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← Only 30 to 50 percent of product experiments win, because consumer…

17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 18 Dec 2013 to 18 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under product management product management Everything filed under innovation innovation Everything filed under behavioural science behavioural science Everything filed under startups startups Everything filed under design design Everything filed under metascience metascience Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Only 30 to 50 percent of product experiments win, because consumer behaviour is too unpredictable to be predicted from a hypothesis. Only 30 to 50 percent of productexperiments win, because consumerbehaviour is too unpredictable to bepredicted from a hypothesis. Last stated a year ago 5 Oct 2025 AC Albert Cheng — holds since 2025-10-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: The share of users who would be very disappointed to lose your product predicts success far better than net promoter score, and forty percent is the line. — tap to centre the map on it The share of users who would be verydisappointed to lose your productpredicts success far better than netpromoter score, and forty percent isthe line. Last stated 2 years ago 23 Mar 2025 RV Rahul Vohra — holds since 2025-03-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: Consumer AI that is right 90% of the time delights people; industrial AI that is right 90% of the time is 100% dissatisfaction. — tap to centre the map on it Consumer AI that is right 90% of thetime delights people; industrial AIthat is right 90% of the time is100% dissatisfaction. Last stated 9 months ago 8 Jan 2026 JH Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-01-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: People have grown accustomed to AI being non-deterministic and occasionally wrong, so it carries little brand risk anymore. — tap to centre the map on it People have grown accustomed to AIbeing non-deterministic andoccasionally wrong, so it carrieslittle brand risk anymore. Last stated a month ago 18 Sept 2026 HD Horace Dediu — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Large replication projects answer the wrong question, because most individual studies do not matter either way. — tap to centre the map on it Large replication projects answerthe wrong question, because mostindividual studies do not mattereither way. Last stated 4 years ago 11 Apr 2023 AM Adam Mastroianni — holds since 2023-04-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: Debiasing has largely failed, and that is fine, because the biases identified are experience-built heuristics that only look like biases in hindsight. — tap to centre the map on it Debiasing has largely failed, andthat is fine, because the biasesidentified are experience-builtheuristics that only look likebiases in hindsight. Last stated 4 years ago 9 Aug 2022 GK Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: A rising share of statistically insignificant experiments is the signal that a team has exploited an area too far and should go back to exploring. — tap to centre the map on it A rising share of statisticallyinsignificant experiments is thesignal that a team has exploited anarea too far and should go back toexploring. Last stated a year ago 5 Oct 2025 AC Albert Cheng — holds since 2025-10-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: The way to find a hit is to experiment a lot, not to polish. — tap to centre the map on it The way to find a hit is toexperiment a lot, not to polish. Last stated 13 years ago 18 Dec 2013 TS Tynan Sylvester — holds since 2013-12-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A model company may face a winner's curse: it does all the hard innovation and is then one copy away from being commoditised. — tap to centre the map on it A model company may face a winner'scurse: it does all the hardinnovation and is then one copy awayfrom being commoditised. Last stated 11 months ago 12 Nov 2025 SN Satya Nadella — holds since 2025-11-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: "Simplify onboarding" is an action, not a problem, and a roadmap line written that way will not work. — tap to centre the map on it "Simplify onboarding" is an action,not a problem, and a roadmap linewritten that way will not work. Last stated 2 years ago 19 Jan 2025 EV Elena Verna — holds since 2025-01-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company captured by ideology will produce useless products — tap to centre the map on it A company captured by ideology willproduce useless products Last stated 3 years ago 8 Mar 2024 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2024-03-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company needs someone with a product vision to recover — tap to centre the map on it A company needs someone with aproduct vision to recover Last stated 4 years ago 5 Nov 2022 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2022-11-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: A PM who can design around their spec to see if it holds up to reality is what you want, and so is an engineer who really cares about building great visual component systems. — tap to centre the map on it A PM who can design around theirspec to see if it holds up toreality is what you want, and so isan engineer who really cares aboutbuilding great visual componentsystems. Last stated 6 months ago 14 Apr 2026 BL Brian Lovin — holds since 2026-04-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: A recurring AI workflow improves more through ongoing user feedback than by being fully specified upfront. — tap to centre the map on it A recurring AI workflow improvesmore through ongoing user feedbackthan by being fully specifiedupfront. Last stated 5 months ago 18 May 2026 JL Jason Liu — holds since 2026-05-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI has become a way for engineers, designers and product managers to wish each other away instead of working together. — tap to centre the map on it AI has become a way for engineers,designers and product managers towish each other away instead ofworking together. Last stated a year ago 20 Oct 2025 FC Frank Chimero — holds since 2025-10-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company should hire a product manager only against a specific need, never by default. — tap to centre the map on it A company should hire a productmanager only against a specificneed, never by default. Last stated 3 months ago 2 Aug 2026 TV Tom Verrilli — holds since 2026-08-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: Hiring product managers by ratio infantilizes engineers and designers who were perfectly capable of deciding for themselves. — tap to centre the map on it Hiring product managers by ratioinfantilizes engineers and designerswho were perfectly capable ofdeciding for themselves. Last stated 3 months ago 2 Aug 2026 TV Tom Verrilli — holds since 2026-08-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: Product management is not going away, but hiring product owners who just feed developers tasks should stop. — tap to centre the map on it Product management is not goingaway, but hiring product owners whojust feed developers tasks shouldstop. Last stated 3 years ago 7 Jul 2023 MP Melissa Perri — holds since 2023-07-07 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Only 30 to 50 percent of product experiments win, because consumer behaviour is too unpredictable to be predicted from a hypothesis. Last stated 5 Oct 2025 · a year ago Holds Albert Cheng Read this korrent →