GDP involves a significant amount of educated guesswork. Estimating GDP involves a significant amount of educated guesswork. Last stated today
12 Oct 2026
PK
Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-10-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: World GDP growth is certain to accelerate, and the share of GDP spent on computation will be a hundred times what it was, because a computer is now a factory rather than a warehouse. — tap to centre the map on it World GDP growth is certain to accelerate, and the share of GDP spent on computation will be a hundred times what it was, because a computer is now a factory rather than a warehouse. Last stated 7 months ago
23 Mar 2026
JH
Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-03-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: When assessing an economy's trajectory, current performance signals are more useful than forecasts of potential GDP growth. — tap to centre the map on it When assessing an economy's trajectory, current performance signals are more useful than forecasts of potential GDP growth. Last stated a year ago
13 Aug 2025
AB
Andrew Batson — holds since 2025-08-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Long-run GDP charts hide what matters: technologies are contingent and path dependent, so the same number can describe economies that work in entirely different ways. — tap to centre the map on it Long-run GDP charts hide what matters: technologies are contingent and path dependent, so the same number can describe economies that work in entirely different ways. Last stated 4 years ago
26 Aug 2022
BD
Bret Devereaux — holds since 2022-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Numbers offer a false precision: which metrics you choose to look at, and whether a five percent rise is good, are both art rather than science. — tap to centre the map on it Numbers offer a false precision: which metrics you choose to look at, and whether a five percent rise is good, are both art rather than science. Last stated a year ago
21 Sept 2025
JZ
Julie Zhuo — holds since 2025-09-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: People may be overestimating how many problems are bound by intelligence rather than by other things. — tap to centre the map on it People may be overestimating how many problems are bound by intelligence rather than by other things. Last stated a month ago
6 Sept 2026
AA
Anish Acharya — holds since 2026-09-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The scaling curve really is S-shaped, but there are at least two cycles left in it, which means models sixteen times smarter and all knowledge work subsumed. — tap to centre the map on it The scaling curve really is S-shaped, but there are at least two cycles left in it, which means models sixteen times smarter and all knowledge work subsumed. Last stated 7 months ago
11 Mar 2026
SY
Steve Yegge — holds since 2026-03-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A data centre earns its county far more tax revenue per gallon of water than a golf course does. — tap to centre the map on it A data centre earns its county far more tax revenue per gallon of water than a golf course does. Last stated a year ago
11 Oct 2025
AM
Andy Masley — holds since 2025-10-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A data centre powered by solar and batteries alone needs an array so oversized that the design is not worth building. — tap to centre the map on it A data centre powered by solar and batteries alone needs an array so oversized that the design is not worth building. Last stated 2 years ago
18 Apr 2024
AV
Austin Vernon — holds since 2024-04-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A data centre should be split into independent power blocks fed directly at 1500 volts DC, rather than run through one central distribution system. — tap to centre the map on it A data centre should be split into independent power blocks fed directly at 1500 volts DC, rather than run through one central distribution system. Last stated 2 years ago
18 Apr 2024
AV
Austin Vernon — holds since 2024-04-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country should raise revenue by tariffing foreign countries rather than by taxing its own citizens. — tap to centre the map on it A country should raise revenue by tariffing foreign countries rather than by taxing its own citizens. Last stated 2 years ago
20 Jan 2025
DT
Donald Trump — holds since 2025-01-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output. — tap to centre the map on it A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A thriving society needs both the left's redistributing of resources and the right's producing and conserving of them — tap to centre the map on it A thriving society needs both the left's redistributing of resources and the right's producing and conserving of them Last stated 3 years ago
11 May 2023
RB
Roy Baumeister — holds since 2023-05-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Carbon intensity" metrics let oil companies claim climate progress even as their total emissions rise from increased production. — tap to centre the map on it "Carbon intensity" metrics let oil companies claim climate progress even as their total emissions rise from increased production. Last stated a month ago
9 Sept 2026
EA
Emily Atkin — holds since 2026-09-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Food from thin air" is not from thin air: it runs on water, minerals, ammonia and industrial plant. — tap to centre the map on it "Food from thin air" is not from thin air: it runs on water, minerals, ammonia and industrial plant. Last stated 3 months ago
30 Jun 2026
CS
Chris Smaje — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. Last stated 4 months ago
4 Jun 2026
AI
Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Estimating GDP involves a significant amount of educated guesswork.
Holds Read this korrent →
World GDP growth is certain to accelerate, and the share of GDP spent on computation will be a hundred times what it was, because a computer is now a factory rather than a warehouse.
Holds
When assessing an economy's trajectory, current performance signals are more useful than forecasts of potential GDP growth.
Holds
Long-run GDP charts hide what matters: technologies are contingent and path dependent, so the same number can describe economies that work in entirely different ways.
Holds
Numbers offer a false precision: which metrics you choose to look at, and whether a five percent rise is good, are both art rather than science.
Holds
People may be overestimating how many problems are bound by intelligence rather than by other things.
Holds
The scaling curve really is S-shaped, but there are at least two cycles left in it, which means models sixteen times smarter and all knowledge work subsumed.
Holds
A data centre earns its county far more tax revenue per gallon of water than a golf course does.
Holds
A data centre powered by solar and batteries alone needs an array so oversized that the design is not worth building.
Holds
A data centre should be split into independent power blocks fed directly at 1500 volts DC, rather than run through one central distribution system.
Holds
A country should raise revenue by tariffing foreign countries rather than by taxing its own citizens.
Holds
A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output.
Holds
A thriving society needs both the left's redistributing of resources and the right's producing and conserving of them
Holds
"Carbon intensity" metrics let oil companies claim climate progress even as their total emissions rise from increased production.
Holds
"Food from thin air" is not from thin air: it runs on water, minerals, ammonia and industrial plant.
Holds
A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated.
Holds