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← Every cognitive ingredient for farming and for states was already in…

17 connected korrents · 16 moments on record from 7 Sept 2008 to 7 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under America America Everything filed under China China Everything filed under tariffs tariffs Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Every cognitive ingredient for farming and for states was already in place tens of thousands of years before either appeared, so what humanity was waiting on was not biology. Every cognitive ingredient for farming andfor states was already in place tens ofthousands of years before either appeared,so what humanity was waiting on was notbiology. Last stated 4 months ago 8 May 2026 DR David Reich — holds since 2026-05-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: The Bronze Age, not the invention of farming, was the shock the human genome reacted to most strongly. — tap to centre the map on it The Bronze Age, not the invention offarming, was the shock the humangenome reacted to most strongly. Last stated 4 months ago 8 May 2026 DR David Reich — holds since 2026-05-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: Human-level AI is most likely centuries or millennia away, so there is no reason to reorganise one's work around its arrival. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level AI is most likelycenturies or millennia away, sothere is no reason to reorganiseone's work around its arrival. Last stated 3 years ago 13 Dec 2023 SA Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are SA Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: For the whole of human history the bottleneck on progress has been getting a group of smart people together around a shared goal. — tap to centre the map on it For the whole of human history thebottleneck on progress has beengetting a group of smart peopletogether around a shared goal. Last stated a month ago 29 Jul 2026 AW Alexandr Wang — holds since 2026-07-29 — tap for who they are Same subject: A civilization that advanced and that large would have left something behind, and archaeologists find fish scales. — tap to centre the map on it A civilization that advanced andthat large would have left somethingbehind, and archaeologists find fishscales. Last stated 2 years ago 30 Sept 2024 EB Ed Barnhart — holds since 2024-09-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: The people of the ancient world were not less advanced than we are; they were probably indistinguishable from us. — tap to centre the map on it The people of the ancient world werenot less advanced than we are; theywere probably indistinguishable fromus. Last stated 9 months ago 12 Dec 2025 IF Irving Finkel — holds since 2025-12-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: Humanity's advantage is accumulated shared knowledge rather than higher intelligence — and AI models, which vanish with their context window, have none of it. — tap to centre the map on it Humanity's advantage is accumulatedshared knowledge rather than higherintelligence — and AI models, whichvanish with their context window,have none of it. Last stated 2 months ago 26 Jun 2026 NB Noam Brown — holds since 2026-06-26 — tap for who they are Same subject: Human-level artificial intelligence is plausibly centuries or millennia away, and no trend supports a shorter estimate. — tap to centre the map on it Human-level artificial intelligenceis plausibly centuries or millenniaaway, and no trend supports ashorter estimate. Last stated 3 years ago 13 Dec 2023 SA Scott Aaronson — holds since 2008-09-07 — tap for who they are SA Scott Aaronson — no longer holds since 2023-12-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Scientific discovery is ready to be rewritten, because for all of history it has run at the speed of smart humans remembering what other smart humans learned. — tap to centre the map on it Scientific discovery is ready to berewritten, because for all ofhistory it has run at the speed ofsmart humans remembering what othersmart humans learned. Last stated 4 weeks ago 10 Aug 2026 FL Fei-Fei Li — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. — tap to centre the map on it A Chinese crewed landing on the Moonbefore America returns would be adefeat for the free world. Last stated 3 weeks ago 18 Aug 2026 CH Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-10-31 — tap for who they are EB Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A country cannot have radical technological breakthroughs and also refuse to tolerate uncomfortably rich people, because the financial system it resents is what funds the innovation. — tap to centre the map on it A country cannot have radicaltechnological breakthroughs and alsorefuse to tolerate uncomfortablyrich people, because the financialsystem it resents is what funds theinnovation. Last stated a year ago 13 Aug 2025 KJ Keyu Jin — holds since 2025-08-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: A country's large trade deficit in manufactured goods reduces its manufacturing employment below what it would be with balanced trade. — tap to centre the map on it A country's large trade deficit inmanufactured goods reduces itsmanufacturing employment below whatit would be with balanced trade. Last stated today 7 Sept 2026 PK Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A country cannot fund its own industrial strategy and call the same policy cheating when China does it. — tap to centre the map on it A country cannot fund its ownindustrial strategy and call thesame policy cheating when China doesit. Last stated a year ago 15 May 2025 HR Hannah Ritchie — holds since 2025-05-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A few square miles at the Moon's south pole are the only lunar real estate that matters, and whoever gets there first sets the terms. — tap to centre the map on it A few square miles at the Moon'ssouth pole are the only lunar realestate that matters, and whoevergets there first sets the terms. Last stated 3 weeks ago 18 Aug 2026 EB Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A large, sustained AI capability lead by either the US or China could shift the global balance of power between them. — tap to centre the map on it A large, sustained AI capabilitylead by either the US or China couldshift the global balance of powerbetween them. Last stated 2 days ago 5 Sept 2026 NS Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-05 — tap for who they are Same subject: Cutting off trade with tariffs would force a huge interest-rate spike and probably a debt crisis, because the budget deficit would have to be financed at home. — tap to centre the map on it Cutting off trade with tariffs wouldforce a huge interest-rate spike andprobably a debt crisis, because thebudget deficit would have to befinanced at home. Last stated a year ago 14 Apr 2025 JC John H. Cochrane — holds since 2025-04-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: Rebuilding American manufacturing is a decades-long educational and cultural project, not something tariffs can do. — tap to centre the map on it Rebuilding American manufacturing isa decades-long educational andcultural project, not somethingtariffs can do. Last stated 8 months ago 25 Dec 2025 MH Molson Hart — holds since 2025-12-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: Reducing trade deficits and reviving manufacturing would not end the resentment fueling right-wing authoritarian movements. — tap to centre the map on it Reducing trade deficits and revivingmanufacturing would not end theresentment fueling right-wingauthoritarian movements. Last stated today 7 Sept 2026 PK Paul Krugman — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2008 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is todaya face: someone on record holding the claim — tap it for who they arefaded, dashed ring: they no longer hold it — they changed their mind

At the centre Every cognitive ingredient for farming and for states was already in place tens of thousands of years before either appeared, so what humanity was waiting on was not biology. Last stated 8 May 2026 · 4 months ago Holds David Reich Read this korrent →