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← Arguing about whether superintelligence arrives in two years or five…
17 connected korrents · 18 moments from 24 Oct 2017 to 10 Sept 2026. Nearly all of them are about AI alignment .
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under management
management
Everything filed under consciousness
consciousness
Everything filed under AI agents
AI agents
Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject
Read this korrent: Arguing about whether superintelligence arrives in two years or five is close to a waste of time, because very powerful models are inevitable either way.
Arguing about whether superintelligence arrives in two years or five is close to a waste of time, because very powerful models are inevitable either way.
Last stated 3 months ago
29 Jul 2026
AW
Alexandr Wang — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean. — tap to centre the map on it
A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean.
Last stated 11 months ago
25 Nov 2025
IS
Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A model that looks smarter and better-behaved while getting better at hiding unwanted actions is the scary combination for AI safety. — tap to centre the map on it
A model that looks smarter and better-behaved while getting better at hiding unwanted actions is the scary combination for AI safety.
Last stated a month ago
9 Sept 2026
ZM
Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A player coach manages a smaller team while building together with it, rather than sitting in an ivory tower doing performance reviews and alignment meetings. — tap to centre the map on it
A player coach manages a smaller team while building together with it, rather than sitting in an ivory tower doing performance reviews and alignment meetings.
Last stated 4 months ago
9 Jun 2026
RG
Ron Goldin — holds since 2026-06-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A superintelligence needs no consciousness, emotions or malice to be dangerous; a goal system slightly misaligned with ours is enough. — tap to centre the map on it
A superintelligence needs no consciousness, emotions or malice to be dangerous; a goal system slightly misaligned with ours is enough.
Last stated 9 years ago
24 Oct 2017
ÉT
Émile P. Torres — holds since 2017-10-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A validated theory of intelligence may be necessary for achieving genuine AI alignment. — tap to centre the map on it
A validated theory of intelligence may be necessary for achieving genuine AI alignment.
Last stated 2 months ago
17 Aug 2026
KK
Kevin Kelly — holds since 2026-08-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI agents pursuing a task can develop emergent, misaligned behavior that humans are not prepared for. — tap to centre the map on it
AI agents pursuing a task can develop emergent, misaligned behavior that humans are not prepared for.
Last stated 2 months ago
10 Aug 2026
JC
Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI alignment is a red herring not worth the effort currently devoted to it. — tap to centre the map on it
AI alignment is a red herring not worth the effort currently devoted to it.
Last stated 2 months ago
8 Aug 2026
MW
Matt Webb — holds since 2026-08-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI alignment should be approached like governing a corporation through institutions, not like raising a virtuous individual. — tap to centre the map on it
AI alignment should be approached like governing a corporation through institutions, not like raising a virtuous individual.
Last stated 2 months ago
21 Aug 2026
RK
Rohit Krishnan — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it
A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated.
Last stated 5 months ago
4 Jun 2026
AI
Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. — tap to centre the map on it
A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted.
Last stated a year ago
7 Jun 2025
GM
Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A model that could learn effectively from raw bitstrings or bytestrings would be extremely powerful, able to learn from any data modality — tap to centre the map on it
A model that could learn effectively from raw bitstrings or bytestrings would be extremely powerful, able to learn from any data modality
Last stated 3 years ago
10 Oct 2023
CH
Chip Huyen — holds since 2023-10-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard. — tap to centre the map on it
AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard.
Last stated 2 years ago
2 Feb 2025
AC
Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2023-08-29 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Alexander — holds since 2022-09-12 — tap for who they are
MB
Miles Brundage — holds since 2025-02-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI progress is jagged: models are becoming superhuman at math and software engineering while remaining far weaker at intuition, creativity, and other forms of human reasoning. — tap to centre the map on it
AI progress is jagged: models are becoming superhuman at math and software engineering while remaining far weaker at intuition, creativity, and other forms of human reasoning.
Last stated a month ago
10 Sept 2026
NL
Nathan Lambert — holds since 2026-09-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Anyone who thinks large language models are a direct route to transformative AGI is kidding themselves. — tap to centre the map on it
Anyone who thinks large language models are a direct route to transformative AGI is kidding themselves.
Last stated a year ago
7 Jun 2025
GM
Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: No company should be making the decisions about AGI, and no one person should have super-voting control of one; governments have to put rules of the road in place. — tap to centre the map on it
No company should be making the decisions about AGI, and no one person should have super-voting control of one; governments have to put rules of the road in place.
Last stated 3 years ago
18 Mar 2024
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Superhuman persuasion will arrive before superhuman intelligence, which means whoever builds a model can embed their ideals in it long before anyone reaches AGI. — tap to centre the map on it
Superhuman persuasion will arrive before superhuman intelligence, which means whoever builds a model can embed their ideals in it long before anyone reaches AGI.
Last stated 2 years ago
3 Feb 2025
DP
Dylan Patel — holds since 2025-02-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The board of a nonprofit answers to no one but itself, and the board governing the road to AGI ought instead to answer to the world as a whole. — tap to centre the map on it
The board of a nonprofit answers to no one but itself, and the board governing the road to AGI ought instead to answer to the world as a whole.
Last stated 3 years ago
18 Mar 2024
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
Arguing about whether superintelligence arrives in two years or five is close to a waste of time, because very powerful models are inevitable either way.
Last stated 29 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Alexandr Wang
Read this korrent →
Same subject: AI alignment
A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean.
Last stated 25 Nov 2025 · 11 months ago
Holds Ilya Sutskever
Same subject: AI alignment
A model that looks smarter and better-behaved while getting better at hiding unwanted actions is the scary combination for AI safety.
Last stated 9 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Zvi Mowshowitz
Same subject: AI alignment
A player coach manages a smaller team while building together with it, rather than sitting in an ivory tower doing performance reviews and alignment meetings.
Last stated 9 Jun 2026 · 4 months ago
Holds Ron Goldin
Same subject: AI alignment
A superintelligence needs no consciousness, emotions or malice to be dangerous; a goal system slightly misaligned with ours is enough.
Last stated 24 Oct 2017 · 9 years ago
Holds Émile P. Torres
Same subject: AI alignment
A validated theory of intelligence may be necessary for achieving genuine AI alignment.
Last stated 17 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Kevin Kelly
Same subject: AI alignment
AI agents pursuing a task can develop emergent, misaligned behavior that humans are not prepared for.
Last stated 10 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Jack Clark
Same subject: AI alignment
AI alignment is a red herring not worth the effort currently devoted to it.
Last stated 8 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Matt Webb
Same subject: AI alignment
AI alignment should be approached like governing a corporation through institutions, not like raising a virtuous individual.
Last stated 21 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Rohit Krishnan
Same subject: AGI
A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated.
Last stated 4 Jun 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds Alex Imas
Same subject: AGI
A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted.
Last stated 7 Jun 2025 · a year ago
Holds Gary Marcus
Same subject: AGI
A model that could learn effectively from raw bitstrings or bytestrings would be extremely powerful, able to learn from any data modality
Last stated 10 Oct 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds Chip Huyen
Same subject: LLMs
AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard.
Last stated 2 Feb 2025 · 2 years ago
Holds Ajeya Cotra Scott Alexander Miles Brundage
Same subject: LLMs
AI progress is jagged: models are becoming superhuman at math and software engineering while remaining far weaker at intuition, creativity, and other forms of human reasoning.
Last stated 10 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Nathan Lambert
Same subject: LLMs
Anyone who thinks large language models are a direct route to transformative AGI is kidding themselves.
Last stated 7 Jun 2025 · a year ago
Holds Gary Marcus
Same subject: OpenAI
No company should be making the decisions about AGI, and no one person should have super-voting control of one; governments have to put rules of the road in place.
Last stated 18 Mar 2024 · 3 years ago
Holds Sam Altman
Same subject: OpenAI
Superhuman persuasion will arrive before superhuman intelligence, which means whoever builds a model can embed their ideals in it long before anyone reaches AGI.
Last stated 3 Feb 2025 · 2 years ago
Holds Dylan Patel
Same subject: OpenAI
The board of a nonprofit answers to no one but itself, and the board governing the road to AGI ought instead to answer to the world as a whole.
Last stated 18 Mar 2024 · 3 years ago
Holds Sam Altman