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← Only fools optimize, since a simple model error can blow through their capital
17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 14 Sept 2008 to 15 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under AI agents
AI agents
Everything filed under innovation
innovation
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs
Everything filed under ambition
ambition
Everything filed under software performance
software performance Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Only fools optimize, since a simple model error can blow through their capital Only fools optimize, since a simple model error can blow through their capital Last stated 18 years ago
14 Sept 2008
NT
Nassim Nicholas Taleb — holds since 2008-09-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Every machine-learning deployment that has paid off so far left a person making the decision, which is the only reason imperfect models were useful. — tap to centre the map on it Every machine-learning deployment that has paid off so far left a person making the decision, which is the only reason imperfect models were useful. Last stated 2 months ago
12 Aug 2026
CF
Chelsea Finn — holds since 2026-08-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A model company may face a winner's curse: it does all the hard innovation and is then one copy away from being commoditised. — tap to centre the map on it A model company may face a winner's curse: it does all the hard innovation and is then one copy away from being commoditised. Last stated 11 months ago
12 Nov 2025
SN
Satya Nadella — holds since 2025-11-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable. — tap to centre the map on it Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable. Last stated 5 years ago
22 Feb 2022
NN
Neel Nanda — holds since 2022-02-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Optimising a single metric is a trap, because the second-order consequences of the change only surface much later. — tap to centre the map on it Optimising a single metric is a trap, because the second-order consequences of the change only surface much later. Last stated 4 months ago
9 Jun 2026
BG
Bill Gurley — holds since 2026-06-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The optimal amount of fraud in any system is not zero. — tap to centre the map on it The optimal amount of fraud in any system is not zero. Last stated 8 months ago
6 Feb 2026
PM
Patrick McKenzie — holds since 2026-02-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: If everyone does only a little to help solve a big problem, the collective result will still be only a little. — tap to centre the map on it If everyone does only a little to help solve a big problem, the collective result will still be only a little. Last stated 18 years ago
3 Nov 2008
DM
David MacKay — holds since 2008-11-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Optimize it later" would be safe advice only if every engineer already knew how to avoid the architectural mistakes that no later optimization can remove. — tap to centre the map on it "Optimize it later" would be safe advice only if every engineer already knew how to avoid the architectural mistakes that no later optimization can remove. Last stated a month ago
26 Aug 2026
CM
Casey Muratori — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Even when advice is understood and believed, people discount it by assuming their own case is the exception. — tap to centre the map on it Even when advice is understood and believed, people discount it by assuming their own case is the exception. Last stated 4 years ago
14 Mar 2023
AM
Adam Mastroianni — holds since 2023-03-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A collection of AI agents does not automatically form a functioning organization any more than a group of smart people does. — tap to centre the map on it A collection of AI agents does not automatically form a functioning organization any more than a group of smart people does. Last stated 4 months ago
21 May 2026
RK
Rohit Krishnan — holds since 2026-05-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company cannot be led by machines, because nobody would have recourse against them. — tap to centre the map on it A company cannot be led by machines, because nobody would have recourse against them. Last stated 3 weeks ago
15 Sept 2026
TL
Tobias Lütke — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A computer-using agent needs a machine of its own, or you will spend the day fighting it for the mouse cursor. — tap to centre the map on it A computer-using agent needs a machine of its own, or you will spend the day fighting it for the mouse cursor. Last stated 2 months ago
10 Aug 2026
PS
Peter Steinberger — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Lots of anonymous people worked it out by trial and error" is never the real story of an invention: on closer investigation, identifiable people always turn out to be responsible. — tap to centre the map on it "Lots of anonymous people worked it out by trial and error" is never the real story of an invention: on closer investigation, identifiable people always turn out to be responsible. Last stated 3 years ago
25 Oct 2023
AH
Anton Howes — holds since 2023-10-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use. — tap to centre the map on it A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use. Last stated 4 months ago
2 Jun 2026
JJ
Justin Jackson — holds since 2026-06-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A capability existing is not the same as a capability being absorbed: how fast a technology changes the world is not set by how fast the technology improves. — tap to centre the map on it A capability existing is not the same as a capability being absorbed: how fast a technology changes the world is not set by how fast the technology improves. Last stated 2 months ago
21 Jul 2026
RT
Ruxandra Teslo — holds since 2026-07-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. Last stated 9 months ago
1 Jan 2026
JL
Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. Last stated 3 months ago
15 Jul 2026
DH
Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A child who has seen ten cats learns what a machine needs the whole internet of cat photos for, by a learning pathway nobody has solved. — tap to centre the map on it A child who has seen ten cats learns what a machine needs the whole internet of cat photos for, by a learning pathway nobody has solved. Last stated 2 months ago
10 Aug 2026
FL
Fei-Fei Li — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Only fools optimize, since a simple model error can blow through their capital
Holds Read this korrent →
Every machine-learning deployment that has paid off so far left a person making the decision, which is the only reason imperfect models were useful.
Holds
A model company may face a winner's curse: it does all the hard innovation and is then one copy away from being commoditised.
Holds
Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable.
Holds
Optimising a single metric is a trap, because the second-order consequences of the change only surface much later.
Holds
The optimal amount of fraud in any system is not zero.
Holds
If everyone does only a little to help solve a big problem, the collective result will still be only a little.
Holds
"Optimize it later" would be safe advice only if every engineer already knew how to avoid the architectural mistakes that no later optimization can remove.
Holds
Even when advice is understood and believed, people discount it by assuming their own case is the exception.
Holds
A collection of AI agents does not automatically form a functioning organization any more than a group of smart people does.
Holds
A company cannot be led by machines, because nobody would have recourse against them.
Holds
A computer-using agent needs a machine of its own, or you will spend the day fighting it for the mouse cursor.
Holds
"Lots of anonymous people worked it out by trial and error" is never the real story of an invention: on closer investigation, identifiable people always turn out to be responsible.
Holds
A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use.
Holds
A capability existing is not the same as a capability being absorbed: how fast a technology changes the world is not set by how fast the technology improves.
Holds
A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI.
Holds
A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to.
Holds
A child who has seen ten cats learns what a machine needs the whole internet of cat photos for, by a learning pathway nobody has solved.
Holds