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← Domain experts consistently underestimate how quickly AI can master their field and surpass them.
17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 29 Aug 2023 to 23 Oct 2026.
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AI agents Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Domain experts consistently underestimate how quickly AI can master their field and surpass them. Domain experts consistently underestimate how quickly AI can master their field and surpass them. Last stated a month ago
14 Sept 2026
NS
Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Agency and clock speed beat domain experience in a hire, and in a fast-moving field experience is often a crutch of habits that need discarding. — tap to centre the map on it Agency and clock speed beat domain experience in a hire, and in a fast-moving field experience is often a crutch of habits that need discarding. Last stated a year ago
5 Oct 2025
AC
Albert Cheng — holds since 2025-10-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: When not an expert in an area, one tends to trust AI and later learns it does stupid stuff. — tap to centre the map on it When not an expert in an area, one tends to trust AI and later learns it does stupid stuff. Last stated a week ago
19 Oct 2026
GO
Gergely Orosz — holds since 2026-10-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI that exceeds human performance in nearly every cognitive domain is almost certain to be built within the next few years. — tap to centre the map on it AI that exceeds human performance in nearly every cognitive domain is almost certain to be built within the next few years. Last stated 2 years ago
20 Dec 2024
MB
Miles Brundage — holds since 2024-12-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Software engineers who master AI will generally fare better than those who do not. — tap to centre the map on it Software engineers who master AI will generally fare better than those who do not. Last stated 6 days ago
23 Oct 2026
GO
Gergely Orosz — holds since 2026-10-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The least verifiable part of AI research is the judgement call about what goes into the one big training run. — tap to centre the map on it The least verifiable part of AI research is the judgement call about what goes into the one big training run. Last stated 3 months ago
11 Aug 2026
RG
Ryan Greenblatt — holds since 2026-08-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI agents trained on an expert's published work can only automate a small fraction of that expert's actual job. — tap to centre the map on it AI agents trained on an expert's published work can only automate a small fraction of that expert's actual job. Last stated 11 months ago
27 Nov 2025
BG
Brendan Gregg — holds since 2025-11-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Bigger is smarter, always: bringing your special domain knowledge to the model is the wrong side of the bitter lesson. — tap to centre the map on it Bigger is smarter, always: bringing your special domain knowledge to the model is the wrong side of the bitter lesson. Last stated 8 months ago
11 Mar 2026
SY
Steve Yegge — holds since 2026-03-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Forecasters underestimate AI spending even more than they underestimate AI capability, and the spending is what drives the next leap. — tap to centre the map on it Forecasters underestimate AI spending even more than they underestimate AI capability, and the spending is what drives the next leap. Last stated 3 years ago
29 Aug 2023
AC
Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2023-08-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A company must cut half its engineers to pay for the other half's tokens, and that is what the layoffs are actually about. — tap to centre the map on it A company must cut half its engineers to pay for the other half's tokens, and that is what the layoffs are actually about. Last stated 8 months ago
11 Mar 2026
SY
Steve Yegge — holds since 2026-03-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A home is an asset that is likely to perform poorly exactly when a person needs it most due to its correlation with local labor market shocks. — tap to centre the map on it A home is an asset that is likely to perform poorly exactly when a person needs it most due to its correlation with local labor market shocks. Last stated 3 months ago
30 Jul 2026
JD
Jerusalem Demsas — holds since 2026-07-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A labor market stuck in a low-hiring equilibrium will see employment decline outright unless hiring rates recover. — tap to centre the map on it A labor market stuck in a low-hiring equilibrium will see employment decline outright unless hiring rates recover. Last stated 10 months ago
11 Jan 2026
JP
Joseph Politano — holds since 2026-01-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI will not eliminate software engineering jobs, but engineers who are highly skilled with AI tools could displace those who are not. — tap to centre the map on it AI will not eliminate software engineering jobs, but engineers who are highly skilled with AI tools could displace those who are not. Last stated 6 months ago
27 Apr 2026
JS
Jon Seager — holds since 2026-04-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: As a capability becomes abundant, its remaining scarce complements become more valuable. — tap to centre the map on it As a capability becomes abundant, its remaining scarce complements become more valuable. Last stated 2 months ago
13 Sept 2026
VR
Venkatesh Rao — holds since 2026-09-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Leaning on AI trades knowledge for speed, and the price may be a generation of programmers in which juniors stay juniors forever. — tap to centre the map on it Leaning on AI trades knowledge for speed, and the price may be a generation of programmers in which juniors stay juniors forever. Last stated 2 years ago
22 Mar 2025
TH
ThePrimeagen — holds since 2025-03-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI coding assistants are leveling the skill gap between software developers who can afford to use them. — tap to centre the map on it AI coding assistants are leveling the skill gap between software developers who can afford to use them. Last stated 6 months ago
3 May 2026
YX
Yihui Xie — holds since 2026-05-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI coding assistants remove repetitive work without replacing human judgment. — tap to centre the map on it AI coding assistants remove repetitive work without replacing human judgment. Last stated 8 months ago
17 Feb 2026
EB
Emanuele Bartolesi — holds since 2026-02-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI models have reached the level of a junior engineer on longer-running, agent-based coding tasks. — tap to centre the map on it AI models have reached the level of a junior engineer on longer-running, agent-based coding tasks. Last stated 3 months ago
30 Jul 2026
JD
Jeff Dean — holds since 2026-07-30 — tap for who they are