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← The sharp steepening of the long end of the yield curve in 2023 was…

17 connected korrents · 13 moments from 1 Apr 2002 to 1 Oct 2026. Nearly all of them are about economists.

Everything filed under interest rates interest rates Everything filed under education education Everything filed under physics physics Everything filed under humility humility Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: The sharp steepening of the long end of the yield curve in 2023 was not predicted by economists, including forecasters who had modelled persistently low safe rates. The sharp steepening of the long end ofthe yield curve in 2023 was not predictedby economists, including forecasters whohad modelled persistently low safe rates. Last stated 3 years ago 6 Nov 2023 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2023-11-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: Among the leading candidates for greatest economist of all time, Adam Smith was analytically the weakest, save perhaps Malthus. — tap to centre the map on it Among the leading candidates forgreatest economist of all time, AdamSmith was analytically the weakest,save perhaps Malthus. Last stated 3 years ago 1 Oct 2023 TC Tyler Cowen — holds since 2023-10-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: An inability to see the viewpoints of people unlike oneself is a genuine weakness in a social scientist, not merely a separate moral failing. — tap to centre the map on it An inability to see the viewpointsof people unlike oneself is agenuine weakness in a socialscientist, not merely a separatemoral failing. Last stated 3 years ago 1 Oct 2023 TC Tyler Cowen — holds since 2023-10-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Aspiring economists should take as many math and statistics courses as they can stomach — tap to centre the map on it Aspiring economists should take asmany math and statistics courses asthey can stomach Last stated 20 years ago 23 May 2006 GM Greg Mankiw — holds since 2006-05-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: College is not a good career investment for most of the population. — tap to centre the map on it College is not a good careerinvestment for most of thepopulation. Last stated 2 years ago 19 Feb 2025 BC Bryan Caplan — holds since 2025-02-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: Competition that removes differentiation makes everyone worse off, because it assumes people already know what they want. — tap to centre the map on it Competition that removesdifferentiation makes everyone worseoff, because it assumes peoplealready know what they want. Last stated 10 months ago 9 Dec 2025 RS Rory Sutherland — holds since 2025-12-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: Cumrun Vafa's 'dark dimension' torsion balance experiment does not amount to a genuine testable prediction of string theory. — tap to centre the map on it Cumrun Vafa's 'dark dimension'torsion balance experiment does notamount to a genuine testableprediction of string theory. Last stated 2 months ago 26 Aug 2026 PW Peter Woit — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: Development economists can contribute far less to a poor country’s growth policy in real time than either they or their critics assume. — tap to centre the map on it Development economists cancontribute far less to a poorcountry’s growth policy in real timethan either they or their criticsassume. Last stated 5 months ago 6 May 2026 NS Noah Smith — holds since 2026-05-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: Differences between the public's and economists' economic views do not solely reflect economists' self-serving bias. — tap to centre the map on it Differences between the public's andeconomists' economic views do notsolely reflect economists'self-serving bias. Last stated 25 years ago 1 Apr 2002 BC Bryan Caplan — holds since 2002-04-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total. — tap to centre the map on it Central bank purchases of governmentbonds are not bailouts and do notautomatically cause inflation, sincethey only change the composition ofthe consolidated government'sliabilities, not their total. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Central banks should hold inflation-protected bonds as primary assets — tap to centre the map on it Central banks should holdinflation-protected bonds as primaryassets Last stated 2 weeks ago 1 Oct 2026 JC John H. Cochrane — holds since 2026-10-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Holding real assets should help central banks control inflation. — tap to centre the map on it Holding real assets should helpcentral banks control inflation. Last stated 2 weeks ago 1 Oct 2026 JC John H. Cochrane — holds since 2026-10-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Inflation could stay elevated for a while even as the Fed keeps raising rates, because of war-driven costs and AI capital spending. — tap to centre the map on it Inflation could stay elevated for awhile even as the Fed keeps raisingrates, because of war-driven costsand AI capital spending. Last stated 3 weeks ago 27 Sept 2026 BC Ben Carlson — holds since 2026-09-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: Judging by output kept near potential despite weak private demand, Japan's decades of high debt and low inflation reflect a qualified policy success, not failure. — tap to centre the map on it Judging by output kept nearpotential despite weak privatedemand, Japan's decades of high debtand low inflation reflect aqualified policy success, notfailure. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Raising interest rates cannot meaningfully cool inflation when structural fiscal deficits, not private-sector lending, are its main driver. — tap to centre the map on it Raising interest rates cannotmeaningfully cool inflation whenstructural fiscal deficits, notprivate-sector lending, are its maindriver. Last stated 2 years ago 8 Jan 2025 LA Lyn Alden — holds since 2025-01-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. — tap to centre the map on it A central bank can eliminate aself-fulfilling ('sunspot') debtcrisis simply by credibly committingto buy as many bonds as needed atthe low interest rate. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending. — tap to centre the map on it A government's debt dynamics are ahousehold's or a company's, exceptthat it can print money and tax --and those two powers are what changethe ending. Last stated 2 months ago 21 Aug 2026 RD Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A longer average debt maturity protects a government from temporary interest-rate spikes and gives it more time to adjust to permanent rate increases. — tap to centre the map on it A longer average debt maturityprotects a government from temporaryinterest-rate spikes and gives itmore time to adjust to permanentrate increases. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
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At the centre The sharp steepening of the long end of the yield curve in 2023 was not predicted by economists, including forecasters who had modelled persistently low safe rates. Last stated 6 Nov 2023 · 3 years ago Holds Olivier Blanchard Read this korrent →