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← Mild success can come from skill and labor; wild success comes from variance

16 connected korrents · 16 moments from 1 Oct 2012 to 20 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under ambition ambition Everything filed under discipline discipline Everything filed under ideas vs execution ideas vs execution Everything filed under mental models mental models Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Mild success can come from skill and labor; wild success comes from variance Mild success can come from skill andlabor; wild success comes from variance NT Nassim Nicholas Taleb — holds since c. 2004 — tap for who they are Same subject: Success in cultural and professional fields is driven more by chance and path dependence than by talent. — tap to centre the map on it Success in cultural and professionalfields is driven more by chance andpath dependence than by talent. Last stated 3 months ago 13 Aug 2026 HF Henry Farrell — holds since 2026-08-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Great achievers' powers were the fruit of intense labour; genetics seemed to play only a minor role — tap to centre the map on it Great achievers' powers were thefruit of intense labour; geneticsseemed to play only a minor role Last stated 14 years ago 1 Oct 2012 RG Robert Greene — holds since 2012-10-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: When learning from someone successful, copy only what is repeatable; the rest of their success cannot be reproduced. — tap to centre the map on it When learning from someonesuccessful, copy only what isrepeatable; the rest of theirsuccess cannot be reproduced. Last stated 3 years ago 7 Apr 2024 MH Morgan Housel — holds since 2024-04-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: Any single bet is likely to fail, so success comes from taking many bets and trying as hard as possible at each. — tap to centre the map on it Any single bet is likely to fail, sosuccess comes from taking many betsand trying as hard as possible ateach. Last stated 3 years ago by 27 Dec 2023 NQ Nabeel S. Qureshi — holds since 2023-12-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: Intelligence, leverage and judgment are not normally distributed, so outcomes will be supernormal. — tap to centre the map on it Intelligence, leverage and judgmentare not normally distributed, sooutcomes will be supernormal. Last stated 9 months ago 19 Feb 2026 NR Naval Ravikant — holds since 2026-02-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: Consistency is a more certain way to achieve success than relying on luck or being discovered. — tap to centre the map on it Consistency is a more certain way toachieve success than relying on luckor being discovered. Last stated 7 years ago 12 Jun 2019 SS Steph Smith — holds since 2019-06-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: Confidence comes from evidence accumulated through doing a lot of work. — tap to centre the map on it Confidence comes from evidenceaccumulated through doing a lot ofwork. Last stated 2 weeks ago 20 Oct 2026 MF Mario Fraioli — holds since 2026-10-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: "If you're not growing, you're dying" is truer of the person than of the company. — tap to centre the map on it "If you're not growing, you'redying" is truer of the person thanof the company. Last stated 9 months ago 25 Jan 2026 JC Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A common-sense utopia is much closer to the present day than it is to the best futures actually available to us. — tap to centre the map on it A common-sense utopia is much closerto the present day than it is to thebest futures actually available tous. Last stated a year ago 3 Aug 2025 WM William MacAskill — holds since 2025-08-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company can run at a fast pace sustainably without constant overwork or undue stress — tap to centre the map on it A company can run at a fast pacesustainably without constantoverwork or undue stress Last stated 4 years ago 4 Nov 2022 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2022-11-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: Achievement is wonderful when you know why you pursue it, and a trap when you do not — tap to centre the map on it Achievement is wonderful when youknow why you pursue it, and a trapwhen you do not Last stated 11 years ago 27 May 2015 NP Natalie Portman — holds since 2015-05-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI is not a limited-time sale: the people furthest along are working harder than ever, and they need to stop harvesting dopamine as if it ends in two weeks. — tap to centre the map on it AI is not a limited-time sale: thepeople furthest along are workingharder than ever, and they need tostop harvesting dopamine as if itends in two weeks. Last stated 7 months ago 8 Apr 2026 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-04-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: An unstarted, unresolved task is more mentally exhausting than almost any other kind of task. — tap to centre the map on it An unstarted, unresolved task ismore mentally exhausting than almostany other kind of task. Last stated 2 months ago 18 Sept 2026 GR Gretchen Rubin — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company working at the edge of the barely possible has to control its own technology destiny, even at the application layer. — tap to centre the map on it A company working at the edge of thebarely possible has to control itsown technology destiny, even at theapplication layer. Last stated a year ago 18 Aug 2025 CB Clay Bavor — holds since 2025-08-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A discovery you can see your way through to is impossible to abandon, even out of a real fear that it will be misused. — tap to centre the map on it A discovery you can see your waythrough to is impossible to abandon,even out of a real fear that it willbe misused. Last stated 2 years ago 5 May 2025 JL Janna Levin — holds since 2025-05-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: A life spent without taking bets on being early on an idea is one not lived to the fullest — tap to centre the map on it A life spent without taking bets onbeing early on an idea is one notlived to the fullest Last stated 2 years ago 8 Jun 2024 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2024-06-08 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Mild success can come from skill and labor; wild success comes from variance Last stated c. 2004 Holds Nassim Nicholas Taleb Read this korrent →