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← A rising share of statistically insignificant experiments is the…
17 connected korrents · 12 moments from 30 Aug 2005 to 11 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under startups
startups
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innovation
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physics
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humility Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: A rising share of statistically insignificant experiments is the signal that a team has exploited an area too far and should go back to exploring. A rising share of statistically insignificant experiments is the signal that a team has exploited an area too far and should go back to exploring. Last stated a year ago
5 Oct 2025
AC
Albert Cheng — holds since 2025-10-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: If every growth initiative is an experiment, the team has a paralysing disease rather than a process. — tap to centre the map on it If every growth initiative is an experiment, the team has a paralysing disease rather than a process. Last stated 2 years ago
19 Jan 2025
EV
Elena Verna — holds since 2025-01-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Encouraging experimentation and opening opportunities requires much more tolerance of mediocrity — tap to centre the map on it Encouraging experimentation and opening opportunities requires much more tolerance of mediocrity Last stated 10 years ago
27 Feb 2017
MG
Malcolm Gladwell — holds since 2017-02-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A range of studies from many places and methods showing the same result does not necessarily make a strong signal. — tap to centre the map on it A range of studies from many places and methods showing the same result does not necessarily make a strong signal. Last stated 11 months ago
30 Nov 2025
GT
Gary Taubes — holds since 2025-11-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The more important the science, the more researchers tend to lower their standard for a strong enough signal, when it should be the opposite. — tap to centre the map on it The more important the science, the more researchers tend to lower their standard for a strong enough signal, when it should be the opposite. Last stated 11 months ago
30 Nov 2025
GT
Gary Taubes — holds since 2025-11-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A hotter field with more teams racing on the same question produces less reliable findings, not more. — tap to centre the map on it A hotter field with more teams racing on the same question produces less reliable findings, not more. Last stated 21 years ago
30 Aug 2005
JI
John Ioannidis — holds since 2005-08-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A frontier lab should not spend its researchers harvesting results out of today's models; the payoff is in building the next one. — tap to centre the map on it A frontier lab should not spend its researchers harvesting results out of today's models; the payoff is in building the next one. Last stated 4 months ago
26 Jun 2026
NB
Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The value of an ambitious experiment target is not hitting it but the conversation about what would have to be true to hit it. — tap to centre the map on it The value of an ambitious experiment target is not hitting it but the conversation about what would have to be true to hit it. Last stated a year ago
5 Oct 2025
AC
Albert Cheng — holds since 2025-10-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: It is human nature to overinterpret evidence, and the hardest part of science is not doing so. — tap to centre the map on it It is human nature to overinterpret evidence, and the hardest part of science is not doing so. Last stated 11 months ago
30 Nov 2025
GT
Gary Taubes — holds since 2025-11-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use. — tap to centre the map on it A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use. Last stated 5 months ago
2 Jun 2026
JJ
Justin Jackson — holds since 2026-06-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A growth team that only explores turns scattershot, and one that only exploits saturates — the job is to keep oscillating between the two. — tap to centre the map on it A growth team that only explores turns scattershot, and one that only exploits saturates — the job is to keep oscillating between the two. Last stated a year ago
5 Oct 2025
AC
Albert Cheng — holds since 2025-10-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A product can be technically impressive yet fail because it launched before a real market for it existed. — tap to centre the map on it A product can be technically impressive yet fail because it launched before a real market for it existed. Last stated a month ago
11 Sept 2026
MS
M.G. Siegler — holds since 2026-09-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An investor who passes on a pitch they find truly novel will often still refer it to another investor, to get credit for having found it. — tap to centre the map on it An investor who passes on a pitch they find truly novel will often still refer it to another investor, to get credit for having found it. Last stated 3 months ago
5 Aug 2026
ZH
Zach Holman — holds since 2026-08-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Raising too much startup capital too early can reduce innovation rather than help it. — tap to centre the map on it Raising too much startup capital too early can reduce innovation rather than help it. Last stated 7 years ago
8 Jun 2019
TG
Tren Griffin — holds since 2019-06-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Steady experimentation is what a growth team controls, but the step changes come from outside waves the company did not create and would be foolish to ignore. — tap to centre the map on it Steady experimentation is what a growth team controls, but the step changes come from outside waves the company did not create and would be foolish to ignore. Last stated a year ago
5 Oct 2025
AC
Albert Cheng — holds since 2025-10-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A first-time founder has an advantage over a repeat winner, because past success makes it too easy to raise money and hire against a big vision before there is product-market fit. — tap to centre the map on it A first-time founder has an advantage over a repeat winner, because past success makes it too easy to raise money and hire against a big vision before there is product-market fit. Last stated 4 months ago
14 Jun 2026
MP
Mark Pincus — holds since 2026-06-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: About 5% is the most common final ownership stake for the founder of a VC-funded startup that works out. — tap to centre the map on it About 5% is the most common final ownership stake for the founder of a VC-funded startup that works out. Last stated 3 months ago
18 Jul 2026
PL
Pieter Levels — holds since 2026-07-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Being unable to raise venture capital is not a tragedy for a business. — tap to centre the map on it Being unable to raise venture capital is not a tragedy for a business. Last stated 7 years ago
8 Jun 2019
TG
Tren Griffin — holds since 2019-06-08 — tap for who they are
At the centre
A rising share of statistically insignificant experiments is the signal that a team has exploited an area too far and should go back to exploring.
Holds Read this korrent →
If every growth initiative is an experiment, the team has a paralysing disease rather than a process.
Holds
Encouraging experimentation and opening opportunities requires much more tolerance of mediocrity
Holds
A range of studies from many places and methods showing the same result does not necessarily make a strong signal.
Holds
The more important the science, the more researchers tend to lower their standard for a strong enough signal, when it should be the opposite.
Holds
A hotter field with more teams racing on the same question produces less reliable findings, not more.
Holds
A frontier lab should not spend its researchers harvesting results out of today's models; the payoff is in building the next one.
Holds
The value of an ambitious experiment target is not hitting it but the conversation about what would have to be true to hit it.
Holds
It is human nature to overinterpret evidence, and the hardest part of science is not doing so.
Holds
A business can have market fit, real advantages, and sustained effort behind a hard product and still fail if it doesn't give customers a strong enough reason to switch from what they already use.
Holds
A growth team that only explores turns scattershot, and one that only exploits saturates — the job is to keep oscillating between the two.
Holds
A product can be technically impressive yet fail because it launched before a real market for it existed.
Holds
An investor who passes on a pitch they find truly novel will often still refer it to another investor, to get credit for having found it.
Holds
Raising too much startup capital too early can reduce innovation rather than help it.
Holds
Steady experimentation is what a growth team controls, but the step changes come from outside waves the company did not create and would be foolish to ignore.
Holds
A first-time founder has an advantage over a repeat winner, because past success makes it too easy to raise money and hire against a big vision before there is product-market fit.
Holds
About 5% is the most common final ownership stake for the founder of a VC-funded startup that works out.
Holds
Being unable to raise venture capital is not a tragedy for a business.
Holds