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← Science fiction writers are not very good at predicting the future.

17 connected korrents · 18 moments from 16 Jan 2015 to 18 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Everything filed under measuring intelligence measuring intelligence Everything filed under taste taste Everything filed under AI and jobs AI and jobs Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Science fiction writers are not very good at predicting the future. Science fiction writers are not very goodat predicting the future. Last stated 9 months ago 23 Jan 2026 KL Ken Liu — holds since 2026-01-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: Science fiction is only good when it rests on an obvious hypothesis rather than being space opera, because the story exists to test the idea. — tap to centre the map on it Science fiction is only good when itrests on an obvious hypothesisrather than being space opera,because the story exists to test theidea. Last stated a year ago 31 Oct 2025 DH Dan Houser — holds since 2025-10-31 — tap for who they are Same subject: Most people are not as good at inferring a writer's intent from their fiction as they believe themselves to be. — tap to centre the map on it Most people are not as good atinferring a writer's intent fromtheir fiction as they believethemselves to be. Last stated 7 years ago 25 Nov 2019 AL Ann Leckie — holds since 2019-11-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: Science fiction ideas are increasingly becoming tomorrow's science fact. — tap to centre the map on it Science fiction ideas areincreasingly becoming tomorrow'sscience fact. Last stated 9 years ago 17 Mar 2018 MS Marcus du Sautoy — holds since 2018-03-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: The story of a superintelligence in a box that gets smart and kills everybody is not science fiction — it is bad science fiction. — tap to centre the map on it The story of a superintelligence ina box that gets smart and killseverybody is not science fiction —it is bad science fiction. Last stated 2 years ago 13 Jun 2024 SW Sara Walker — holds since 2024-06-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: The one thing no science-fiction writer dared predict is that the Turing test would be passed and nobody would notice. — tap to centre the map on it The one thing no science-fictionwriter dared predict is that theTuring test would be passed andnobody would notice. Last stated a year ago 18 Sept 2025 TL Tobias Lütke — holds since 2025-09-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI is unlikely to end a working writer's career, barring a broader societal collapse. — tap to centre the map on it AI is unlikely to end a workingwriter's career, barring a broadersocietal collapse. Last stated a month ago 20 Sept 2026 JS John Scalzi — holds since 2026-09-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: The future will increasingly involve bots reading for humans and bots writing for bots. — tap to centre the map on it The future will increasingly involvebots reading for humans and botswriting for bots. Last stated 2 weeks ago 18 Oct 2026 KA Kris Abdelmessih — holds since 2026-10-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Shiny futurist narratives may distort perceptions of how the future will actually be implemented. — tap to centre the map on it Shiny futurist narratives maydistort perceptions of how thefuture will actually be implemented. Last stated 2 years ago by 24 Mar 2025 AC Amber Case — holds since 2025-03-24 — tap for who they are Same subject: A big part of taste is delivering high levels of craft in an accessible way so that as many people as possible can experience it. — tap to centre the map on it A big part of taste is deliveringhigh levels of craft in anaccessible way so that as manypeople as possible can experienceit. Last stated 6 months ago 21 Apr 2026 BJ Brandon Jacoby — holds since 2026-04-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company name can have different appeal to corporate buyers versus their customers. — tap to centre the map on it A company name can have differentappeal to corporate buyers versustheir customers. Last stated 4 weeks ago 4 Oct 2026 PG Paul Graham — holds since 2026-10-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: A first draft should not be graded good or bad; it is only the material that taste then gets to act on. — tap to centre the map on it A first draft should not be gradedgood or bad; it is only the materialthat taste then gets to act on. Last stated 3 months ago 6 Aug 2026 GS George Saunders — holds since 2026-08-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: A suitably advanced digital computer can acquire general intelligence. — tap to centre the map on it A suitably advanced digital computercan acquire general intelligence. Last stated 12 years ago 16 Jan 2015 SH Sam Harris — holds since 2015-01-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve. — tap to centre the map on it A unit of measure needs defining,perhaps via a chain of increasinglyhard problems, each pair of which asingle model can solve. Last stated 2 months ago 15 Sept 2026 PG Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: Being able to statistically predict what someone will say does not mean you understand them. — tap to centre the map on it Being able to statistically predictwhat someone will say does not meanyou understand them. Last stated a month ago 18 Sept 2026 CD Cory Doctorow — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad. — tap to centre the map on it A company that uses an algorithm tonudge customers into behavior thatisn't good for them is doingsomething bad. Last stated a year ago 7 Oct 2025 MM Mr. Money Mustache — holds since 2025-10-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. — tap to centre the map on it A control evaluation that reportsunder one per cent risk should beread as several per cent, becausethe evaluation can itself fail. Last stated 2 years ago 7 May 2024 BS Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. — tap to centre the map on it A feedback loop that reinforces abehavior pulls it toward whateverimproves the loop's own score. Last stated 2 months ago 26 Aug 2026 HK Henrik Karlsson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Science fiction writers are not very good at predicting the future. Last stated 23 Jan 2026 · 9 months ago Holds Ken Liu Read this korrent →