korrents

← The three-year bet about whether AI image models could handle compositionality was won in three months.

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8 connected korrents · 11 moments on record from 12 Sept 2022 to 3 Sept 2026.

In tensionSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject The three-year bet aboutwhether AI image modelscould handle… SA Scott Alexander — holds since 2022-09-12 SA Scott Alexander — turned since 2022-10-08 Most current predictions about AI's imminent impact on the job market are naive. Most currentpredictions about AI's… AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-09-25 Once AI can do AI research, a single year should deliver four or five years worth of AI progress. Once AI can do AIresearch, a single year… RG Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 No bottleneck in the AI supply chain lasts longer than two or three years. No bottleneck in the AIsupply chain lasts… JH Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-04-15 AI model capability progress is not going to slow down soon AI model capabilityprogress is not going… AR Armin Ronacher — holds since 2026-09-03 A compelling simulation of a human being could arrive within five years, and the technology is heading there whether or not it is a good idea. A compelling simulationof a human being could… TS Tim Sweeney — holds since 2025-04-30 The games industry already ran the experiment everyone expects from AI, when engines became licensable, and the results were not good news. The games industryalready ran the… CM Casey Muratori — holds since 2026-08-26 Work on large language models is not progress toward artificial general intelligence, because the models do not understand what they read. Work on large languagemodels is not progress… AG Alexey Guzey — holds since 2024-08-09 AG Alexey Guzey — turned since 2025-07-30 OpenAI's 2022 bet on GPT-4 was a larger gamble than any training run since: all of its compute, for months, on an architecture nobody at Google believed in. OpenAI's 2022 bet onGPT-4 was a larger… DP Dylan Patel — holds since 2025-02-03
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