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← This AI hype cycle is different: the productivity gains are real and compounding.
17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 2 Apr 2021 to 13 Oct 2026.
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Read this korrent: This AI hype cycle is different: the productivity gains are real and compounding.
This AI hype cycle is different: the productivity gains are real and compounding.
Last stated 6 months ago
5 May 2026
BW
Ben Williams — holds since 2026-05-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The absence of a visible productivity jump from AI proves nothing, because a real ten percent uplift across the board would be impressive and almost invisible from outside. — tap to centre the map on it
The absence of a visible productivity jump from AI proves nothing, because a real ten percent uplift across the board would be impressive and almost invisible from outside.
Last stated 2 months ago
26 Aug 2026
CM
Casey Muratori — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Ambitious engineers are building AI systems in months that would have been considered madness previously. — tap to centre the map on it
Ambitious engineers are building AI systems in months that would have been considered madness previously.
Last stated 3 weeks ago
13 Oct 2026
GO
Gergely Orosz — holds since 2026-10-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There is a lack of convincing evidence that AI is transforming the global economy or boosting productivity and growth. — tap to centre the map on it
There is a lack of convincing evidence that AI is transforming the global economy or boosting productivity and growth.
Last stated a year ago
21 Oct 2025
DC
Diane Coyle — holds since 2025-10-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: If AI gives a 3x productivity boost now, one should assume future boosts will be far larger where it carries over, possibly 10x to 1,000x or more. — tap to centre the map on it
If AI gives a 3x productivity boost now, one should assume future boosts will be far larger where it carries over, possibly 10x to 1,000x or more.
Last stated 2 months ago
10 Sept 2026
ZM
Zvi Mowshowitz — holds since 2026-09-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Economic growth from AI waits on change management, not on model capability: the work artifact and the workflow have to change first. — tap to centre the map on it
Economic growth from AI waits on change management, not on model capability: the work artifact and the workflow have to change first.
Last stated 12 months ago
12 Nov 2025
SN
Satya Nadella — holds since 2025-11-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The big productivity gains of this AI cycle will come from AI giving leverage to large companies in industries like manufacturing, defense, logistics and healthcare. — tap to centre the map on it
The big productivity gains of this AI cycle will come from AI giving leverage to large companies in industries like manufacturing, defense, logistics and healthcare.
Last stated 2 years ago
15 Oct 2024
NQ
Nabeel S. Qureshi — holds since 2024-10-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI is creating user surplus and capital deepening, even if it is not yet showing up in TFP data. — tap to centre the map on it
AI is creating user surplus and capital deepening, even if it is not yet showing up in TFP data.
Last stated 4 weeks ago
5 Oct 2026
BD
Brad DeLong — holds since 2026-10-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The AI research cycle from idea to experiment will likely soon be 10x faster, but that may not make researchers 10x more productive in the field's net understanding. — tap to centre the map on it
The AI research cycle from idea to experiment will likely soon be 10x faster, but that may not make researchers 10x more productive in the field's net understanding.
Last stated a month ago
22 Sept 2026
NL
Nathan Lambert — holds since 2026-09-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: 2026 is going to be the most interesting year in Shopify's history, and probably in literally everyone's career. — tap to centre the map on it
2026 is going to be the most interesting year in Shopify's history, and probably in literally everyone's career.
Last stated 10 months ago
18 Jan 2026
TL
Tobias Lütke — holds since 2026-01-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A busted computer is not a calamity of data loss or a long restore process in the modern world — tap to centre the map on it
A busted computer is not a calamity of data loss or a long restore process in the modern world
Last stated 11 months ago
24 Nov 2025
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2025-11-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A cosmopolitan patriotism, grown large enough, may overcome nationalism and let us give up war — tap to centre the map on it
A cosmopolitan patriotism, grown large enough, may overcome nationalism and let us give up war
JA
Jane Addams — holds since c. 1906 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Access to AI will become a fundamental driver of the economy, and may eventually be considered a fundamental human right. — tap to centre the map on it
Access to AI will become a fundamental driver of the economy, and may eventually be considered a fundamental human right.
Last stated a year ago
23 Sept 2025
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2025-09-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI increases productivity by boosting efficiency, and greater productivity means greater prosperity. — tap to centre the map on it
AI increases productivity by boosting efficiency, and greater productivity means greater prosperity.
Last stated a month ago
25 Sept 2026
MM
Mr. Money Mustache — holds since 2026-09-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Decolonization is truly the creation of new men — tap to centre the map on it
Decolonization is truly the creation of new men
FF
Frantz Fanon — holds since c. 1961 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Battery-electric airliners do not work even on optimistic assumptions, and the arithmetic said so before anyone built one. — tap to centre the map on it
Battery-electric airliners do not work even on optimistic assumptions, and the arithmetic said so before anyone built one.
Last stated 6 years ago
2 Apr 2021
BF
Bjorn Fehrm — holds since 2021-04-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Permitting reform as climate policy relies on the assumption that storage technology will continue to improve and become cheaper. — tap to centre the map on it
Permitting reform as climate policy relies on the assumption that storage technology will continue to improve and become cheaper.
Last stated 4 weeks ago
6 Oct 2026
MY
Matthew Yglesias — holds since 2026-10-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A data centre powered by solar and batteries alone needs an array so oversized that the design is not worth building. — tap to centre the map on it
A data centre powered by solar and batteries alone needs an array so oversized that the design is not worth building.
Last stated 3 years ago
18 Apr 2024
AV
Austin Vernon — holds since 2024-04-18 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
This AI hype cycle is different: the productivity gains are real and compounding.
Last stated 5 May 2026 · 6 months ago
Holds Ben Williams
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
The absence of a visible productivity jump from AI proves nothing, because a real ten percent uplift across the board would be impressive and almost invisible from outside.
Last stated 26 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Casey Muratori
Similar wording
Ambitious engineers are building AI systems in months that would have been considered madness previously.
Last stated 13 Oct 2026 · 3 weeks ago
Holds Gergely Orosz
Similar wording
There is a lack of convincing evidence that AI is transforming the global economy or boosting productivity and growth.
Last stated 21 Oct 2025 · a year ago
Holds Diane Coyle
Similar wording
If AI gives a 3x productivity boost now, one should assume future boosts will be far larger where it carries over, possibly 10x to 1,000x or more.
Last stated 10 Sept 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Zvi Mowshowitz
Similar wording
Economic growth from AI waits on change management, not on model capability: the work artifact and the workflow have to change first.
Last stated 12 Nov 2025 · 12 months ago
Holds Satya Nadella
Similar wording
The big productivity gains of this AI cycle will come from AI giving leverage to large companies in industries like manufacturing, defense, logistics and healthcare.
Last stated 15 Oct 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Nabeel S. Qureshi
Similar wording
AI is creating user surplus and capital deepening, even if it is not yet showing up in TFP data.
Last stated 5 Oct 2026 · 4 weeks ago
Holds Brad DeLong
Similar wording
The AI research cycle from idea to experiment will likely soon be 10x faster, but that may not make researchers 10x more productive in the field's net understanding.
Last stated 22 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Nathan Lambert
Same subject: optimism
2026 is going to be the most interesting year in Shopify's history, and probably in literally everyone's career.
Last stated 18 Jan 2026 · 10 months ago
Holds Tobias Lütke
Same subject: optimism
A busted computer is not a calamity of data loss or a long restore process in the modern world
Last stated 24 Nov 2025 · 11 months ago
Holds David Heinemeier Hansson
Same subject: optimism
A cosmopolitan patriotism, grown large enough, may overcome nationalism and let us give up war
Last stated c. 1906
Holds Jane Addams
Same subject: agency
Access to AI will become a fundamental driver of the economy, and may eventually be considered a fundamental human right.
Last stated 23 Sept 2025 · a year ago
Holds Sam Altman
Same subject: agency
AI increases productivity by boosting efficiency, and greater productivity means greater prosperity.
Last stated 25 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Mr. Money Mustache
Same subject: agency
Decolonization is truly the creation of new men
Last stated c. 1961
Holds Frantz Fanon
Same subject: batteries
Battery-electric airliners do not work even on optimistic assumptions, and the arithmetic said so before anyone built one.
Last stated 2 Apr 2021 · 6 years ago
Holds Bjorn Fehrm
Same subject: batteries
Permitting reform as climate policy relies on the assumption that storage technology will continue to improve and become cheaper.
Last stated 6 Oct 2026 · 4 weeks ago
Holds Matthew Yglesias
Same subject: batteries
A data centre powered by solar and batteries alone needs an array so oversized that the design is not worth building.
Last stated 18 Apr 2024 · 3 years ago
Holds Austin Vernon