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← Demand for intelligence is highly elastic — every fall in inference cost is met with rapidly growing usage.

17 connected korrents · 20 moments on record from 18 Mar 2024 to 9 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under energy energy Everything filed under AI and jobs AI and jobs Everything filed under semiconductors semiconductors Everything filed under scaling laws scaling laws Everything filed under AI and human skill AI and human skill In tensionSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Demand for intelligence is highly elastic — every fall in inference cost is met with rapidly growing usage. Demand for intelligence is highly elastic— every fall in inference cost is met withrapidly growing usage. Last stated 3 weeks ago 23 Aug 2026 GR Guillermo Rauch — holds since 2026-08-23 — tap for who they are In tension: Peak programmer has passed: the economic value of writing code by hand has peaked, and Jevons' paradox will not bail every programmer out. — tap to centre the map on it Peak programmer has passed: theeconomic value of writing code byhand has peaked, and Jevons' paradoxwill not bail every programmer out. Last stated 5 months ago 8 Apr 2026 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2025-07-12 — tap for who they are DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-04-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: Demand for inference may be growing exponentially while GPU production can only grow linearly, and the tightening happens where those two lines cross. — tap to centre the map on it Demand for inference may be growingexponentially while GPU productioncan only grow linearly, and thetightening happens where those twolines cross. Last stated 4 months ago 27 May 2026 DR Dax Raad — holds since 2026-05-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: There is infinite demand for intelligence. — tap to centre the map on it There is infinite demand forintelligence. Last stated 2 days ago 9 Sept 2026 GR Guillermo Rauch — holds since 2026-09-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: Demand for cheap, high-quality intelligence is effectively uncapped, which makes it unlike every other commodity — including electricity. — tap to centre the map on it Demand for cheap, high-qualityintelligence is effectivelyuncapped, which makes it unlikeevery other commodity — includingelectricity. Last stated a month ago 28 Jul 2026 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are Same subject: Inference was never going to be the easy, cheap half of AI, because inference is thinking, and thinking is far harder than reading. — tap to centre the map on it Inference was never going to be theeasy, cheap half of AI, becauseinference is thinking, and thinkingis far harder than reading. Last stated 6 months ago 23 Mar 2026 JH Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-03-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: Compute is not a market like phones, where demand is capped by how many buyers there are; intelligence is priced like energy, so the only real question is how much the world uses at a given price. — tap to centre the map on it Compute is not a market like phones,where demand is capped by how manybuyers there are; intelligence ispriced like energy, so the only realquestion is how much the world usesat a given price. Last stated 2 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Real reasoning will have arrived when spending more compute at inference time reliably buys a dramatically better answer. — tap to centre the map on it Real reasoning will have arrivedwhen spending more compute atinference time reliably buys adramatically better answer. Last stated 2 years ago 19 Jun 2024 AS Aravind Srinivas — holds since 2024-06-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: We are already in an intelligence explosion and have been for decades, so AI will show up as more of the same exponential rather than a break in it. — tap to centre the map on it We are already in an intelligenceexplosion and have been for decades,so AI will show up as more of thesame exponential rather than a breakin it. Last stated 11 months ago 17 Oct 2025 AK Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2025-10-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: Intelligence is becoming a choice rather than a byproduct of daily work: there will still be smart people, but only those who choose to be. — tap to centre the map on it Intelligence is becoming a choicerather than a byproduct of dailywork: there will still be smartpeople, but only those who choose tobe. Last stated 10 months ago 18 Nov 2025 PG Paul Graham — holds since 2024-10-01 — tap for who they are SY Scott H. Young — holds since 2025-11-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it A bigger context window does notgive you a smarter model; theintelligence of the model is whatdecides how much of that window itcan actually attend to. Last stated 2 months ago 15 Jul 2026 DH Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A child who has seen ten cats learns what a machine needs the whole internet of cat photos for, by a learning pathway nobody has solved. — tap to centre the map on it A child who has seen ten cats learnswhat a machine needs the wholeinternet of cat photos for, by alearning pathway nobody has solved. Last stated a month ago 10 Aug 2026 FL Fei-Fei Li — holds since 2026-08-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: A frontier model is measurably more intelligent with no system prompt at all; the prompts that remain are there for the product, not the model. — tap to centre the map on it A frontier model is measurably moreintelligent with no system prompt atall; the prompts that remain arethere for the product, not themodel. Last stated 2 months ago 27 Jul 2026 BC Boris Cherny — holds since 2026-07-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: Language models are already a form of AGI; what the labs are chasing is a further step, not the arrival of general intelligence. — tap to centre the map on it Language models are already a formof AGI; what the labs are chasing isa further step, not the arrival ofgeneral intelligence. Last stated 2 years ago 3 Feb 2025 NL Nathan Lambert — holds since 2025-02-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: The LLM line of research will reach a capability plateau. — tap to centre the map on it The LLM line of research will reacha capability plateau. Last stated a month ago 7 Aug 2026 FC François Chollet — no longer holds since 2026-08-07 — tap for who they are GM Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: The memorize-fetch-apply paradigm behind LLMs can reach arbitrary skill given training data, but it cannot adapt to novelty or acquire new skills on the fly. — tap to centre the map on it The memorize-fetch-apply paradigmbehind LLMs can reach arbitraryskill given training data, but itcannot adapt to novelty or acquirenew skills on the fly. Last stated 2 years ago 20 Dec 2024 FC François Chollet — holds since 2024-12-20 — tap for who they are FC François Chollet — no longer holds since 2024-12-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: LLMs can write a large fraction of the tedious code a developer will ever need to write, and most code on most projects is tedious. — tap to centre the map on it LLMs can write a large fraction ofthe tedious code a developer willever need to write, and most code onmost projects is tedious. Last stated a year ago 2 Jun 2025 TP Thomas Ptacek — holds since 2025-06-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: Once a language model reads the results, search can trade precision for recall, because the model does not care that the right link came ninth. — tap to centre the map on it Once a language model reads theresults, search can trade precisionfor recall, because the model doesnot care that the right link cameninth. Last stated 2 years ago 19 Jun 2024 AS Aravind Srinivas — holds since 2024-06-19 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Demand for intelligence is highly elastic — every fall in inference cost is met with rapidly growing usage. Last stated 23 Aug 2026 · 3 weeks ago Holds Guillermo Rauch Read this korrent →