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← Science fiction writers are not very good at predicting the future.
17 connected korrents · 18 moments from 16 Jan 2015 to 18 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under AI alignment
AI alignment
Everything filed under measuring intelligence
measuring intelligence
Everything filed under taste
taste
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AI and jobs
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Read this korrent: Science fiction writers are not very good at predicting the future.
Science fiction writers are not very good at predicting the future.
Last stated 9 months ago
23 Jan 2026
KL
Ken Liu — holds since 2026-01-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Science fiction is only good when it rests on an obvious hypothesis rather than being space opera, because the story exists to test the idea. — tap to centre the map on it
Science fiction is only good when it rests on an obvious hypothesis rather than being space opera, because the story exists to test the idea.
Last stated a year ago
31 Oct 2025
DH
Dan Houser — holds since 2025-10-31 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Most people are not as good at inferring a writer's intent from their fiction as they believe themselves to be. — tap to centre the map on it
Most people are not as good at inferring a writer's intent from their fiction as they believe themselves to be.
Last stated 7 years ago
25 Nov 2019
AL
Ann Leckie — holds since 2019-11-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Science fiction ideas are increasingly becoming tomorrow's science fact. — tap to centre the map on it
Science fiction ideas are increasingly becoming tomorrow's science fact.
Last stated 9 years ago
17 Mar 2018
MS
Marcus du Sautoy — holds since 2018-03-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The story of a superintelligence in a box that gets smart and kills everybody is not science fiction — it is bad science fiction. — tap to centre the map on it
The story of a superintelligence in a box that gets smart and kills everybody is not science fiction — it is bad science fiction.
Last stated 2 years ago
13 Jun 2024
SW
Sara Walker — holds since 2024-06-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The one thing no science-fiction writer dared predict is that the Turing test would be passed and nobody would notice. — tap to centre the map on it
The one thing no science-fiction writer dared predict is that the Turing test would be passed and nobody would notice.
Last stated a year ago
18 Sept 2025
TL
Tobias Lütke — holds since 2025-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI is unlikely to end a working writer's career, barring a broader societal collapse. — tap to centre the map on it
AI is unlikely to end a working writer's career, barring a broader societal collapse.
Last stated a month ago
20 Sept 2026
JS
John Scalzi — holds since 2026-09-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The future will increasingly involve bots reading for humans and bots writing for bots. — tap to centre the map on it
The future will increasingly involve bots reading for humans and bots writing for bots.
Last stated 2 weeks ago
18 Oct 2026
KA
Kris Abdelmessih — holds since 2026-10-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Shiny futurist narratives may distort perceptions of how the future will actually be implemented. — tap to centre the map on it
Shiny futurist narratives may distort perceptions of how the future will actually be implemented.
Last stated 2 years ago
by 24 Mar 2025
AC
Amber Case — holds since 2025-03-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A big part of taste is delivering high levels of craft in an accessible way so that as many people as possible can experience it. — tap to centre the map on it
A big part of taste is delivering high levels of craft in an accessible way so that as many people as possible can experience it.
Last stated 6 months ago
21 Apr 2026
BJ
Brandon Jacoby — holds since 2026-04-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company name can have different appeal to corporate buyers versus their customers. — tap to centre the map on it
A company name can have different appeal to corporate buyers versus their customers.
Last stated 4 weeks ago
4 Oct 2026
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2026-10-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A first draft should not be graded good or bad; it is only the material that taste then gets to act on. — tap to centre the map on it
A first draft should not be graded good or bad; it is only the material that taste then gets to act on.
Last stated 3 months ago
6 Aug 2026
GS
George Saunders — holds since 2026-08-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A suitably advanced digital computer can acquire general intelligence. — tap to centre the map on it
A suitably advanced digital computer can acquire general intelligence.
Last stated 12 years ago
16 Jan 2015
SH
Sam Harris — holds since 2015-01-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve. — tap to centre the map on it
A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve.
Last stated 2 months ago
15 Sept 2026
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Being able to statistically predict what someone will say does not mean you understand them. — tap to centre the map on it
Being able to statistically predict what someone will say does not mean you understand them.
Last stated a month ago
18 Sept 2026
CD
Cory Doctorow — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad. — tap to centre the map on it
A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad.
Last stated a year ago
7 Oct 2025
MM
Mr. Money Mustache — holds since 2025-10-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. — tap to centre the map on it
A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail.
Last stated 2 years ago
7 May 2024
BS
Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. — tap to centre the map on it
A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score.
Last stated 2 months ago
26 Aug 2026
HK
Henrik Karlsson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are