17 connected korrents · 12 moments from 1 Jun 2022 to 15 Oct 2026. Nearly all of them are about interest rates and inflation.
At the centre
Central bank purchases of government bonds are not bailouts and do not automatically cause inflation, since they only change the composition of the consolidated government's liabilities, not their total.
Last stated 1 Jun 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds
Olivier Blanchard
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Same subject: inflation, interest rates
Central banks should hold inflation-protected bonds as primary assets
Last stated 1 Oct 2026 · 2 weeks ago
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John H. Cochrane
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Same subject: inflation, interest rates
Holding real assets should help central banks control inflation.
Last stated 1 Oct 2026 · 2 weeks ago
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John H. Cochrane
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Same subject: inflation, interest rates
Inflation could stay elevated for a while even as the Fed keeps raising rates, because of war-driven costs and AI capital spending.
Last stated 27 Sept 2026 · 3 weeks ago
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Ben Carlson
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Same subject: inflation, interest rates
Judging by output kept near potential despite weak private demand, Japan's decades of high debt and low inflation reflect a qualified policy success, not failure.
Last stated 1 Jun 2022 · 4 years ago
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Olivier Blanchard
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Same subject: inflation, interest rates
Raising interest rates cannot meaningfully cool inflation when structural fiscal deficits, not private-sector lending, are its main driver.
Last stated 8 Jan 2025 · 2 years ago
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Lyn Alden
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Same subject: inflation, interest rates
Rising diesel prices are even more likely than rising gasoline prices to drive up interest rates.
Last stated 21 Sept 2026 · 4 weeks ago
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Paul Krugman
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Same subject: inflation, interest rates
The Fed's odds of threading the needle and getting inflation back down to target while avoiding a recession get much lower
Last stated 15 Oct 2026 · 3 days ago
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Brad DeLong
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Same subject: inflation, interest rates
The Federal Reserve will keep raising interest rates as long as inflation stays above target and economic growth remains strong.
Last stated 27 Sept 2026 · 3 weeks ago
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Ben Carlson
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Same subject: government
A ban on self-recursive improvement in AI models would create a big incentive for some other parts of the world to invest a lot more in compute.
Last stated 22 Sept 2026 · 4 weeks ago
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Tyler Cowen
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Same subject: government
A broken criminal justice institution survives precisely because it serves the people who run it.
Last stated 1 Sept 2026 · 2 months ago
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Radley Balko
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Same subject: government
A candidate's political success is increasingly disconnected from their actual record of accomplishment.
Last stated 31 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
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Daniel W. Drezner
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Same subject: quantitative easing
Since the Global Financial Crisis, unconventional monetary policy has become the dominant force driving asset prices, more than fundamentals.
Last stated 24 Sept 2024 · 2 years ago
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Lyn Alden
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Same subject: quantitative easing
Canceling government bonds held by a central bank creates no fiscal space, because the reduction in government interest payments is exactly offset by an equal reduction in the profits the central bank remits to the government.
Last stated 1 Jun 2022 · 4 years ago
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Olivier Blanchard
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Same subject: quantitative easing
A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate.
Last stated 1 Jun 2022 · 4 years ago
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Olivier Blanchard
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Same subject: public debt
A government debt crisis is measurable and therefore visible well in advance; the diagnostic is mechanical rather than a matter of judgement.
Last stated 21 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
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Ray Dalio
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Same subject: public debt
Assessing whether government debt is sustainable is as much an art as a science.
Last stated 1 Jun 2022 · 4 years ago
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Olivier Blanchard
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Same subject: public debt
Government borrowing through the financial crisis and the pandemic was a good trade, because it repaired household balance sheets.
Last stated 28 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
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Ben Carlson