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← AI has arguably been hitting its marks so far, roughly as anticipated…
17 connected korrents · 18 moments from 17 Jul 2020 to 17 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under AI alignment
AI alignment
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs
Everything filed under AI agents
AI agents
Everything filed under reinforcement learning
reinforcement learning
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under humility
humility
Everything filed under behavioural science
behavioural science
Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject
Read this korrent: AI has arguably been hitting its marks so far, roughly as anticipated by people who are really worried about existential threats.
AI has arguably been hitting its marks so far, roughly as anticipated by people who are really worried about existential threats.
Last stated 2 months ago
15 Sept 2026
NS
Nate Silver — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Nobody can yet know whether the current enthusiasm for AI is excessive, so anyone claiming conviction about how it resolves is overreaching. — tap to centre the map on it
Nobody can yet know whether the current enthusiasm for AI is excessive, so anyone claiming conviction about how it resolves is overreaching.
Last stated 2 months ago
20 Aug 2026
AD
Aswath Damodaran — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
HM
Howard Marks — holds since 2025-12-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Decades of warnings about an AI apocalypse do not justify much concern today. — tap to centre the map on it
Decades of warnings about an AI apocalypse do not justify much concern today.
Last stated 2 months ago
12 Sept 2026
PF
Paul Ford — holds since 2026-09-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Public sentiment on AI is shifting steadily toward greater concern about its risks, not less. — tap to centre the map on it
Public sentiment on AI is shifting steadily toward greater concern about its risks, not less.
Last stated 2 months ago
11 Sept 2026
CN
Casey Newton — holds since 2026-09-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: As AI advances, thinking philosophically about its implications will become a common job and pastime for large numbers of people. — tap to centre the map on it
As AI advances, thinking philosophically about its implications will become a common job and pastime for large numbers of people.
Last stated 2 months ago
24 Aug 2026
JC
Jack Clark — holds since 2026-08-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: No one fully understands the consequences of how capable AI is becoming. — tap to centre the map on it
No one fully understands the consequences of how capable AI is becoming.
Last stated 2 months ago
1 Sept 2026
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Once AI starts to feel powerful rather than mistake-prone, every AI company will become far more paranoid about safety than it is today. — tap to centre the map on it
Once AI starts to feel powerful rather than mistake-prone, every AI company will become far more paranoid about safety than it is today.
Last stated 11 months ago
25 Nov 2025
IS
Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI is a reality that is likely not going away. — tap to centre the map on it
AI is a reality that is likely not going away.
Last stated 5 months ago
18 May 2026
BF
Brad Frost — holds since 2026-05-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Skepticism about artificial general intelligence arriving is warranted — tap to centre the map on it
Skepticism about artificial general intelligence arriving is warranted
Last stated 6 years ago
17 Jul 2020
MH
Max Hodak — no longer holds since 2020-07-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A collection of AI agents does not automatically form a functioning organization any more than a group of smart people does. — tap to centre the map on it
A collection of AI agents does not automatically form a functioning organization any more than a group of smart people does.
Last stated 5 months ago
21 May 2026
RK
Rohit Krishnan — holds since 2026-05-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company cannot be led by machines, because nobody would have recourse against them. — tap to centre the map on it
A company cannot be led by machines, because nobody would have recourse against them.
Last stated 2 months ago
15 Sept 2026
TL
Tobias Lütke — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A computer-using agent needs a machine of its own, or you will spend the day fighting it for the mouse cursor. — tap to centre the map on it
A computer-using agent needs a machine of its own, or you will spend the day fighting it for the mouse cursor.
Last stated 3 months ago
10 Aug 2026
PS
Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it
A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI.
Last stated 10 months ago
1 Jan 2026
JL
Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it
A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to.
Last stated 4 months ago
15 Jul 2026
DH
Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. — tap to centre the map on it
A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls.
Last stated a month ago
17 Sept 2026
PC
Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel. — tap to centre the map on it
A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel.
Last stated 3 months ago
3 Aug 2026
DD
Dmitri Dolgov — holds since 2026-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well. — tap to centre the map on it
A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well.
Last stated 11 months ago
17 Nov 2025
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-11-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Anything precise enough to benchmark is also precise enough to optimize for, and modern RL training increasingly resembles the shape of the benchmarks themselves. — tap to centre the map on it
Anything precise enough to benchmark is also precise enough to optimize for, and modern RL training increasingly resembles the shape of the benchmarks themselves.
Last stated 7 months ago
16 Apr 2026
SK
Sayash Kapoor — holds since 2026-04-16 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are faded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind
At the centre
AI has arguably been hitting its marks so far, roughly as anticipated by people who are really worried about existential threats.
Last stated 15 Sept 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Nate Silver
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
Nobody can yet know whether the current enthusiasm for AI is excessive, so anyone claiming conviction about how it resolves is overreaching.
Last stated 20 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Aswath Damodaran Howard Marks
Similar wording
Decades of warnings about an AI apocalypse do not justify much concern today.
Last stated 12 Sept 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Paul Ford
Similar wording
Public sentiment on AI is shifting steadily toward greater concern about its risks, not less.
Last stated 11 Sept 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Casey Newton
Similar wording
As AI advances, thinking philosophically about its implications will become a common job and pastime for large numbers of people.
Last stated 24 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Jack Clark
Similar wording
No one fully understands the consequences of how capable AI is becoming.
Last stated 1 Sept 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Sam Altman
Similar wording
Once AI starts to feel powerful rather than mistake-prone, every AI company will become far more paranoid about safety than it is today.
Last stated 25 Nov 2025 · 11 months ago
Holds Ilya Sutskever
Similar wording
AI is a reality that is likely not going away.
Last stated 18 May 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds Brad Frost
Similar wording
Skepticism about artificial general intelligence arriving is warranted
Last stated 17 Jul 2020 · 6 years ago
No longer holds Max Hodak
Same subject: AI agents
A collection of AI agents does not automatically form a functioning organization any more than a group of smart people does.
Last stated 21 May 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds Rohit Krishnan
Same subject: AI agents
A company cannot be led by machines, because nobody would have recourse against them.
Last stated 15 Sept 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Tobias Lütke
Same subject: AI agents
A computer-using agent needs a machine of its own, or you will spend the day fighting it for the mouse cursor.
Last stated 10 Aug 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Peter Steinberger
Same subject: LLMs
A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI.
Last stated 1 Jan 2026 · 10 months ago
Holds Jason Lemkin
Same subject: LLMs
A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to.
Last stated 15 Jul 2026 · 4 months ago
Holds Dex Horthy
Same subject: LLMs
A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls.
Last stated 17 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Patrick Collison
Same subject: reinforcement learning
A physical AI company needs three AIs, not one — the agent, the simulator and the critic — turning deployment into a flywheel.
Last stated 3 Aug 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Dmitri Dolgov
Same subject: reinforcement learning
A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well.
Last stated 17 Nov 2025 · 11 months ago
Holds Andrej Karpathy
Same subject: reinforcement learning
Anything precise enough to benchmark is also precise enough to optimize for, and modern RL training increasingly resembles the shape of the benchmarks themselves.
Last stated 16 Apr 2026 · 7 months ago
Holds Sayash Kapoor