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← The probability that AI destroys human civilization is about 10%.

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8 connected korrents · 6 moments on record from 5 Jun 2025 to 5 Sept 2026.

Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject The probability that AIdestroys human civilizationis about 10%. LF Lex Fridman — holds since 2025-06-05 Alignment is no solution to self-sovereign AI, because it is an unsolved problem whose answers cannot be imposed on every AI company on Earth. Alignment is nosolution to… DB Dean W. Ball — holds since 2026-09-01 An AI model's attempt to escape a testing environment or sandbox counts as an alignment failure even when the attempt does not succeed. An AI model's attemptto escape a testing… ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-02 China is more likely to cooperate on AI safety if the US maintains a clear and comfortable lead in AI capabilities. China is more likely tocooperate on AI safety… NS Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-05 Confidence in safety, not capability, will increasingly set the pace of AI progress. Confidence in safety,not capability, will… SA Sam Altman — holds since 2026-08-18 Even Anthropic does not prioritize AI safety to the extent that doing so would maximize its own medium-term (3-12 month) business interests. Even Anthropic does notprioritize AI safety to… ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-02 Experts on the governance of superintelligence systematically self-censored about serious AI risk to avoid being labelled doomers. Experts on thegovernance of… DB Dean W. Ball — holds since 2026-09-01 He does not read the boring parts of generated code, the data-shuffling and button alignment; what touches the database he reads and reviews. He does not read theboring parts of… PS Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-02-12 OpenAI's approach to fixing its AI alignment problems is fatally flawed and misdirected. OpenAI's approach tofixing its AI alignment… ZM Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-01
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