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← AI progress from 2024 to 2026 has been faster than the progress seen from 2022 to 2024.
17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 29 Aug 2023 to 22 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under AI and jobs
AI and jobs
Everything filed under AI and human skill
AI and human skill
Everything filed under coding agents
coding agents
Everything filed under recursive self-improvement
recursive self-improvement
Everything filed under scaling laws
scaling laws
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: AI progress from 2024 to 2026 has been faster than the progress seen from 2022 to 2024. AI progress from 2024 to 2026 has been faster than the progress seen from 2022 to 2024. Last stated 6 months ago
28 Apr 2026
KP
Kelsey Piper — holds since 2026-04-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The pace of progress in AI, and in science as a whole, should be expected to speed up in the coming years. — tap to centre the map on it The pace of progress in AI, and in science as a whole, should be expected to speed up in the coming years. Last stated 2 weeks ago
19 Oct 2026
JC
Jack Clark — holds since 2026-10-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI research will be fully automated around 2030 or 2031, and AI will beat humans at essentially any job by about 2033. — tap to centre the map on it AI research will be fully automated around 2030 or 2031, and AI will beat humans at essentially any job by about 2033. Last stated 3 months ago
11 Aug 2026
RG
Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Once AI can do AI research, a single year should deliver four or five years worth of AI progress. — tap to centre the map on it Once AI can do AI research, a single year should deliver four or five years worth of AI progress. Last stated 3 months ago
11 Aug 2026
RG
Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Full recursive self-improvement in AI is more likely to become possible in 2027 than in 2028. — tap to centre the map on it Full recursive self-improvement in AI is more likely to become possible in 2027 than in 2028. Last stated 3 weeks ago
12 Oct 2026
JC
Jack Clark — holds since 2026-10-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The impact of AI will grow faster over time even if capabilities mostly stop improving — tap to centre the map on it The impact of AI will grow faster over time even if capabilities mostly stop improving Last stated a week ago
22 Oct 2026
ZM
Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-10-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI model capabilities have not slowed down so far, and their progress probably won't stop anytime soon. — tap to centre the map on it AI model capabilities have not slowed down so far, and their progress probably won't stop anytime soon. Last stated 2 months ago
3 Sept 2026
AR
Armin Ronacher — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI is likely to become a more relevant issue before 2028. — tap to centre the map on it AI is likely to become a more relevant issue before 2028. Last stated 3 weeks ago
6 Oct 2026
NS
Nate Silver — holds since 2026-10-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Machine-learning researchers and superforecasters alike were surprised by how fast language models improved in 2022 and 2023. — tap to centre the map on it Machine-learning researchers and superforecasters alike were surprised by how fast language models improved in 2022 and 2023. Last stated 3 years ago
29 Aug 2023
AC
Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2023-08-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company must cut half its engineers to pay for the other half's tokens, and that is what the layoffs are actually about. — tap to centre the map on it A company must cut half its engineers to pay for the other half's tokens, and that is what the layoffs are actually about. Last stated 8 months ago
11 Mar 2026
SY
Steve Yegge — holds since 2026-03-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A home is an asset that is likely to perform poorly exactly when a person needs it most due to its correlation with local labor market shocks. — tap to centre the map on it A home is an asset that is likely to perform poorly exactly when a person needs it most due to its correlation with local labor market shocks. Last stated 3 months ago
30 Jul 2026
JD
Jerusalem Demsas — holds since 2026-07-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A labor market stuck in a low-hiring equilibrium will see employment decline outright unless hiring rates recover. — tap to centre the map on it A labor market stuck in a low-hiring equilibrium will see employment decline outright unless hiring rates recover. Last stated 10 months ago
11 Jan 2026
JP
Joseph Politano — holds since 2026-01-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A machine doing your work better than you is no reason to stop doing it, because the point of the work was never that only you could do it. — tap to centre the map on it A machine doing your work better than you is no reason to stop doing it, because the point of the work was never that only you could do it. Last stated 5 months ago
2 Jun 2026
LS
L. M. Sacasas — holds since 2026-06-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A skill being automated is not a reason to stop learning it: practising what machines already do is often the stepping stone to what only people can do. — tap to centre the map on it A skill being automated is not a reason to stop learning it: practising what machines already do is often the stepping stone to what only people can do. Last stated 11 months ago
18 Nov 2025
SY
Scott H. Young — holds since 2025-11-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A well-written email does not need an AI summary, and an executive who delegates his reading to one has stopped doing the job. — tap to centre the map on it A well-written email does not need an AI summary, and an executive who delegates his reading to one has stopped doing the job. Last stated a year ago
21 May 2025
EZ
Ed Zitron — holds since 2025-05-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "I don't know" becomes a kind of superpower when you can work with Claude Code to figure things out. — tap to centre the map on it "I don't know" becomes a kind of superpower when you can work with Claude Code to figure things out. Last stated 7 months ago
19 Mar 2026
KP
Kris Puckett — holds since 2026-03-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A coding agent does not learn from its mistakes the way a person does -- it repeats the same error indefinitely unless a human notices and writes it down. — tap to centre the map on it A coding agent does not learn from its mistakes the way a person does -- it repeats the same error indefinitely unless a human notices and writes it down. Last stated 7 months ago
25 Mar 2026
MZ
Mario Zechner — holds since 2026-03-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A coding agent left to run over a weekend returns work that is half good, a quarter garbage and a quarter in need of repair. — tap to centre the map on it A coding agent left to run over a weekend returns work that is half good, a quarter garbage and a quarter in need of repair. Last stated a year ago
18 Aug 2025
CB
Clay Bavor — holds since 2025-08-18 — tap for who they are