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← Someone who claims doom is imminent but does not change their own life…
17 connected korrents · 19 moments from 30 Aug 2018 to 2 Oct 2026.
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AGI Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Someone who claims doom is imminent but does not change their own life decisions to match probably does not really believe it. Someone who claims doom is imminent but does not change their own life decisions to match probably does not really believe it. Last stated 4 weeks ago
6 Sept 2026
PB
Paul Bloom — holds since 2026-09-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Quoting a number for P(doom) is a ridiculous notion, because it implies a precision that nobody actually has. — tap to centre the map on it Quoting a number for P(doom) is a ridiculous notion, because it implies a precision that nobody actually has. Last stated a year ago
23 Jul 2025
DH
Demis Hassabis — holds since 2025-07-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: His own predictions of when something will ship are pathologically optimistic, and the criticism that he is late is correct. — tap to centre the map on it His own predictions of when something will ship are pathologically optimistic, and the criticism that he is late is correct. Last stated 3 years ago
9 Nov 2023
EM
Elon Musk — holds since 2023-11-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The track record of thoughtful people predicting the long-run future is mediocre rather than hopeless, which is enough to take such predictions seriously. — tap to centre the map on it The track record of thoughtful people predicting the long-run future is mediocre rather than hopeless, which is enough to take such predictions seriously. Last stated 4 years ago
30 Jun 2022
HK
Holden Karnofsky — holds since 2022-06-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Not truly believing a claim, or failing to act on it, does not make the claim false. — tap to centre the map on it Not truly believing a claim, or failing to act on it, does not make the claim false. Last stated 4 weeks ago
6 Sept 2026
PB
Paul Bloom — holds since 2026-09-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Changing your mind in light of new facts should be celebrated rather than held against you. — tap to centre the map on it Changing your mind in light of new facts should be celebrated rather than held against you. Last stated 4 weeks ago
7 Sept 2026
SG
Stephan Guyenet — holds since 2018-08-30 — tap for who they are
GO
Gergely Orosz — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are
PL
Pieter Levels — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Leaders in a nuclear crisis who believe they are in control are not in control, and events on the ground can escalate against their wishes. — tap to centre the map on it Leaders in a nuclear crisis who believe they are in control are not in control, and events on the ground can escalate against their wishes. Last stated 3 years ago
4 Mar 2024
SP
Serhii Plokhy — holds since 2024-03-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Being told to be realistic about your ambitions is how ambitions fail; the boundaries people accept about what they can do are the ones that stop them. — tap to centre the map on it Being told to be realistic about your ambitions is how ambitions fail; the boundaries people accept about what they can do are the ones that stop them. Last stated a month ago
24 Aug 2026
MH
Masud Husain — holds since 2026-08-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: You do not need to predict the future; you only need to live in everyone else's relative future, which is a few high-conviction beta updates away. — tap to centre the map on it You do not need to predict the future; you only need to live in everyone else's relative future, which is a few high-conviction beta updates away. Last stated a year ago
18 Sept 2025
TL
Tobias Lütke — holds since 2025-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. Last stated 4 months ago
4 Jun 2026
AI
Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A glorious transhumanist future awaits us if we get AI right — tap to centre the map on it A glorious transhumanist future awaits us if we get AI right Last stated yesterday
2 Oct 2026
HF
Henry Farrell — holds since 2026-10-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean. — tap to centre the map on it A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean. Last stated 10 months ago
25 Nov 2025
IS
Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. — tap to centre the map on it A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. Last stated 2 years ago
7 May 2024
BS
Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A deep theoretical understanding to predict AI behavior is unattainable. — tap to centre the map on it A deep theoretical understanding to predict AI behavior is unattainable. Last stated a week ago
23 Sept 2026
TC
Tyler Cowen — holds since 2026-09-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. — tap to centre the map on it A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. Last stated a month ago
26 Aug 2026
HK
Henrik Karlsson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. Last stated 9 months ago
1 Jan 2026
JL
Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. Last stated 3 months ago
15 Jul 2026
DH
Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A child who has seen ten cats learns what a machine needs the whole internet of cat photos for, by a learning pathway nobody has solved. — tap to centre the map on it A child who has seen ten cats learns what a machine needs the whole internet of cat photos for, by a learning pathway nobody has solved. Last stated 2 months ago
10 Aug 2026
FL
Fei-Fei Li — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Someone who claims doom is imminent but does not change their own life decisions to match probably does not really believe it.
Holds Read this korrent →
Quoting a number for P(doom) is a ridiculous notion, because it implies a precision that nobody actually has.
Holds
His own predictions of when something will ship are pathologically optimistic, and the criticism that he is late is correct.
Holds
The track record of thoughtful people predicting the long-run future is mediocre rather than hopeless, which is enough to take such predictions seriously.
Holds
Not truly believing a claim, or failing to act on it, does not make the claim false.
Holds
Changing your mind in light of new facts should be celebrated rather than held against you.
Holds
Leaders in a nuclear crisis who believe they are in control are not in control, and events on the ground can escalate against their wishes.
Holds
Being told to be realistic about your ambitions is how ambitions fail; the boundaries people accept about what they can do are the ones that stop them.
Holds
You do not need to predict the future; you only need to live in everyone else's relative future, which is a few high-conviction beta updates away.
Holds
A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated.
Holds
A glorious transhumanist future awaits us if we get AI right
Holds
A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean.
Holds
A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail.
Holds
A deep theoretical understanding to predict AI behavior is unattainable.
Holds
A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score.
Holds
A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI.
Holds
A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to.
Holds
A child who has seen ten cats learns what a machine needs the whole internet of cat photos for, by a learning pathway nobody has solved.
Holds