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← Higher real interest rates reflect a more optimistic collective view of future economic abundance.
17 connected korrents · 15 moments on record from 19 Aug 2004 to 12 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under interest rates
interest rates
Everything filed under surgical outcomes
surgical outcomes
Everything filed under crypto
crypto
Everything filed under inflation
inflation
Everything filed under public debt
public debt
Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject
Read this korrent: Higher real interest rates reflect a more optimistic collective view of future economic abundance.
Higher real interest rates reflect a more optimistic collective view of future economic abundance.
Last stated a week ago
12 Sept 2026
BH
Byrne Hobart — holds since 2026-09-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it. — tap to centre the map on it
A bank should be managed against the fat tails it can imagine, not against the stress test its regulator hands it.
Last stated a year ago
16 Jul 2025
JD
Jamie Dimon — holds since 2025-07-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. — tap to centre the map on it
A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate.
Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output. — tap to centre the map on it
A fiscal expansion when the economy is already at potential output prompts monetary tightening that dampens or eliminates its effect on output.
Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending. — tap to centre the map on it
A government's debt dynamics are a household's or a company's, except that it can print money and tax -- and those two powers are what change the ending.
Last stated a month ago
21 Aug 2026
RD
Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A longer average debt maturity protects a government from temporary interest-rate spikes and gives it more time to adjust to permanent rate increases. — tap to centre the map on it
A longer average debt maturity protects a government from temporary interest-rate spikes and gives it more time to adjust to permanent rate increases.
Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A new monetary network with its own unit can only bootstrap from zero to mass adoption through a period of upward price volatility. — tap to centre the map on it
A new monetary network with its own unit can only bootstrap from zero to mass adoption through a period of upward price volatility.
Last stated a year ago
6 Jul 2025
LA
Lyn Alden — holds since 2025-07-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A persistently low safe interest rate signals that capital is not very productive at the margin, an underlying economic problem rather than a policy variable. — tap to centre the map on it
A persistently low safe interest rate signals that capital is not very productive at the margin, an underlying economic problem rather than a policy variable.
Last stated 4 years ago
1 Jun 2022
OB
Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Aggressive quantitative easing should raise long-term interest rates, because effective monetary stimulus raises them. — tap to centre the map on it
Aggressive quantitative easing should raise long-term interest rates, because effective monetary stimulus raises them.
Last stated 16 years ago
6 Sept 2010
SS
Scott Sumner — holds since 2010-09-05 — tap for who they are
SS
Scott Sumner — no longer holds since 2010-09-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost. — tap to centre the map on it
A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost.
Last stated 6 months ago
1 Apr 2026
TP
Thuan Pham — holds since 2026-04-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An economy on a fixed, unprintable base money supply can sustain rapid long-run growth with zero cumulative price inflation. — tap to centre the map on it
An economy on a fixed, unprintable base money supply can sustain rapid long-run growth with zero cumulative price inflation.
Last stated 6 months ago
11 Mar 2026
LA
Lyn Alden — holds since 2026-03-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Cash welfare benefits contributed at least somewhat to the inflation of 2021-2022. — tap to centre the map on it
Cash welfare benefits contributed at least somewhat to the inflation of 2021-2022.
Last stated 4 years ago
25 Jul 2022
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2022-07-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A single risk-adjusted summary of a surgeon's results risks giving spurious credibility to analyses that ignore non-patient influences. — tap to centre the map on it
A single risk-adjusted summary of a surgeon's results risks giving spurious credibility to analyses that ignore non-patient influences.
Last stated 22 years ago
19 Aug 2004
DS
David Spiegelhalter — holds since 2004-08-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A surgeon's performance cannot be separated from that of the institution because quality depends heavily on institutional systems. — tap to centre the map on it
A surgeon's performance cannot be separated from that of the institution because quality depends heavily on institutional systems.
Last stated 22 years ago
19 Aug 2004
DS
David Spiegelhalter — holds since 2004-08-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Casemix makes it unwise to publish surgeons' unadjusted mortality figures for comparison. — tap to centre the map on it
Casemix makes it unwise to publish surgeons' unadjusted mortality figures for comparison.
Last stated 22 years ago
19 Aug 2004
DS
David Spiegelhalter — holds since 2004-08-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Bitcoin creates more upside and downside than traditional money because it makes users power users with no system administrator to fall back on. — tap to centre the map on it
Bitcoin creates more upside and downside than traditional money because it makes users power users with no system administrator to fall back on.
Last stated 2 months ago
12 Jul 2026
BS
Balaji Srinivasan — holds since 2026-07-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Crypto's real question was never how transactions settle: changing the currency is something that happens to retired people who have no way of making new money. — tap to centre the map on it
Crypto's real question was never how transactions settle: changing the currency is something that happens to retired people who have no way of making new money.
Last stated 4 months ago
3 Jun 2026
KH
Kelsey Hightower — holds since 2026-06-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Cryptocurrency deserves to be dismissed: its problems outweigh its promise, and the trustless world it offers is not one worth wanting. — tap to centre the map on it
Cryptocurrency deserves to be dismissed: its problems outweigh its promise, and the trustless world it offers is not one worth wanting.
Last stated 5 years ago
21 Feb 2022
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2021-03-19 — tap for who they are
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — no longer holds since 2022-02-21 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2004 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone on record holding the claim — tap it for who they are faded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind