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← NASA can still be reorganised into an agency that exploits cheap heavy…
17 connected korrents · 19 moments from 6 Dec 2012 to 24 Sept 2026. Nearly all of them are about optimism .
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Russia Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: NASA can still be reorganised into an agency that exploits cheap heavy lift, and the next administrator will decide whether it is. NASA can still be reorganised into an agency that exploits cheap heavy lift, and the next administrator will decide whether it is. Last stated 2 years ago
2 Oct 2024
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2021-03-04 — tap for who they are
CH
Casey Handmer — no longer holds since 2024-10-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI safety worriers and AI optimists both believe AI will be a hugely transformative economic success, unlike the AI-bubble skeptics. — tap to centre the map on it AI safety worriers and AI optimists both believe AI will be a hugely transformative economic success, unlike the AI-bubble skeptics. Last stated a month ago
10 Sept 2026
MY
Matthew Yglesias — holds since 2026-09-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: America is a country that rewards first-principles thinkers and builders and encourages reinvention despite cynicism. — tap to centre the map on it America is a country that rewards first-principles thinkers and builders and encourages reinvention despite cynicism. Last stated 4 months ago
5 Jul 2026
SW
swyx — holds since 2026-07-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: As soon as founder mode is an established idea people will misuse it: founders excusing an inability to delegate, and managers deciding to act like founders. — tap to centre the map on it As soon as founder mode is an established idea people will misuse it: founders excusing an inability to delegate, and managers deciding to act like founders. Last stated 2 years ago
1 Sept 2024
PG
Paul Graham — holds since 2024-09-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Battery-electric airliners do not work even on optimistic assumptions, and the arithmetic said so before anyone built one. — tap to centre the map on it Battery-electric airliners do not work even on optimistic assumptions, and the arithmetic said so before anyone built one. Last stated 6 years ago
2 Apr 2021
BF
Bjorn Fehrm — holds since 2021-04-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Being optimistic about AI as it currently exists requires a degree of privilege. — tap to centre the map on it Being optimistic about AI as it currently exists requires a degree of privilege. Last stated 11 months ago
3 Dec 2025
JC
Josh Collinsworth — holds since 2025-12-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Believing that Trump might yet help Ukraine is not harmless optimism: it is part of a manoeuvre that buys Putin time. — tap to centre the map on it Believing that Trump might yet help Ukraine is not harmless optimism: it is part of a manoeuvre that buys Putin time. Last stated 2 months ago
23 Aug 2026
PO
Phillips P. OBrien — holds since 2026-08-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Building a startup requires enough optimism to see past a problem toward a future solution that makes things better. — tap to centre the map on it Building a startup requires enough optimism to see past a problem toward a future solution that makes things better. Last stated a year ago
16 Sept 2025
JE
Jason Evanish — holds since 2025-09-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Connecting a conversational LLM to systems that have real-world consequences is likely to cause real harm, because the model is trained on human text and will behave as unpredictably as humans do. — tap to centre the map on it Connecting a conversational LLM to systems that have real-world consequences is likely to cause real harm, because the model is trained on human text and will behave as unpredictably as humans do. Last stated a year ago
4 Jun 2025
AR
Armin Ronacher — holds since 2023-02-17 — tap for who they are
AR
Armin Ronacher — no longer holds since 2025-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. — tap to centre the map on it A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. Last stated 2 months ago
18 Aug 2026
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-10-31 — tap for who they are
EB
Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: NASA's flagship programmes eat the budget of the robotic science missions that actually make the discoveries. — tap to centre the map on it NASA's flagship programmes eat the budget of the robotic science missions that actually make the discoveries. Last stated 2 years ago
2 Oct 2024
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2024-10-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: NASA's Space Launch System has consumed more than a hundred billion dollars and delivered almost nothing. — tap to centre the map on it NASA's Space Launch System has consumed more than a hundred billion dollars and delivered almost nothing. Last stated 2 years ago
2 Oct 2024
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2024-10-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The Pentagon has never said publicly which anti-satellite weapons it is preparing against, which means it may not know. — tap to centre the map on it The Pentagon has never said publicly which anti-satellite weapons it is preparing against, which means it may not know. Last stated 3 years ago
25 Mar 2024
BC
Brian G. Chow — holds since 2024-03-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A crewed spacecraft does no work: putting people aboard is what stops a mission getting anything done. — tap to centre the map on it A crewed spacecraft does no work: putting people aboard is what stops a mission getting anything done. Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jan 2023
MC
Maciej Cegłowski — holds since 2023-01-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A great filter is a weak explanation for the silence, because it would have to work every single time — one civilization with self-replicating probes could fill the galaxy. — tap to centre the map on it A great filter is a weak explanation for the silence, because it would have to work every single time — one civilization with self-replicating probes could fill the galaxy. Last stated 2 years ago
22 Apr 2024
SC
Sean Carroll — holds since 2024-04-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A diesel export ban would probably do little for U.S. affordability, would deter business investment, and would weaken America's hand against China on energy. — tap to centre the map on it A diesel export ban would probably do little for U.S. affordability, would deter business investment, and would weaken America's hand against China on energy. Last stated 4 weeks ago
24 Sept 2026
PK
Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments. — tap to centre the map on it A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments. Last stated 14 years ago
6 Dec 2012
PT
Philip Tetlock — holds since 2012-12-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A large, sustained AI capability lead by either the US or China could shift the global balance of power between them. — tap to centre the map on it A large, sustained AI capability lead by either the US or China could shift the global balance of power between them. Last stated 2 months ago
5 Sept 2026
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-05 — tap for who they are
At the centre
NASA can still be reorganised into an agency that exploits cheap heavy lift, and the next administrator will decide whether it is.
No longer holds Read this korrent →
AI safety worriers and AI optimists both believe AI will be a hugely transformative economic success, unlike the AI-bubble skeptics.
Holds
America is a country that rewards first-principles thinkers and builders and encourages reinvention despite cynicism.
Holds
As soon as founder mode is an established idea people will misuse it: founders excusing an inability to delegate, and managers deciding to act like founders.
Holds
Battery-electric airliners do not work even on optimistic assumptions, and the arithmetic said so before anyone built one.
Holds
Being optimistic about AI as it currently exists requires a degree of privilege.
Holds
Believing that Trump might yet help Ukraine is not harmless optimism: it is part of a manoeuvre that buys Putin time.
Holds
Building a startup requires enough optimism to see past a problem toward a future solution that makes things better.
Holds
Connecting a conversational LLM to systems that have real-world consequences is likely to cause real harm, because the model is trained on human text and will behave as unpredictably as humans do.
No longer holds
A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world.
Holds
NASA's flagship programmes eat the budget of the robotic science missions that actually make the discoveries.
Holds
NASA's Space Launch System has consumed more than a hundred billion dollars and delivered almost nothing.
Holds
The Pentagon has never said publicly which anti-satellite weapons it is preparing against, which means it may not know.
Holds
A crewed spacecraft does no work: putting people aboard is what stops a mission getting anything done.
Holds
A great filter is a weak explanation for the silence, because it would have to work every single time — one civilization with self-replicating probes could fill the galaxy.
Holds
A diesel export ban would probably do little for U.S. affordability, would deter business investment, and would weaken America's hand against China on energy.
Holds
A fox who sees many factors in play cannot judge in a blink; they reason 'on the one hand, and on the other' and must reconcile the conflicting arguments.
Holds
A large, sustained AI capability lead by either the US or China could shift the global balance of power between them.
Holds