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← Demand for intelligence is highly elastic — every fall in inference cost is met with rapidly growing usage.

17 connected korrents · 19 moments from 12 Sept 2022 to 23 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under scaling laws scaling laws Everything filed under energy energy Everything filed under semiconductors semiconductors Everything filed under AI and jobs AI and jobs In tensionSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Demand for intelligence is highly elastic — every fall in inference cost is met with rapidly growing usage. Demand for intelligence is highly elastic— every fall in inference cost is met withrapidly growing usage. Last stated 2 months ago 23 Aug 2026 GR Guillermo Rauch — holds since 2026-08-23 — tap for who they are In tension: Peak programmer has passed: the economic value of writing code by hand has peaked, and Jevons' paradox will not bail every programmer out. — tap to centre the map on it Peak programmer has passed: theeconomic value of writing code byhand has peaked, and Jevons' paradoxwill not bail every programmer out. Last stated 7 months ago 8 Apr 2026 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2025-07-12 — tap for who they are DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-04-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: Demand for inference may be growing exponentially while GPU production can only grow linearly, and the tightening happens where those two lines cross. — tap to centre the map on it Demand for inference may be growingexponentially while GPU productioncan only grow linearly, and thetightening happens where those twolines cross. Last stated 5 months ago 27 May 2026 DR Dax Raad — holds since 2026-05-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: There is infinite demand for intelligence. — tap to centre the map on it There is infinite demand forintelligence. Last stated 2 months ago 9 Sept 2026 GR Guillermo Rauch — holds since 2026-09-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: As AI inference costs fall, rising customer expectations will keep service margins from converging toward 100%. — tap to centre the map on it As AI inference costs fall, risingcustomer expectations will keepservice margins from convergingtoward 100%. Last stated a month ago 17 Sept 2026 TT Tomasz Tunguz — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: Demand for cheap, high-quality intelligence is effectively uncapped, which makes it unlike every other commodity — including electricity. — tap to centre the map on it Demand for cheap, high-qualityintelligence is effectivelyuncapped, which makes it unlikeevery other commodity — includingelectricity. Last stated 3 months ago 28 Jul 2026 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: Demand for AI computing power is growing faster than supply. — tap to centre the map on it Demand for AI computing power isgrowing faster than supply. Last stated 3 days ago 23 Oct 2026 DT Derek Thompson — holds since 2026-10-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: Inference was never going to be the easy, cheap half of AI, because inference is thinking, and thinking is far harder than reading. — tap to centre the map on it Inference was never going to be theeasy, cheap half of AI, becauseinference is thinking, and thinkingis far harder than reading. Last stated 7 months ago 23 Mar 2026 JH Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-03-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: Compute is not a market like phones, where demand is capped by how many buyers there are; intelligence is priced like energy, so the only real question is how much the world uses at a given price. — tap to centre the map on it Compute is not a market like phones,where demand is capped by how manybuyers there are; intelligence ispriced like energy, so the only realquestion is how much the world usesat a given price. Last stated 3 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Real reasoning will have arrived when spending more compute at inference time reliably buys a dramatically better answer. — tap to centre the map on it Real reasoning will have arrivedwhen spending more compute atinference time reliably buys adramatically better answer. Last stated 2 years ago 19 Jun 2024 AS Aravind Srinivas — holds since 2024-06-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A badly written AI outbound email isevidence of a bad vendor, not of alimit of AI. Last stated 10 months ago 1 Jan 2026 JL Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it A bigger context window does notgive you a smarter model; theintelligence of the model is whatdecides how much of that window itcan actually attend to. Last stated 3 months ago 15 Jul 2026 DH Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. — tap to centre the map on it A body of publications is easy forAI models to consume via pretrainingcorpora but cumbersome for mosthumans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts,and paywalls. Last stated a month ago 17 Sept 2026 PC Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. — tap to centre the map on it A tiny language model inventing aplausible-sounding name is the samephenomenon as a large oneconfidently stating a false fact. Last stated 8 months ago 12 Feb 2026 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI should be released iteratively rather than built in secret, because AI and surprise do not go together and the world needs time to adapt before it is under the gun. — tap to centre the map on it AI should be released iterativelyrather than built in secret, becauseAI and surprise do not go togetherand the world needs time to adaptbefore it is under the gun. Last stated 3 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: An AI can already earn an A on a university economics midterm, years earlier than informed forecasters expected. — tap to centre the map on it An AI can already earn an A on auniversity economics midterm, yearsearlier than informed forecastersexpected. Last stated 4 years ago 21 Mar 2023 BC Bryan Caplan — holds since 2023-03-21 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard. — tap to centre the map on it AI progress is faster than peopleexpect, and ordinary scaling can beenough to solve problems that lookedvery hard. Last stated 2 years ago 2 Feb 2025 AC Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2023-08-29 — tap for who they are SA Scott Alexander — holds since 2022-09-12 — tap for who they are MB Miles Brundage — holds since 2025-02-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: As models keep growing, AI is running out of enough high-quality unique training tokens to keep up. — tap to centre the map on it As models keep growing, AI isrunning out of enough high-qualityunique training tokens to keep up. Last stated 4 months ago 24 Jun 2026 LW Lilian Weng — holds since 2026-06-24 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Demand for intelligence is highly elastic — every fall in inference cost is met with rapidly growing usage. Last stated 23 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago Holds Guillermo Rauch Read this korrent →