korrents

A korrentour reading

There is a 25% chance of AGI by 2027, a 50% chance by 2034, and a 75% chance by 2045

Drawn from what Scott Alexander said

AGI
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A korrent — “current”, with a K — is our reading of what someone said: one sentence, drawn from their own words below. People put the same thought in different words; a korrent tries to name the thought they share, so that what several people mean can be set side by side, and followed as it changes.

It is an approximation, and it is ours. The quotes are theirs, word for word, and where the two differ, the quote is the fact. Read more →

What Scott Alexander actually said

Word for word, from things they published elsewhere, each linked to where it was said. They did not write this page.

  1. SA

    Scott Alexander 11 Jun 2026

    I think there's a 25% chance of AGI by 2027, a 50% chance by 2034, and a 75% chance by 2045.

    My AI Opinionsastralcodexten.com

First recorded here 11 Jun 2026 · How quotes work

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