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← AI has arguably been hitting its marks so far, roughly as anticipated…

17 connected korrents · 18 moments from 17 Jul 2020 to 17 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under AI agents AI agents Everything filed under reinforcement learning reinforcement learning Everything filed under AGI AGI Everything filed under humility humility Everything filed under behavioural science behavioural science Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: AI has arguably been hitting its marks so far, roughly as anticipated by people who are really worried about existential threats. AI has arguably been hitting its marks sofar, roughly as anticipated by people whoare really worried about existentialthreats. Last stated 2 months ago 15 Sept 2026 NS Nate Silver — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: Nobody can yet know whether the current enthusiasm for AI is excessive, so anyone claiming conviction about how it resolves is overreaching. — tap to centre the map on it Nobody can yet know whether thecurrent enthusiasm for AI isexcessive, so anyone claimingconviction about how it resolves isoverreaching. Last stated 2 months ago 20 Aug 2026 AD Aswath Damodaran — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are HM Howard Marks — holds since 2025-12-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: Decades of warnings about an AI apocalypse do not justify much concern today. — tap to centre the map on it Decades of warnings about an AIapocalypse do not justify muchconcern today. Last stated 2 months ago 12 Sept 2026 PF Paul Ford — holds since 2026-09-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: Public sentiment on AI is shifting steadily toward greater concern about its risks, not less. — tap to centre the map on it Public sentiment on AI is shiftingsteadily toward greater concernabout its risks, not less. Last stated 2 months ago 11 Sept 2026 CN Casey Newton — holds since 2026-09-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: As AI advances, thinking philosophically about its implications will become a common job and pastime for large numbers of people. — tap to centre the map on it As AI advances, thinkingphilosophically about itsimplications will become a commonjob and pastime for large numbers ofpeople. Last stated 2 months ago 24 Aug 2026 JC Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-24 — tap for who they are Same subject: No one fully understands the consequences of how capable AI is becoming. — tap to centre the map on it No one fully understands theconsequences of how capable AI isbecoming. Last stated 2 months ago 1 Sept 2026 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Once AI starts to feel powerful rather than mistake-prone, every AI company will become far more paranoid about safety than it is today. — tap to centre the map on it Once AI starts to feel powerfulrather than mistake-prone, every AIcompany will become far moreparanoid about safety than it istoday. Last stated 11 months ago 25 Nov 2025 IS Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI is a reality that is likely not going away. — tap to centre the map on it AI is a reality that is likely notgoing away. Last stated 5 months ago 18 May 2026 BF Brad Frost — holds since 2026-05-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Skepticism about artificial general intelligence arriving is warranted — tap to centre the map on it Skepticism about artificial generalintelligence arriving is warranted Last stated 6 years ago 17 Jul 2020 MH Max Hodak — no longer holds since 2020-07-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: A collection of AI agents does not automatically form a functioning organization any more than a group of smart people does. — tap to centre the map on it A collection of AI agents does notautomatically form a functioningorganization any more than a groupof smart people does. Last stated 5 months ago 21 May 2026 RK Rohit Krishnan — holds since 2026-05-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company cannot be led by machines, because nobody would have recourse against them. — tap to centre the map on it A company cannot be led by machines,because nobody would have recourseagainst them. Last stated 2 months ago 15 Sept 2026 TL Tobias Lütke — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A computer-using agent needs a machine of its own, or you will spend the day fighting it for the mouse cursor. — tap to centre the map on it A computer-using agent needs amachine of its own, or you willspend the day fighting it for themouse cursor. Last stated 3 months ago 10 Aug 2026 PS Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A badly written AI outbound email isevidence of a bad vendor, not of alimit of AI. Last stated 10 months ago 1 Jan 2026 JL Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it A bigger context window does notgive you a smarter model; theintelligence of the model is whatdecides how much of that window itcan actually attend to. Last stated 4 months ago 15 Jul 2026 DH Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. — tap to centre the map on it A body of publications is easy forAI models to consume via pretrainingcorpora but cumbersome for mosthumans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts,and paywalls. Last stated a month ago 17 Sept 2026 PC Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel. — tap to centre the map on it A physical AI company needs threeAIs, not one — the agent, thesimulator and the critic — turningdeployment into a flywheel. Last stated 3 months ago 3 Aug 2026 DD Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well. — tap to centre the map on it A verifiable task can be optimisedby reinforcement learning until aneural network performs it extremelywell. Last stated 11 months ago 17 Nov 2025 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-11-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: Anything precise enough to benchmark is also precise enough to optimize for, and modern RL training increasingly resembles the shape of the benchmarks themselves. — tap to centre the map on it Anything precise enough to benchmarkis also precise enough to optimizefor, and modern RL trainingincreasingly resembles the shape ofthe benchmarks themselves. Last stated 7 months ago 16 Apr 2026 SK Sayash Kapoor — holds since 2026-04-16 — tap for who they are
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At the centre AI has arguably been hitting its marks so far, roughly as anticipated by people who are really worried about existential threats. Last stated 15 Sept 2026 · 2 months ago Holds Nate Silver Read this korrent →