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← The Trump administration is probably not responsible for high…

17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 5 Sept 2010 to 6 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under interest rates interest rates Everything filed under public debt public debt Everything filed under inflation inflation Everything filed under America America Everything filed under politics politics Everything filed under AGI AGI Everything filed under stock market stock market Everything filed under quantitative easing quantitative easing Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: The Trump administration is probably not responsible for high long-term rates, which look like a natural market response to the rush to invest in AI. The Trump administration is probably notresponsible for high long-term rates,which look like a natural market responseto the rush to invest in AI. Last stated 2 months ago 10 Sept 2026 PK Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI, not macroeconomic factors like interest rates, is directly responsible for a significant share of current job losses. — tap to centre the map on it AI, not macroeconomic factors likeinterest rates, is directlyresponsible for a significant shareof current job losses. Last stated 2 months ago 28 Aug 2026 CN Casey Newton — holds since 2026-08-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: The AI boom has become a huge political liability for Trump and clinging to it will not work — tap to centre the map on it The AI boom has become a hugepolitical liability for Trump andclinging to it will not work Last stated a month ago 15 Sept 2026 PK Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: The software job losses of the past few years were caused more by the end of zero-interest-rate money and the post-COVID crash than by AI. — tap to centre the map on it The software job losses of the pastfew years were caused more by theend of zero-interest-rate money andthe post-COVID crash than by AI. Last stated 3 months ago 29 Jul 2026 HW Hillel Wayne — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are Same subject: The AI boom is the main cause of soaring long-term interest rates. — tap to centre the map on it The AI boom is the main cause ofsoaring long-term interest rates. Last stated 3 weeks ago 6 Oct 2026 PK Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-10-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: The AI industry's near-term trajectory is driven more by finance and politics than by the underlying technology. — tap to centre the map on it The AI industry's near-termtrajectory is driven more by financeand politics than by the underlyingtechnology. Last stated a month ago 18 Sept 2026 RS Robin Sloan — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it. — tap to centre the map on it We are already in an intelligenceexplosion and have been for decades,so AI will show up as more of thesame exponential rather than a breakin it. Last stated a year ago 17 Oct 2025 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: The long trend of making it easier for ordinary people to index more of the economy will resume, and AI itself will help by cutting the cost of going public. — tap to centre the map on it The long trend of making it easierfor ordinary people to index more ofthe economy will resume, and AIitself will help by cutting the costof going public. Last stated 5 months ago 4 Jun 2026 PT Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: Using AI to integrate AI into the economy quickly probably has a lot of leverage. — tap to centre the map on it Using AI to integrate AI into theeconomy quickly probably has a lotof leverage. Last stated a year ago 16 Jun 2025 JK Jared Kaplan — holds since 2025-06-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company's staff-engineer bar should be set against the best companies in the industry rather than against its own history, which is what makes title inflation a real cost. — tap to centre the map on it A company's staff-engineer barshould be set against the bestcompanies in the industry ratherthan against its own history, whichis what makes title inflation a realcost. Last stated 7 months ago 1 Apr 2026 TP Thuan Pham — holds since 2026-04-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Adjusted for inflation, far more American families are now high-income and far fewer are low-income than in 1967. — tap to centre the map on it Adjusted for inflation, far moreAmerican families are nowhigh-income and far fewer arelow-income than in 1967. Last stated a month ago 16 Sept 2026 JH Jeremy Horpedahl — holds since 2026-09-16 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI's effect on inflation is disinflationary over five to ten years but inflationary over the coming year because of chip shortages. — tap to centre the map on it AI's effect on inflation isdisinflationary over five to tenyears but inflationary over thecoming year because of chipshortages. Last stated 2 months ago 7 Sept 2026 CS Claudia Sahm — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A government debt crisis is measurable and therefore visible well in advance; the diagnostic is mechanical rather than a matter of judgement. — tap to centre the map on it A government debt crisis ismeasurable and therefore visiblewell in advance; the diagnostic ismechanical rather than a matter ofjudgement. Last stated 2 months ago 21 Aug 2026 RD Ray Dalio — holds since 2026-08-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: Assessing whether government debt is sustainable is as much an art as a science. — tap to centre the map on it Assessing whether government debt issustainable is as much an art as ascience. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: During post-2008 fiscal consolidation, the costs of high public debt were overestimated and fiscal multipliers were underestimated, understating the output costs of austerity. — tap to centre the map on it During post-2008 fiscalconsolidation, the costs of highpublic debt were overestimated andfiscal multipliers wereunderestimated, understating theoutput costs of austerity. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Since the Global Financial Crisis, unconventional monetary policy has become the dominant force driving asset prices, more than fundamentals. — tap to centre the map on it Since the Global Financial Crisis,unconventional monetary policy hasbecome the dominant force drivingasset prices, more thanfundamentals. Last stated 2 years ago 24 Sept 2024 LA Lyn Alden — holds since 2024-09-24 — tap for who they are Same subject: A central bank can eliminate a self-fulfilling ('sunspot') debt crisis simply by credibly committing to buy as many bonds as needed at the low interest rate. — tap to centre the map on it A central bank can eliminate aself-fulfilling ('sunspot') debtcrisis simply by credibly committingto buy as many bonds as needed atthe low interest rate. Last stated 4 years ago 1 Jun 2022 OB Olivier Blanchard — holds since 2022-06-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: Aggressive quantitative easing should raise long-term interest rates, because effective monetary stimulus raises them. — tap to centre the map on it Aggressive quantitative easingshould raise long-term interestrates, because effective monetarystimulus raises them. Last stated 16 years ago 6 Sept 2010 SS Scott Sumner — holds since 2010-09-05 — tap for who they are SS Scott Sumner — no longer holds since 2010-09-06 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2010 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is todaya face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they arefaded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind

At the centre The Trump administration is probably not responsible for high long-term rates, which look like a natural market response to the rush to invest in AI. Last stated 10 Sept 2026 · 2 months ago Holds Paul Krugman Read this korrent →