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← People reliably skip the practices known to prevent rare catastrophes,…
17 connected korrents · 16 moments on record from 3 Nov 2008 to 24 Aug 2026.
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energy
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demographics
Everything filed under nuclear power
nuclear power Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: People reliably skip the practices known to prevent rare catastrophes, and then rationalise the shortcut as the reasonable thing to do. People reliably skip the practices known to prevent rare catastrophes, and then rationalise the shortcut as the reasonable thing to do. Last stated 11 years ago
29 Dec 2015
DL
Dan Luu — holds since 2015-12-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Nuclear safety should be pursued by reducing the consequence of an accident rather than its odds, because something unpredictable always happens. — tap to centre the map on it Nuclear safety should be pursued by reducing the consequence of an accident rather than its odds, because something unpredictable always happens. Last stated 3 weeks ago
15 Aug 2026
IT
Isaiah Taylor — holds since 2026-08-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Companies do not have sufficient incentives to mitigate the major risks of AI, and competition between them is driving corner-cutting. — tap to centre the map on it Companies do not have sufficient incentives to mitigate the major risks of AI, and competition between them is driving corner-cutting. Last stated 2 years ago
15 Feb 2025
MB
Miles Brundage — holds since 2025-02-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Avoiding catastrophe is not enough, because a future in which humanity survives can still fall far short of what was possible. — tap to centre the map on it Avoiding catastrophe is not enough, because a future in which humanity survives can still fall far short of what was possible. Last stated a year ago
3 Aug 2025
WM
William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI risk is probably a totally manageable problem that will be brutally mismanaged, the way pandemic response was. — tap to centre the map on it AI risk is probably a totally manageable problem that will be brutally mismanaged, the way pandemic response was. Last stated 4 weeks ago
11 Aug 2026
RG
Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: One company doing one ill-advised thing damages an entire emerging industry, which is why safety is a shared problem rather than a competitive one. — tap to centre the map on it One company doing one ill-advised thing damages an entire emerging industry, which is why safety is a shared problem rather than a competitive one. Last stated 3 years ago
29 Dec 2023
PK
Philip Koopman — holds since 2023-12-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Expecting AI or longer lives to arrive in time makes people skip having a plan for falling birth rates at all. — tap to centre the map on it Expecting AI or longer lives to arrive in time makes people skip having a plan for falling birth rates at all. Last stated 3 years ago
17 Jan 2024
RH
Robin Hanson — holds since 2024-01-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A rising share of statistically insignificant experiments is the signal that a team has exploited an area too far and should go back to exploring. — tap to centre the map on it A rising share of statistically insignificant experiments is the signal that a team has exploited an area too far and should go back to exploring. Last stated 11 months ago
5 Oct 2025
AC
Albert Cheng — holds since 2025-10-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. — tap to centre the map on it A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. Last stated 2 years ago
7 May 2024
BS
Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change. — tap to centre the map on it A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change. Last stated 3 weeks ago
20 Aug 2026
LS
Lyman Stone — holds since 2026-08-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A religion cannot revive itself by encouraging its members to have more children. — tap to centre the map on it A religion cannot revive itself by encouraging its members to have more children. Last stated 2 weeks ago
24 Aug 2026
RB
Ryan Burge — holds since 2026-08-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Any theory of the fall in birth rates must explain both the worldwide collapse and the differences between countries, and most theories explain only one. — tap to centre the map on it Any theory of the fall in birth rates must explain both the worldwide collapse and the differences between countries, and most theories explain only one. Last stated 2 years ago
1 Nov 2024
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2024-11-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: American manufacturing output cannot meaningfully rise without first building large amounts of new electricity generation. — tap to centre the map on it American manufacturing output cannot meaningfully rise without first building large amounts of new electricity generation. Last stated a year ago
6 Apr 2025
MH
Molson Hart — holds since 2025-04-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Europe cannot meet its energy needs from renewables alone and will need nuclear power, solar power from deserts elsewhere, or both. — tap to centre the map on it Europe cannot meet its energy needs from renewables alone and will need nuclear power, solar power from deserts elsewhere, or both. Last stated 18 years ago
3 Nov 2008
DM
David MacKay — holds since 2008-11-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Most nuclear companies will not have this solved by 2031, and many still will not by 2035, because they have the wrong mindset. — tap to centre the map on it Most nuclear companies will not have this solved by 2031, and many still will not by 2035, because they have the wrong mindset. Last stated 3 weeks ago
15 Aug 2026
IT
Isaiah Taylor — holds since 2026-08-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Food from thin air" is not from thin air: it runs on water, minerals, ammonia and industrial plant. — tap to centre the map on it "Food from thin air" is not from thin air: it runs on water, minerals, ammonia and industrial plant. Last stated 2 months ago
30 Jun 2026
CS
Chris Smaje — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. Last stated 3 months ago
4 Jun 2026
AI
Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A future of constrained energy will need more people working the land, and that is not the same as going back to the past. — tap to centre the map on it A future of constrained energy will need more people working the land, and that is not the same as going back to the past. Last stated 2 months ago
30 Jun 2026
CS
Chris Smaje — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are
At the centre
People reliably skip the practices known to prevent rare catastrophes, and then rationalise the shortcut as the reasonable thing to do.
Holds DL Dan LuuRead this korrent →
Nuclear safety should be pursued by reducing the consequence of an accident rather than its odds, because something unpredictable always happens.
Holds IT Isaiah Taylor
Companies do not have sufficient incentives to mitigate the major risks of AI, and competition between them is driving corner-cutting.
Holds MB Miles Brundage
Avoiding catastrophe is not enough, because a future in which humanity survives can still fall far short of what was possible.
Holds WM William MacAskill
AI risk is probably a totally manageable problem that will be brutally mismanaged, the way pandemic response was.
Holds RG Ryan Greenblatt
One company doing one ill-advised thing damages an entire emerging industry, which is why safety is a shared problem rather than a competitive one.
Holds PK Philip Koopman
Expecting AI or longer lives to arrive in time makes people skip having a plan for falling birth rates at all.
Holds RH Robin Hanson
A rising share of statistically insignificant experiments is the signal that a team has exploited an area too far and should go back to exploring.
Holds AC Albert Cheng
A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail.
Holds BS Buck Shlegeris
A model fitted only to trends in its own outcome cannot forecast anything, because it contains no variable anyone could change.
Holds LS Lyman Stone
A religion cannot revive itself by encouraging its members to have more children.
Holds RB Ryan Burge
Any theory of the fall in birth rates must explain both the worldwide collapse and the differences between countries, and most theories explain only one.
Holds AE Alice Evans
American manufacturing output cannot meaningfully rise without first building large amounts of new electricity generation.
Holds MH Molson Hart
Europe cannot meet its energy needs from renewables alone and will need nuclear power, solar power from deserts elsewhere, or both.
Holds DM David MacKay
Most nuclear companies will not have this solved by 2031, and many still will not by 2035, because they have the wrong mindset.
Holds IT Isaiah Taylor
"Food from thin air" is not from thin air: it runs on water, minerals, ammonia and industrial plant.
Holds CS Chris Smaje
A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated.
Holds AI Alex Imas
A future of constrained energy will need more people working the land, and that is not the same as going back to the past.
Holds CS Chris Smaje