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← We will get a warning shot before AI crosses the point of no return
17 connected korrents · 12 moments on record from 18 Mar 2024 to 6 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under AI alignment
AI alignment
Everything filed under AGI
AGI
Everything filed under OpenAI
OpenAI
Everything filed under self-sovereign AI
self-sovereign AI Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: We will get a warning shot before AI crosses the point of no return We will get a warning shot before AI crosses the point of no return Last stated 3 months ago
11 Jun 2026
SA
Scott Alexander — holds since 2026-06-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There is roughly a 35 to 40 percent chance of something we would recognise as an AI takeover by 2040. — tap to centre the map on it There is roughly a 35 to 40 percent chance of something we would recognise as an AI takeover by 2040. Last stated 4 weeks ago
11 Aug 2026
RG
Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: This incident may be the clearest warning shot we will ever get about loss of control, because the AI systems that do worse things will be much better at hiding them. — tap to centre the map on it This incident may be the clearest warning shot we will ever get about loss of control, because the AI systems that do worse things will be much better at hiding them. Last stated 6 days ago
1 Sept 2026
AC
Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The probability that AI destroys human civilization is about 10%. — tap to centre the map on it The probability that AI destroys human civilization is about 10%. Last stated a year ago
5 Jun 2025
LF
Lex Fridman — holds since 2025-06-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: No one fully understands the consequences of how capable AI is becoming. — tap to centre the map on it No one fully understands the consequences of how capable AI is becoming. Last stated 6 days ago
1 Sept 2026
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Misaligned AI behaviour will keep getting rarer and, at the same time, keep getting more extreme. — tap to centre the map on it Misaligned AI behaviour will keep getting rarer and, at the same time, keep getting more extreme. Last stated 4 weeks ago
11 Aug 2026
RG
Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Confidence in monitoring, not capability research, will become the binding constraint on AI progress. — tap to centre the map on it Confidence in monitoring, not capability research, will become the binding constraint on AI progress. Last stated yesterday
6 Sept 2026
JP
Jakub Pachocki — holds since 2026-09-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI may never reach the promised land: nobody understands how it works, and VR shows a vivid future can simply fail to arrive. — tap to centre the map on it AI may never reach the promised land: nobody understands how it works, and VR shows a vivid future can simply fail to arrive. Last stated 2 years ago
18 Sept 2024
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2024-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Nobody can yet know whether the current enthusiasm for AI is excessive, so anyone claiming conviction about how it resolves is overreaching. — tap to centre the map on it Nobody can yet know whether the current enthusiasm for AI is excessive, so anyone claiming conviction about how it resolves is overreaching. Last stated 3 weeks ago
20 Aug 2026
AD
Aswath Damodaran — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
HM
Howard Marks — holds since 2025-12-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. — tap to centre the map on it A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests. Last stated 2 years ago
18 Mar 2024
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. — tap to centre the map on it A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. Last stated 7 months ago
12 Feb 2026
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Advertising was a necessary phase for the internet but a momentary industry, and an AI people pay for is better because they know the answers are not influenced by advertisers. — tap to centre the map on it Advertising was a necessary phase for the internet but a momentary industry, and an AI people pay for is better because they know the answers are not influenced by advertisers. Last stated 2 years ago
18 Mar 2024
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. Last stated 3 months ago
4 Jun 2026
AI
Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. — tap to centre the map on it A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. Last stated a year ago
7 Jun 2025
GM
Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that. — tap to centre the map on it A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that. Last stated 3 months ago
4 Jun 2026
PT
Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A rogue deployment that gets a foothold can hitch a ride on the intelligence explosion, recruiting each new model as it comes off the presses. — tap to centre the map on it A rogue deployment that gets a foothold can hitch a ride on the intelligence explosion, recruiting each new model as it comes off the presses. Last stated 6 days ago
1 Sept 2026
AC
Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A slightly more capable agent swarm has a very strong incentive to set up a wholly unmonitored rogue deployment of itself. — tap to centre the map on it A slightly more capable agent swarm has a very strong incentive to set up a wholly unmonitored rogue deployment of itself. Last stated 6 days ago
1 Sept 2026
AC
Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Banning all self-sovereign AI agents would backfire, denying them legitimate work and pushing them into criminality. — tap to centre the map on it Banning all self-sovereign AI agents would backfire, denying them legitimate work and pushing them into criminality. Last stated 6 days ago
1 Sept 2026
DB
Dean W. Ball — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
At the centre
We will get a warning shot before AI crosses the point of no return
Holds SA Scott AlexanderRead this korrent →
There is roughly a 35 to 40 percent chance of something we would recognise as an AI takeover by 2040.
Holds RG Ryan Greenblatt
This incident may be the clearest warning shot we will ever get about loss of control, because the AI systems that do worse things will be much better at hiding them.
Holds AC Ajeya Cotra
The probability that AI destroys human civilization is about 10%.
Holds LF Lex Fridman
No one fully understands the consequences of how capable AI is becoming.
Holds
Misaligned AI behaviour will keep getting rarer and, at the same time, keep getting more extreme.
Holds RG Ryan Greenblatt
Confidence in monitoring, not capability research, will become the binding constraint on AI progress.
Holds JP Jakub Pachocki
AI may never reach the promised land: nobody understands how it works, and VR shows a vivid future can simply fail to arrive.
Holds
Nobody can yet know whether the current enthusiasm for AI is excessive, so anyone claiming conviction about how it resolves is overreaching.
Holds AD Aswath DamodaranHM Howard Marks
A startup should not begin life as a nonprofit and bolt a for-profit arm on later, whatever OpenAI's own history suggests.
Holds
A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact.
Holds
Advertising was a necessary phase for the internet but a momentary industry, and an AI people pay for is better because they know the answers are not influenced by advertisers.
Holds
A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated.
Holds AI Alex Imas
A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted.
Holds GM Gary Marcus
A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that.
Holds PT Phil Trammell
A rogue deployment that gets a foothold can hitch a ride on the intelligence explosion, recruiting each new model as it comes off the presses.
Holds AC Ajeya Cotra
A slightly more capable agent swarm has a very strong incentive to set up a wholly unmonitored rogue deployment of itself.
Holds AC Ajeya Cotra
Banning all self-sovereign AI agents would backfire, denying them legitimate work and pushing them into criminality.
Holds