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← Success in cultural and professional fields is driven more by chance and path dependence than by talent.
17 connected korrents · 16 moments on record from 2 Jun 2018 to 13 Aug 2026.
Everything filed under education
education
Everything filed under product management
product management
Everything filed under startups
startups
Everything filed under China
China
Everything filed under innovation
innovation
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design Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Success in cultural and professional fields is driven more by chance and path dependence than by talent. Success in cultural and professional fields is driven more by chance and path dependence than by talent. Last stated a month ago
13 Aug 2026
HF
Henry Farrell — holds since 2026-08-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Academic talent is normally distributed, so some students failing is inevitable rather than anybody's fault. — tap to centre the map on it Academic talent is normally distributed, so some students failing is inevitable rather than anybody's fault. Last stated 12 months ago
28 Sept 2025
FD
Freddie deBoer — holds since 2025-09-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company's culture is largely shaped by its profit margins. — tap to centre the map on it A company's culture is largely shaped by its profit margins. Last stated a year ago
11 Jun 2025
JF
Jacob Falkovich — holds since 2025-06-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Only 30 to 50 percent of product experiments win, because consumer behaviour is too unpredictable to be predicted from a hypothesis. — tap to centre the map on it Only 30 to 50 percent of product experiments win, because consumer behaviour is too unpredictable to be predicted from a hypothesis. Last stated 12 months ago
5 Oct 2025
AC
Albert Cheng — holds since 2025-10-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: People tend to overestimate their own talent and underestimate the structural advantages that amplify their success. — tap to centre the map on it People tend to overestimate their own talent and underestimate the structural advantages that amplify their success. Last stated a month ago
13 Aug 2026
HF
Henry Farrell — holds since 2026-08-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: China's cultural and intellectual output to the world is far smaller than its economic weight. — tap to centre the map on it China's cultural and intellectual output to the world is far smaller than its economic weight. Last stated 2 months ago
12 Jul 2026
DW
Dan Wang — holds since 2022-01-01 — tap for who they are
BM
Branko Milanovic — holds since 2026-07-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: What decides a country's fortunes is not owning the leading sector but using the leading technology to create its own comparative advantage. — tap to centre the map on it What decides a country's fortunes is not owning the leading sector but using the leading technology to create its own comparative advantage. Last stated 10 months ago
12 Nov 2025
SN
Satya Nadella — holds since 2025-11-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A board game conquers the world when chance and strategy are in balance in it. — tap to centre the map on it A board game conquers the world when chance and strategy are in balance in it. Last stated 9 months ago
12 Dec 2025
IF
Irving Finkel — holds since 2025-12-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Even with human-like learners, competition will split the AI market into specialised niches rather than hand it to one company. — tap to centre the map on it Even with human-like learners, competition will split the AI market into specialised niches rather than hand it to one company. Last stated 10 months ago
25 Nov 2025
IS
Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A better school looks more like the old-fashioned schoolhouse than like project work; the more school resembles free play, the worse it gets. — tap to centre the map on it A better school looks more like the old-fashioned schoolhouse than like project work; the more school resembles free play, the worse it gets. Last stated 4 months ago
27 May 2026
SY
Scott H. Young — holds since 2026-05-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A dense-looking building does not by itself create a livable dense suburb without supporting schools and shops. — tap to centre the map on it A dense-looking building does not by itself create a livable dense suburb without supporting schools and shops. Last stated 8 years ago
2 Jun 2018
FS
Felix Salmon — holds since 2018-06-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A puzzle whose categories can only be seen by the broadly educated is elitist by construction. — tap to centre the map on it A puzzle whose categories can only be seen by the broadly educated is elitist by construction. Last stated 3 years ago
2 Sept 2023
RK
Raph Koster — holds since 2023-09-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Simplify onboarding" is an action, not a problem, and a roadmap line written that way will not work. — tap to centre the map on it "Simplify onboarding" is an action, not a problem, and a roadmap line written that way will not work. Last stated 2 years ago
19 Jan 2025
EV
Elena Verna — holds since 2025-01-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company should hire a product manager only against a specific need, never by default. — tap to centre the map on it A company should hire a product manager only against a specific need, never by default. Last stated 2 months ago
2 Aug 2026
TV
Tom Verrilli — holds since 2026-08-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company that looks to its users as though it has stopped shipping is usually widening its market, and grinding through that is worth it. — tap to centre the map on it A company that looks to its users as though it has stopped shipping is usually widening its market, and grinding through that is worth it. Last stated a year ago
23 Mar 2025
RV
Rahul Vohra — holds since 2025-03-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: “Why now?” is the wrong question to make a founder answer — the honest answer can simply be that you started now. — tap to centre the map on it “Why now?” is the wrong question to make a founder answer — the honest answer can simply be that you started now. Last stated 2 months ago
28 Jul 2026
BS
Blake Scholl — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A belief nobody else shares is a warning, and a belief everybody shares is also a warning; the right number of people who agree with you is small but not zero. — tap to centre the map on it A belief nobody else shares is a warning, and a belief everybody shares is also a warning; the right number of people who agree with you is small but not zero. Last stated 2 months ago
28 Jul 2026
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company with ten customers has no data, and a growth team cannot function without data. — tap to centre the map on it A company with ten customers has no data, and a growth team cannot function without data. Last stated 2 years ago
19 Jan 2025
EV
Elena Verna — holds since 2025-01-19 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Success in cultural and professional fields is driven more by chance and path dependence than by talent.
Holds Read this korrent →
Academic talent is normally distributed, so some students failing is inevitable rather than anybody's fault.
Holds
A company's culture is largely shaped by its profit margins.
Holds
Only 30 to 50 percent of product experiments win, because consumer behaviour is too unpredictable to be predicted from a hypothesis.
Holds
People tend to overestimate their own talent and underestimate the structural advantages that amplify their success.
Holds
China's cultural and intellectual output to the world is far smaller than its economic weight.
Holds
What decides a country's fortunes is not owning the leading sector but using the leading technology to create its own comparative advantage.
Holds
A board game conquers the world when chance and strategy are in balance in it.
Holds
Even with human-like learners, competition will split the AI market into specialised niches rather than hand it to one company.
Holds
A better school looks more like the old-fashioned schoolhouse than like project work; the more school resembles free play, the worse it gets.
Holds
A dense-looking building does not by itself create a livable dense suburb without supporting schools and shops.
Holds
A puzzle whose categories can only be seen by the broadly educated is elitist by construction.
Holds
"Simplify onboarding" is an action, not a problem, and a roadmap line written that way will not work.
Holds
A company should hire a product manager only against a specific need, never by default.
Holds
A company that looks to its users as though it has stopped shipping is usually widening its market, and grinding through that is worth it.
Holds
“Why now?” is the wrong question to make a founder answer — the honest answer can simply be that you started now.
Holds
A belief nobody else shares is a warning, and a belief everybody shares is also a warning; the right number of people who agree with you is small but not zero.
Holds
A company with ten customers has no data, and a growth team cannot function without data.
Holds