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← The efficient market hypothesis is at best a very lossy heuristic
17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 1 Aug 2021 to 18 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under market efficiency
market efficiency
Everything filed under capitalism
capitalism
Everything filed under crypto
crypto
Everything filed under price gouging
price gouging
Everything filed under ambition
ambition
Everything filed under investing
investing
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Read this korrent: The efficient market hypothesis is at best a very lossy heuristic
The efficient market hypothesis is at best a very lossy heuristic
Last stated 2 months ago
4 Sept 2026
NF
Nat Friedman — holds since 2026-09-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Technology has made markets less efficient at long horizons rather than more efficient. — tap to centre the map on it
Technology has made markets less efficient at long horizons rather than more efficient.
Last stated 2 years ago
3 Sept 2024
CA
Cliff Asness — holds since 2024-09-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The market place of ideas isn't perfectly efficient or perfectly rational — tap to centre the map on it
The market place of ideas isn't perfectly efficient or perfectly rational
Last stated 2 years ago
8 Jun 2024
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2024-06-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The claim that passive investing has made markets less efficient is overwrought. — tap to centre the map on it
The claim that passive investing has made markets less efficient is overwrought.
Last stated 4 months ago
18 Jun 2026
AD
Aswath Damodaran — holds since 2026-06-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The stock market has become less informationally efficient over the past thirty-plus years, particularly in the relative pricing of common stocks over medium horizons. — tap to centre the map on it
The stock market has become less informationally efficient over the past thirty-plus years, particularly in the relative pricing of common stocks over medium horizons.
Last stated 2 years ago
3 Sept 2024
CA
Cliff Asness — holds since 2024-09-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Samuelson's random-walk analogy for stock prices was mathematical showing-off dressed up as a claim about the real world. — tap to centre the map on it
Samuelson's random-walk analogy for stock prices was mathematical showing-off dressed up as a claim about the real world.
Last stated 3 years ago
30 May 2023
AG
Andrew Gelman — holds since 2023-05-27 — tap for who they are
AG
Andrew Gelman — no longer holds since 2023-05-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable. — tap to centre the map on it
Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable.
Last stated 5 years ago
22 Feb 2022
NN
Neel Nanda — holds since 2022-02-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Even the most advanced AI cannot be followed blindly in investing, where value added is zero-sum and what is widely known is therefore worth little. — tap to centre the map on it
Even the most advanced AI cannot be followed blindly in investing, where value added is zero-sum and what is widely known is therefore worth little.
Last stated 4 months ago
10 Jun 2026
RD
Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-06-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: In investing, extra effort tends to correlate negatively with results for the vast majority of people, with some exceptions such as Renaissance Technologies. — tap to centre the map on it
In investing, extra effort tends to correlate negatively with results for the vast majority of people, with some exceptions such as Renaissance Technologies.
Last stated 2 years ago
28 May 2024
MH
Morgan Housel — holds since 2024-05-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Draconian price controls are among the most ruinous economic policies a government can impose. — tap to centre the map on it
Draconian price controls are among the most ruinous economic policies a government can impose.
Last stated a month ago
18 Sept 2026
SS
Scott Sumner — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Dynamic pricing means prices decrease as well as increase. — tap to centre the map on it
Dynamic pricing means prices decrease as well as increase.
Last stated a month ago
13 Sept 2026
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Europe's carmakers spent the early 2020s raising prices and profits at their customers' expense, and narrowed their own market doing it. — tap to centre the map on it
Europe's carmakers spent the early 2020s raising prices and profits at their customers' expense, and narrowed their own market doing it.
Last stated 3 months ago
22 Jul 2026
AT
Adam Tooze — holds since 2026-07-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A competitive market involves no personal rivalry and no personal haggling — tap to centre the map on it
A competitive market involves no personal rivalry and no personal haggling
MF
Milton Friedman — holds since c. 1962 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A market becomes commodified through fungibility of alternatives, not merely through lower price. — tap to centre the map on it
A market becomes commodified through fungibility of alternatives, not merely through lower price.
Last stated 2 months ago
26 Aug 2026
RK
Rohit Krishnan — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A market economy rewards putting land under campsites and horse liveries rather than under food, and that is the wrong thing to reward. — tap to centre the map on it
A market economy rewards putting land under campsites and horse liveries rather than under food, and that is the wrong thing to reward.
Last stated 3 years ago
9 Dec 2023
CS
Chris Smaje — holds since 2023-12-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A tracing requirement in an encrypted messenger gives up the confidentiality of who sent what, which is the part that protects the sender. — tap to centre the map on it
A tracing requirement in an encrypted messenger gives up the confidentiality of who sent what, which is the part that protects the sender.
Last stated 5 years ago
1 Aug 2021
MG
Matthew Green — holds since 2021-08-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Bitcoin creates more upside and downside than traditional money because it makes users power users with no system administrator to fall back on. — tap to centre the map on it
Bitcoin creates more upside and downside than traditional money because it makes users power users with no system administrator to fall back on.
Last stated 3 months ago
12 Jul 2026
BS
Balaji Srinivasan — holds since 2026-07-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Code-signing with self-signed certificates makes security worse rather than better. — tap to centre the map on it
Code-signing with self-signed certificates makes security worse rather than better.
Last stated 6 months ago
25 Apr 2026
CW
Chris Wellons — holds since 2026-04-25 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are faded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind