Annie Duke
American author and former professional poker player who writes on decision-making; author of Thinking in Bets (2018), How to Decide (2020) and Quit (2022).
Annie Duke did not write this page.
We collected these quotes from things they published elsewhere, and every quote links to where it was said. They have no account here and have not endorsed this site. Quotes are word for word; the short line under each one is our own restatement, not their wording. Their own site. Is this you? Claim it or ask us to remove it. Or tell us what is wrong here.
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Our reading
A relative-risk statistic is misleading unless you also know the absolute risk ("out of how many?").
Their wordsThe issue is that without knowing out of how many, the relative risk statistic is misleading.
↗It's Not All Relativeannieduke.substack.com 1st of 2 in this piece
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Our reading
Data that are true but easily misinterpreted are the hardest kind for an information consumer.
Their wordsData that are true but easily misinterpreted are the most difficult for the information consumer.
↗It's Not All Relativeannieduke.substack.com 2nd of 2 in this piece
- 6 weeks earlier
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Their wordsBut good data hygiene requires searching for alternative explanations even when the faulty conclusion is not so in-your-face absurd.
- 8 months earlier
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Their wordsInaccurate beliefs about the state of the world have dangerous implications. Those biased beliefs drive poor policy decisions. They can swing elections. They are subject to manipulation by bad actors.
↗The Nostalgia Delusionannieduke.substack.com 1st of 2 in this piece
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Their wordsWe think that things were simpler in past. It was a happier time to be alive. But on almost any metric, it wasn't a better time to be alive.
↗The Nostalgia Delusionannieduke.substack.com 2nd of 2 in this piece
- 7 months earlier
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Their wordsLow hanging fruit is, by definition, pedestal building, offering the illusion of progress rather than any real ground gained toward reaching a goal.
↗Monkeys and the Reverse Salientannieduke.substack.com 1st of 2 in this piece
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Their wordsTackling the hard thing first gets you to “no” faster.
↗Monkeys and the Reverse Salientannieduke.substack.com 2nd of 2 in this piece
- 2 months earlier
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Their wordsThe way we generally elicit feedback in group settings reduces the chances for us to hear what other people actually think. And that reduces decision quality.
- 5 days earlier
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Our reading
Grit is not always a virtue: it can keep you sticking to hard things that are no longer worthwhile.
Their wordsThis is the issue with grit. It can get you to stick to hard things that are worthwhile, but it can also get you to stick to hard things that are no longer worthwhile
↗Why Quitting is Underratedannieduke.substack.com 1st of 3 in this piece
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Their wordsIt’s high time we rehabilitated quitting. Quittiness is at least as important a decision skill to develop as grittiness, because quitting gives us the ability to act as new information reveals itself.
↗Why Quitting is Underratedannieduke.substack.com 2nd of 3 in this piece
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Our reading
If she had to make someone a better decision-maker, quitting is the primary skill she would teach.
Their wordsThat’s why, if I had to skill somebody up to get them to be a better decision-maker, quitting is the primary skill I would choose, because the ability to walk away is what allows you to react to the changing landscape.
↗Why Quitting is Underratedannieduke.substack.com 3rd of 3 in this piece