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← Confidence comes from evidence accumulated through doing a lot of work.

17 connected korrents · 13 moments from 3 Sept 1888 to 28 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under courage courage Everything filed under attitude change attitude change Everything filed under behavioural science behavioural science Everything filed under motivation motivation Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Confidence comes from evidence accumulated through doing a lot of work. Confidence comes from evidence accumulatedthrough doing a lot of work. Last stated 2 weeks ago 20 Oct 2026 MF Mario Fraioli — holds since 2026-10-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: Confidence in a belief reflects the coherence of the story the mind built, not the quality of the evidence — tap to centre the map on it Confidence in a belief reflects thecoherence of the story the mindbuilt, not the quality of theevidence DK Daniel Kahneman — holds since c. 2011 — tap for who they are Same subject: Confidence in a belief depends mostly on the quality of the story, not the amount of evidence — tap to centre the map on it Confidence in a belief dependsmostly on the quality of the story,not the amount of evidence DK Daniel Kahneman — holds since c. 2011 — tap for who they are Same subject: Confidence can be faked until it becomes real. — tap to centre the map on it Confidence can be faked until itbecomes real. Last stated 16 years ago 13 May 2010 AA Andrei Alexandrescu — holds since 2010-05-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Subjective confidence can feel the same for intuitions from expertise and for intuitions from substitution — tap to centre the map on it Subjective confidence can feel thesame for intuitions from expertiseand for intuitions from substitution DK Daniel Kahneman — holds since c. 2011 — tap for who they are Same subject: Getting up in front of people gets less scary the more you do it, because confidence is built by competence. — tap to centre the map on it Getting up in front of people getsless scary the more you do it,because confidence is built bycompetence. Last stated 5 months ago 4 Jun 2026 RH Ryan Holiday — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: Be confident in what you know and do well, because people want to believe in experts. — tap to centre the map on it Be confident in what you know and dowell, because people want to believein experts. Last stated 4 days ago 28 Oct 2026 MD Matthew Dicks — holds since 2026-10-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: People tend to assume their habitual practices achieve what they intend, even without evidence that they do. — tap to centre the map on it People tend to assume their habitualpractices achieve what they intend,even without evidence that they do. Last stated 4 months ago 22 Jun 2026 HK Henrik Karlsson — holds since 2026-06-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: That an expert human generated a text is evidence that its view is worth thinking about, more than if an LLM generated it. — tap to centre the map on it That an expert human generated atext is evidence that its view isworth thinking about, more than ifan LLM generated it. Last stated 4 months ago 15 Jul 2026 ES Eric Schwitzgebel — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A person should not play the coward to their own deeds by repudiating them once done; pangs of conscience are indecent. — tap to centre the map on it A person should not play the cowardto their own deeds by repudiatingthem once done; pangs of conscienceare indecent. Last stated 138 years ago 3 Sept 1888 FN Friedrich Nietzsche — holds since 1888-09-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A society that intensely values intelligence is unprecedented in human history; the Bible, Homer and other ancient texts value strength, courage and beauty instead. — tap to centre the map on it A society that intensely valuesintelligence is unprecedented inhuman history; the Bible, Homer andother ancient texts value strength,courage and beauty instead. Last stated 6 months ago 8 May 2026 DR David Reich — holds since 2026-05-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: A tribe of loyal, self-sacrificing members would defeat most other tribes, which is natural selection — tap to centre the map on it A tribe of loyal, self-sacrificingmembers would defeat most othertribes, which is natural selection CD Charles Darwin — holds since c. 1871–1874 — tap for who they are Same subject: Being professionally offended by every little thing is no longer a dominant disposition — tap to centre the map on it Being professionally offended byevery little thing is no longer adominant disposition Last stated 2 years ago 6 Nov 2024 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2024-11-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: Decades of warnings about an AI apocalypse do not justify much concern today. — tap to centre the map on it Decades of warnings about an AIapocalypse do not justify muchconcern today. Last stated 2 months ago 12 Sept 2026 PF Paul Ford — holds since 2026-09-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: Deliberately shifting a culture is far harder now that everyone can personalise their media and skip past anything they dislike. — tap to centre the map on it Deliberately shifting a culture isfar harder now that everyone canpersonalise their media and skippast anything they dislike. Last stated a year ago 1 Jul 2025 AE Alice Evans — holds since 2025-07-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out. — tap to centre the map on it A drop in agency is the earliestsign of burnout, arriving before youconsciously notice you are burningout. Last stated 3 years ago 10 Jan 2024 CH Cate Hall — holds since 2024-01-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them. — tap to centre the map on it A founder who picks an idea becausethe market wants it will give up,because nobody can persist atsomething that was never importantto them. Last stated 2 years ago 19 Jun 2024 AS Aravind Srinivas — holds since 2024-06-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: A general inclination of all humankind is a perpetual, restless desire of power after power that ends only in death — tap to centre the map on it A general inclination of allhumankind is a perpetual, restlessdesire of power after power thatends only in death TH Thomas Hobbes — holds since c. 1651 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 1888 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is todaya face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are

At the centre Confidence comes from evidence accumulated through doing a lot of work. Last stated 20 Oct 2026 · 2 weeks ago Holds Mario Fraioli Read this korrent →