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← Earth's equilibrium climate sensitivity to doubled CO2 is closer to 3.5°C than 4.5°C
17 connected korrents · 14 moments from 12 Jan 2020 to 1 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under climate change
climate change
Everything filed under energy
energy
Everything filed under solar
solar
Everything filed under America
America
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Read this korrent: Earth's equilibrium climate sensitivity to doubled CO2 is closer to 3.5°C than 4.5°C
Earth's equilibrium climate sensitivity to doubled CO2 is closer to 3.5°C than 4.5°C
Last stated 3 months ago
30 Jul 2026
ZH
Zeke Hausfather — holds since 2026-07-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The IPCC would likely have assessed a warming range of 0.4-0.8°C rather than 0.3-0.7°C if improved observational datasets had been available. — tap to centre the map on it
The IPCC would likely have assessed a warming range of 0.4-0.8°C rather than 0.3-0.7°C if improved observational datasets had been available.
Last stated 7 months ago
14 Apr 2026
EH
Ed Hawkins — holds since 2026-04-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There is a 77% chance of global warming exceeding 3C by 2150 under current policies. — tap to centre the map on it
There is a 77% chance of global warming exceeding 3C by 2150 under current policies.
Last stated a month ago
22 Sept 2026
ZH
Zeke Hausfather — holds since 2026-09-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The global land surface is warming approximately 50% faster than the global average. — tap to centre the map on it
The global land surface is warming approximately 50% faster than the global average.
Last stated a month ago
22 Sept 2026
ZH
Zeke Hausfather — holds since 2026-09-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The IPCC AR5 near-term warming assessment was reasonable given the published evidence at the time. — tap to centre the map on it
The IPCC AR5 near-term warming assessment was reasonable given the published evidence at the time.
Last stated 7 months ago
14 Apr 2026
EH
Ed Hawkins — holds since 2026-04-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: To keep global warming below 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels by 2100, it may become increasingly likely that negative carbon emissions will be required. — tap to centre the map on it
To keep global warming below 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels by 2100, it may become increasingly likely that negative carbon emissions will be required.
Last stated 7 years ago
12 Jan 2020
JB
John Baez — holds since 2020-01-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Climate models may be underestimating how much future warming will occur. — tap to centre the map on it
Climate models may be underestimating how much future warming will occur.
Last stated 2 months ago
4 Sept 2026
AD
Andrew Dessler — holds since 2026-09-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The central climate focus on 1.5C should be replaced with a metric based on the rapidity of the clean energy transition. — tap to centre the map on it
The central climate focus on 1.5C should be replaced with a metric based on the rapidity of the clean energy transition.
Last stated 9 months ago
4 Feb 2026
ML
Mark Lynas — holds since 2026-02-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The planet is probably getting too hot and CO2 has something to do with it, but whether it can be fixed in time is unknown, and pre-emptive despair helps no one. — tap to centre the map on it
The planet is probably getting too hot and CO2 has something to do with it, but whether it can be fixed in time is unknown, and pre-emptive despair helps no one.
Last stated a year ago
12 Jul 2025
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2025-07-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Energy essence personality" is as close as anyone can get to saying who or what Seth is — tap to centre the map on it
"Energy essence personality" is as close as anyone can get to saying who or what Seth is
JR
Jane Roberts — holds since c. 1963–1970 — tap for who they are
Same subject: "Food from thin air" is not from thin air: it runs on water, minerals, ammonia and industrial plant. — tap to centre the map on it
"Food from thin air" is not from thin air: it runs on water, minerals, ammonia and industrial plant.
Last stated 4 months ago
30 Jun 2026
CS
Chris Smaje — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A ban on diesel exports would raise overall fuel prices and damage America's energy superpower status. — tap to centre the map on it
A ban on diesel exports would raise overall fuel prices and damage America's energy superpower status.
Last stated a month ago
1 Oct 2026
AE
Alex Epstein — holds since 2026-10-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A data centre powered by solar and batteries alone needs an array so oversized that the design is not worth building. — tap to centre the map on it
A data centre powered by solar and batteries alone needs an array so oversized that the design is not worth building.
Last stated 3 years ago
18 Apr 2024
AV
Austin Vernon — holds since 2024-04-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A future of constrained energy will need more people working the land, and that is not the same as going back to the past. — tap to centre the map on it
A future of constrained energy will need more people working the land, and that is not the same as going back to the past.
Last stated 4 months ago
30 Jun 2026
CS
Chris Smaje — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A solar panel is a manufactured object that produces wealth rather than consuming it, at a hundred times the rate of the best farmland. — tap to centre the map on it
A solar panel is a manufactured object that produces wealth rather than consuming it, at a hundred times the rate of the best farmland.
Last stated 2 years ago
9 Nov 2024
CH
Casey Handmer — holds since 2024-11-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: America stopped building reactors because Three Mile Island was mismanaged as a public-relations event, not because anyone was harmed by it. — tap to centre the map on it
America stopped building reactors because Three Mile Island was mismanaged as a public-relations event, not because anyone was harmed by it.
Last stated 3 months ago
15 Aug 2026
IT
Isaiah Taylor — holds since 2026-08-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: American manufacturing output cannot meaningfully rise without first building large amounts of new electricity generation. — tap to centre the map on it
American manufacturing output cannot meaningfully rise without first building large amounts of new electricity generation.
Last stated 2 years ago
6 Apr 2025
MH
Molson Hart — holds since 2025-04-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Americans have repeatedly overreacted drastically to real problems like DDT, Y2K, and nuclear power, swept up in fear after one vivid incident. — tap to centre the map on it
Americans have repeatedly overreacted drastically to real problems like DDT, Y2K, and nuclear power, swept up in fear after one vivid incident.
Last stated 2 months ago
1 Sept 2026
TC
Tyler Cowen — holds since 2026-09-01 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
Earth's equilibrium climate sensitivity to doubled CO2 is closer to 3.5°C than 4.5°C
Last stated 30 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Zeke Hausfather
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
The IPCC would likely have assessed a warming range of 0.4-0.8°C rather than 0.3-0.7°C if improved observational datasets had been available.
Last stated 14 Apr 2026 · 7 months ago
Holds Ed Hawkins
Similar wording
There is a 77% chance of global warming exceeding 3C by 2150 under current policies.
Last stated 22 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Zeke Hausfather
Similar wording
The global land surface is warming approximately 50% faster than the global average.
Last stated 22 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Zeke Hausfather
Similar wording
The IPCC AR5 near-term warming assessment was reasonable given the published evidence at the time.
Last stated 14 Apr 2026 · 7 months ago
Holds Ed Hawkins
Similar wording
To keep global warming below 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels by 2100, it may become increasingly likely that negative carbon emissions will be required.
Last stated 12 Jan 2020 · 7 years ago
Holds John Baez
Similar wording
Climate models may be underestimating how much future warming will occur.
Last stated 4 Sept 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Andrew Dessler
Similar wording
The central climate focus on 1.5C should be replaced with a metric based on the rapidity of the clean energy transition.
Last stated 4 Feb 2026 · 9 months ago
Holds Mark Lynas
Similar wording
The planet is probably getting too hot and CO2 has something to do with it, but whether it can be fixed in time is unknown, and pre-emptive despair helps no one.
Last stated 12 Jul 2025 · a year ago
Holds David Heinemeier Hansson
Same subject: energy
"Energy essence personality" is as close as anyone can get to saying who or what Seth is
Last stated c. 1963–1970
Holds Jane Roberts
Same subject: energy
"Food from thin air" is not from thin air: it runs on water, minerals, ammonia and industrial plant.
Last stated 30 Jun 2026 · 4 months ago
Holds Chris Smaje
Same subject: energy
A ban on diesel exports would raise overall fuel prices and damage America's energy superpower status.
Last stated 1 Oct 2026 · a month ago
Holds Alex Epstein
Same subject: solar
A data centre powered by solar and batteries alone needs an array so oversized that the design is not worth building.
Last stated 18 Apr 2024 · 3 years ago
Holds Austin Vernon
Same subject: solar
A future of constrained energy will need more people working the land, and that is not the same as going back to the past.
Last stated 30 Jun 2026 · 4 months ago
Holds Chris Smaje
Same subject: solar
A solar panel is a manufactured object that produces wealth rather than consuming it, at a hundred times the rate of the best farmland.
Last stated 9 Nov 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Casey Handmer
Same subject: nuclear power
America stopped building reactors because Three Mile Island was mismanaged as a public-relations event, not because anyone was harmed by it.
Last stated 15 Aug 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Isaiah Taylor
Same subject: nuclear power
American manufacturing output cannot meaningfully rise without first building large amounts of new electricity generation.
Last stated 6 Apr 2025 · 2 years ago
Holds Molson Hart
Same subject: nuclear power
Americans have repeatedly overreacted drastically to real problems like DDT, Y2K, and nuclear power, swept up in fear after one vivid incident.
Last stated 1 Sept 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Tyler Cowen