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← Liberal norms intended to prevent overconfidence can cause people to underweight conclusions that are actually true.
17 connected korrents · 15 moments from 25 Mar 2014 to 12 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under attitude change
attitude change
Everything filed under behavioural science
behavioural science
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happiness
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motivation
Everything filed under curiosity
curiosity
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Read this korrent: Liberal norms intended to prevent overconfidence can cause people to underweight conclusions that are actually true.
Liberal norms intended to prevent overconfidence can cause people to underweight conclusions that are actually true.
Last stated 4 months ago
23 Jun 2026
JD
Jerusalem Demsas — holds since 2026-06-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Resisting the discomfort of not knowing leads people to jump to conclusions or decide before they have enough information. — tap to centre the map on it
Resisting the discomfort of not knowing leads people to jump to conclusions or decide before they have enough information.
Last stated 2 years ago
2 Apr 2025
KN
Ken Norton — holds since 2025-04-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Strong intuitions that seem clear lack a way of calibrating, which makes people wildly overconfident about what they know and reluctant to accept they may be wrong. — tap to centre the map on it
Strong intuitions that seem clear lack a way of calibrating, which makes people wildly overconfident about what they know and reluctant to accept they may be wrong.
Last stated 7 years ago
12 Oct 2019
DK
Daniel Kahneman — holds since 2019-10-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Reaching a conclusion quickly and then resisting any change in it naturally causes many errors of cognition — tap to centre the map on it
Reaching a conclusion quickly and then resisting any change in it naturally causes many errors of cognition
CM
Charlie Munger — holds since c. 2005 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Social pressure to stay near the consensus stops people from adopting beliefs that diverge from it, especially when the stakes are high. — tap to centre the map on it
Social pressure to stay near the consensus stops people from adopting beliefs that diverge from it, especially when the stakes are high.
Last stated 2 months ago
6 Sept 2026
PB
Paul Bloom — holds since 2026-09-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Unshakable beliefs can prevent a person from being convinced by evidence. — tap to centre the map on it
Unshakable beliefs can prevent a person from being convinced by evidence.
Last stated 13 years ago
25 Mar 2014
EM
Errol Morris — holds since 2014-03-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Eating regimes foster needless self-doubt about food. — tap to centre the map on it
Eating regimes foster needless self-doubt about food.
Last stated 2 years ago
22 Mar 2025
YO
Yotam Ottolenghi — holds since 2025-03-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Inaccurate beliefs that the world is getting worse drive poor policy decisions and can swing elections. — tap to centre the map on it
Inaccurate beliefs that the world is getting worse drive poor policy decisions and can swing elections.
Last stated 3 years ago
8 Dec 2023
AD
Annie Duke — holds since 2023-12-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Instinctive reluctance to disagree is a great barrier to learning, and thoughtful disagreement is not easy for many people. — tap to centre the map on it
Instinctive reluctance to disagree is a great barrier to learning, and thoughtful disagreement is not easy for many people.
Last stated 4 years ago
27 Sept 2022
RD
Ray Dalio — holds since 2022-09-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out. — tap to centre the map on it
A drop in agency is the earliest sign of burnout, arriving before you consciously notice you are burning out.
Last stated 3 years ago
10 Jan 2024
CH
Cate Hall — holds since 2024-01-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them. — tap to centre the map on it
A founder who picks an idea because the market wants it will give up, because nobody can persist at something that was never important to them.
Last stated 2 years ago
19 Jun 2024
AS
Aravind Srinivas — holds since 2024-06-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A general inclination of all humankind is a perpetual, restless desire of power after power that ends only in death — tap to centre the map on it
A general inclination of all humankind is a perpetual, restless desire of power after power that ends only in death
TH
Thomas Hobbes — holds since c. 1651 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Being professionally offended by every little thing is no longer a dominant disposition — tap to centre the map on it
Being professionally offended by every little thing is no longer a dominant disposition
Last stated 2 years ago
6 Nov 2024
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2024-11-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Decades of warnings about an AI apocalypse do not justify much concern today. — tap to centre the map on it
Decades of warnings about an AI apocalypse do not justify much concern today.
Last stated 2 months ago
12 Sept 2026
PF
Paul Ford — holds since 2026-09-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Deliberately shifting a culture is far harder now that everyone can personalise their media and skip past anything they dislike. — tap to centre the map on it
Deliberately shifting a culture is far harder now that everyone can personalise their media and skip past anything they dislike.
Last stated a year ago
1 Jul 2025
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2025-07-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A free person thinks about death least of all; their wisdom is a meditation on life, not death — tap to centre the map on it
A free person thinks about death least of all; their wisdom is a meditation on life, not death
BS
Baruch Spinoza — holds since c. 1661–1675 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A good life is forged from the very things that make it hard, since joy and pain in relationships come together. — tap to centre the map on it
A good life is forged from the very things that make it hard, since joy and pain in relationships come together.
Last stated 4 years ago
13 Jan 2023
RW
Robert Waldinger — holds since 2023-01-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A good life rests on things that demand skill and effort from you, not on goods that arrive requiring none. — tap to centre the map on it
A good life rests on things that demand skill and effort from you, not on goods that arrive requiring none.
Last stated 2 years ago
16 May 2024
LS
L. M. Sacasas — holds since 2024-05-16 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2014 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are