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← The test of a scientific model is not whether supporting evidence can…

17 connected korrents · 16 moments on record from 12 Feb 2010 to 4 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under scaling laws scaling laws Everything filed under taste taste Everything filed under reinforcement learning reinforcement learning Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under mathematics mathematics Everything filed under design design Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: The test of a scientific model is not whether supporting evidence can be found for it, but whether it fits the totality of the evidence. The test of a scientific model is notwhether supporting evidence can be foundfor it, but whether it fits the totalityof the evidence. Last stated 8 years ago 3 Jul 2018 SG Stephan Guyenet — holds since 2018-07-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: The hypotheses AI 'co-scientist' systems are producing are ones the literature already contains, and the publicity around them does not say so. — tap to centre the map on it The hypotheses AI 'co-scientist'systems are producing are ones theliterature already contains, and thepublicity around them does not sayso. Last stated 3 months ago 27 May 2026 DL Derek Lowe — holds since 2026-05-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: "There is no empirical evidence against my position" is not an argument for it. — tap to centre the map on it "There is no empirical evidenceagainst my position" is not anargument for it. Last stated 12 years ago 7 Nov 2014 DL Dan Luu — holds since 2014-11-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: Models have no research taste yet, which is why they complement researchers rather than replace them. — tap to centre the map on it Models have no research taste yet,which is why they complementresearchers rather than replacethem. Last stated 2 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: The scaling law for world models was a conviction held in advance, not a discovery; the devils were always in the architecture choices and the data mixture. — tap to centre the map on it The scaling law for world models wasa conviction held in advance, not adiscovery; the devils were always inthe architecture choices and thedata mixture. Last stated 3 days ago 4 Sept 2026 FL Fei-Fei Li — holds since 2026-09-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: Models can prove monumental theorems and still have never written an essay worth reading. — tap to centre the map on it Models can prove monumental theoremsand still have never written anessay worth reading. Last stated a month ago 31 Jul 2026 PC Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-07-31 — tap for who they are Same subject: The twin prime conjecture is certainly true, the random model gives overwhelming odds of it, and he just cannot prove it. — tap to centre the map on it The twin prime conjecture iscertainly true, the random modelgives overwhelming odds of it, andhe just cannot prove it. Last stated a year ago 14 Jun 2025 TT Terence Tao — holds since 2025-06-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: A narrow, highly accurate model can beat a general one inside its own domain, as AlphaFold did, and materials science and chip design are next. — tap to centre the map on it A narrow, highly accurate model canbeat a general one inside its owndomain, as AlphaFold did, andmaterials science and chip designare next. Last stated a month ago 30 Jul 2026 JD Jeff Dean — holds since 2026-07-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: The fear that a great theorem will arrive as an incomprehensible proof is misplaced, because once the proof exists as an artifact we can analyse it. — tap to centre the map on it The fear that a great theorem willarrive as an incomprehensible proofis misplaced, because once the proofexists as an artifact we can analyseit. Last stated 6 months ago 20 Mar 2026 TT Terence Tao — holds since 2026-03-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: A benchmark result should be reported under a stated budget, or as a curve against test-time compute — never as a single number. — tap to centre the map on it A benchmark result should bereported under a stated budget, oras a curve against test-time compute— never as a single number. Last stated 2 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: A lab should spend most of its compute on research rather than on building the next model, because research is where the tenfold yearly efficiency gains come from. — tap to centre the map on it A lab should spend most of itscompute on research rather than onbuilding the next model, becauseresearch is where the tenfold yearlyefficiency gains come from. Last stated 6 months ago 13 Mar 2026 DP Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: After pre-training, post-training and test-time scaling, the fourth scaling law is agentic: multiplying AI by spawning agents, and the whole loop scales on one thing, compute. — tap to centre the map on it After pre-training, post-trainingand test-time scaling, the fourthscaling law is agentic: multiplyingAI by spawning agents, and the wholeloop scales on one thing, compute. Last stated 6 months ago 23 Mar 2026 JH Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-03-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: A first draft should not be graded good or bad; it is only the material that taste then gets to act on. — tap to centre the map on it A first draft should not be gradedgood or bad; it is only the materialthat taste then gets to act on. Last stated a month ago 6 Aug 2026 GS George Saunders — holds since 2026-08-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: A lot of people can match a framework for taste; almost nobody can create one, and creating one is the rare skill. — tap to centre the map on it A lot of people can match aframework for taste; almost nobodycan create one, and creating one isthe rare skill. Last stated 11 months ago 16 Oct 2025 DF Dylan Field — holds since 2025-10-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: A product needs a soul, and for that it needs one person of great taste who is its living, breathing aspect and gets furious about every small detail. — tap to centre the map on it A product needs a soul, and for thatit needs one person of great tastewho is its living, breathing aspectand gets furious about every smalldetail. Last stated 17 years ago 12 Feb 2010 KS Karri Saarinen — holds since 2010-02-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: A verifiable task can be optimised by reinforcement learning until a neural network performs it extremely well. — tap to centre the map on it A verifiable task can be optimisedby reinforcement learning until aneural network performs it extremelywell. Last stated 10 months ago 17 Nov 2025 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-11-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: Capability does not generalise for free: a model that will move mountains on an agentic task still tells the same bad joke it told five years ago. — tap to centre the map on it Capability does not generalise forfree: a model that will movemountains on an agentic task stilltells the same bad joke it told fiveyears ago. Last stated 6 months ago 20 Mar 2026 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-03-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: Humans barely use reinforcement learning for intelligence — what RL they do use goes into motor tasks, not problem solving. — tap to centre the map on it Humans barely use reinforcementlearning for intelligence — what RLthey do use goes into motor tasks,not problem solving. Last stated 11 months ago 17 Oct 2025 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are
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At the centre The test of a scientific model is not whether supporting evidence can be found for it, but whether it fits the totality of the evidence. Last stated 3 Jul 2018 · 8 years ago Holds Stephan Guyenet Read this korrent →