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← Confidence in a belief depends mostly on the quality of the story, not the amount of evidence

17 connected korrents · 15 moments from 25 Mar 2014 to 20 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under politics politics Everything filed under America America Everything filed under behavioural science behavioural science Everything filed under attitude change attitude change Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Confidence in a belief depends mostly on the quality of the story, not the amount of evidence Confidence in a belief depends mostly onthe quality of the story, not the amountof evidence DK Daniel Kahneman — holds since c. 2011 — tap for who they are Same subject: Confidence in a belief reflects the coherence of the story the mind built, not the quality of the evidence — tap to centre the map on it Confidence in a belief reflects thecoherence of the story the mindbuilt, not the quality of theevidence DK Daniel Kahneman — holds since c. 2011 — tap for who they are Same subject: Confidence comes from evidence accumulated through doing a lot of work. — tap to centre the map on it Confidence comes from evidenceaccumulated through doing a lot ofwork. Last stated 2 weeks ago 20 Oct 2026 MF Mario Fraioli — holds since 2026-10-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: One good story outweighs a mountain of evidence, because most emotions cannot be argued with. — tap to centre the map on it One good story outweighs a mountainof evidence, because most emotionscannot be argued with. Last stated 9 months ago 20 Jan 2026 DS Derek Sivers — holds since 2026-01-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: Unshakable beliefs can prevent a person from being convinced by evidence. — tap to centre the map on it Unshakable beliefs can prevent aperson from being convinced byevidence. Last stated 13 years ago 25 Mar 2014 EM Errol Morris — holds since 2014-03-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: The reasons people give for their beliefs are not the causes of those beliefs; mostly people believe because they trust certain others and adopt their beliefs. — tap to centre the map on it The reasons people give for theirbeliefs are not the causes of thosebeliefs; mostly people believebecause they trust certain othersand adopt their beliefs. Last stated 7 years ago 12 Oct 2019 DK Daniel Kahneman — holds since 2019-10-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: Different people can reason well and still arrive at very different beliefs. — tap to centre the map on it Different people can reason well andstill arrive at very differentbeliefs. Last stated 2 months ago 18 Aug 2026 JD Jerusalem Demsas — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: When a story fits a contentious narrative someone already believes, they tend to become strikingly gullible — tap to centre the map on it When a story fits a contentiousnarrative someone already believes,they tend to become strikinglygullible Last stated 5 years ago 17 Jan 2022 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2022-01-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: Basing beliefs on personal intuition and revelation substitutes anecdote and authority for evidence and reason — tap to centre the map on it Basing beliefs on personal intuitionand revelation substitutes anecdoteand authority for evidence andreason Last stated 11 years ago 12 Oct 2015 KS Kathryn Schulz — holds since 2015-10-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: A backlash against women's economic rise is not automatic; it happens only where politicians choose to mobilise it. — tap to centre the map on it A backlash against women's economicrise is not automatic; it happensonly where politicians choose tomobilise it. Last stated 2 years ago 1 Dec 2024 AE Alice Evans — holds since 2024-12-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A candidate's political success is increasingly disconnected from their actual record of accomplishment. — tap to centre the map on it A candidate's political success isincreasingly disconnected from theiractual record of accomplishment. Last stated 2 months ago 31 Aug 2026 DD Daniel W. Drezner — holds since 2026-08-31 — tap for who they are Same subject: A citizen deciding politically should ask what is good for the community, not what is good for themselves — tap to centre the map on it A citizen deciding politicallyshould ask what is good for thecommunity, not what is good forthemselves JT Joseph Tussman — holds since c. 2000 — tap for who they are Same subject: Being professionally offended by every little thing is no longer a dominant disposition — tap to centre the map on it Being professionally offended byevery little thing is no longer adominant disposition Last stated 2 years ago 6 Nov 2024 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2024-11-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: Decades of warnings about an AI apocalypse do not justify much concern today. — tap to centre the map on it Decades of warnings about an AIapocalypse do not justify muchconcern today. Last stated 2 months ago 12 Sept 2026 PF Paul Ford — holds since 2026-09-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: Deliberately shifting a culture is far harder now that everyone can personalise their media and skip past anything they dislike. — tap to centre the map on it Deliberately shifting a culture isfar harder now that everyone canpersonalise their media and skippast anything they dislike. Last stated a year ago 1 Jul 2025 AE Alice Evans — holds since 2025-07-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A ban on diesel exports would raise overall fuel prices and damage America's energy superpower status. — tap to centre the map on it A ban on diesel exports would raiseoverall fuel prices and damageAmerica's energy superpower status. Last stated a month ago 1 Oct 2026 AE Alex Epstein — holds since 2026-10-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A ban on U.S. diesel fuel exports is more likely to raise prices than lower them. — tap to centre the map on it A ban on U.S. diesel fuel exports ismore likely to raise prices thanlower them. Last stated a month ago 23 Sept 2026 JM Josh Marshall — holds since 2026-09-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: A century of fire suppression policy in the American West has dangerously overloaded forests with fuel and made megafires more likely. — tap to centre the map on it A century of fire suppression policyin the American West has dangerouslyoverloaded forests with fuel andmade megafires more likely. Last stated 2 months ago 22 Aug 2026 JP Jennifer Pahlka — holds since 2026-08-22 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Confidence in a belief depends mostly on the quality of the story, not the amount of evidence Last stated c. 2011 Holds Daniel Kahneman Read this korrent →