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← Demand for intelligence is highly elastic — every fall in inference cost is met with rapidly growing usage.
17 connected korrents · 19 moments from 12 Sept 2022 to 23 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs
Everything filed under scaling laws
scaling laws
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energy
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semiconductors
Everything filed under AI and jobs
AI and jobs
In tension Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject
Read this korrent: Demand for intelligence is highly elastic — every fall in inference cost is met with rapidly growing usage.
Demand for intelligence is highly elastic — every fall in inference cost is met with rapidly growing usage.
Last stated 2 months ago
23 Aug 2026
GR
Guillermo Rauch — holds since 2026-08-23 — tap for who they are
In tension: Peak programmer has passed: the economic value of writing code by hand has peaked, and Jevons' paradox will not bail every programmer out. — tap to centre the map on it
Peak programmer has passed: the economic value of writing code by hand has peaked, and Jevons' paradox will not bail every programmer out.
Last stated 7 months ago
8 Apr 2026
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2025-07-12 — tap for who they are
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-04-08 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Demand for inference may be growing exponentially while GPU production can only grow linearly, and the tightening happens where those two lines cross. — tap to centre the map on it
Demand for inference may be growing exponentially while GPU production can only grow linearly, and the tightening happens where those two lines cross.
Last stated 5 months ago
27 May 2026
DR
Dax Raad — holds since 2026-05-27 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There is infinite demand for intelligence. — tap to centre the map on it
There is infinite demand for intelligence.
Last stated 2 months ago
9 Sept 2026
GR
Guillermo Rauch — holds since 2026-09-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: As AI inference costs fall, rising customer expectations will keep service margins from converging toward 100%. — tap to centre the map on it
As AI inference costs fall, rising customer expectations will keep service margins from converging toward 100%.
Last stated a month ago
17 Sept 2026
TT
Tomasz Tunguz — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Demand for cheap, high-quality intelligence is effectively uncapped, which makes it unlike every other commodity — including electricity. — tap to centre the map on it
Demand for cheap, high-quality intelligence is effectively uncapped, which makes it unlike every other commodity — including electricity.
Last stated 3 months ago
28 Jul 2026
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2026-07-28 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Demand for AI computing power is growing faster than supply. — tap to centre the map on it
Demand for AI computing power is growing faster than supply.
Last stated 3 days ago
23 Oct 2026
DT
Derek Thompson — holds since 2026-10-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Inference was never going to be the easy, cheap half of AI, because inference is thinking, and thinking is far harder than reading. — tap to centre the map on it
Inference was never going to be the easy, cheap half of AI, because inference is thinking, and thinking is far harder than reading.
Last stated 7 months ago
23 Mar 2026
JH
Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-03-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Compute is not a market like phones, where demand is capped by how many buyers there are; intelligence is priced like energy, so the only real question is how much the world uses at a given price. — tap to centre the map on it
Compute is not a market like phones, where demand is capped by how many buyers there are; intelligence is priced like energy, so the only real question is how much the world uses at a given price.
Last stated 3 years ago
18 Mar 2024
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Real reasoning will have arrived when spending more compute at inference time reliably buys a dramatically better answer. — tap to centre the map on it
Real reasoning will have arrived when spending more compute at inference time reliably buys a dramatically better answer.
Last stated 2 years ago
19 Jun 2024
AS
Aravind Srinivas — holds since 2024-06-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI. — tap to centre the map on it
A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI.
Last stated 10 months ago
1 Jan 2026
JL
Jason Lemkin — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to. — tap to centre the map on it
A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to.
Last stated 3 months ago
15 Jul 2026
DH
Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls. — tap to centre the map on it
A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls.
Last stated a month ago
17 Sept 2026
PC
Patrick Collison — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact. — tap to centre the map on it
A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact.
Last stated 8 months ago
12 Feb 2026
AK
Andrej Karpathy — holds since 2026-02-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI should be released iteratively rather than built in secret, because AI and surprise do not go together and the world needs time to adapt before it is under the gun. — tap to centre the map on it
AI should be released iteratively rather than built in secret, because AI and surprise do not go together and the world needs time to adapt before it is under the gun.
Last stated 3 years ago
18 Mar 2024
SA
Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An AI can already earn an A on a university economics midterm, years earlier than informed forecasters expected. — tap to centre the map on it
An AI can already earn an A on a university economics midterm, years earlier than informed forecasters expected.
Last stated 4 years ago
21 Mar 2023
BC
Bryan Caplan — holds since 2023-03-21 — tap for who they are
Same subject: AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard. — tap to centre the map on it
AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard.
Last stated 2 years ago
2 Feb 2025
AC
Ajeya Cotra — holds since 2023-08-29 — tap for who they are
SA
Scott Alexander — holds since 2022-09-12 — tap for who they are
MB
Miles Brundage — holds since 2025-02-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: As models keep growing, AI is running out of enough high-quality unique training tokens to keep up. — tap to centre the map on it
As models keep growing, AI is running out of enough high-quality unique training tokens to keep up.
Last stated 4 months ago
24 Jun 2026
LW
Lilian Weng — holds since 2026-06-24 — tap for who they are
in tension same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2015 to today — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
Demand for intelligence is highly elastic — every fall in inference cost is met with rapidly growing usage.
Last stated 23 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Guillermo Rauch
Read this korrent →
In tension with
Peak programmer has passed: the economic value of writing code by hand has peaked, and Jevons' paradox will not bail every programmer out.
Last stated 8 Apr 2026 · 7 months ago
Holds David Heinemeier Hansson
Similar wording
Demand for inference may be growing exponentially while GPU production can only grow linearly, and the tightening happens where those two lines cross.
Last stated 27 May 2026 · 5 months ago
Holds Dax Raad
Similar wording
There is infinite demand for intelligence.
Last stated 9 Sept 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Guillermo Rauch
Similar wording
As AI inference costs fall, rising customer expectations will keep service margins from converging toward 100%.
Last stated 17 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Tomasz Tunguz
Similar wording
Demand for cheap, high-quality intelligence is effectively uncapped, which makes it unlike every other commodity — including electricity.
Last stated 28 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Sam Altman
Similar wording
Demand for AI computing power is growing faster than supply.
Last stated 23 Oct 2026 · 3 days ago
Holds Derek Thompson
Similar wording
Inference was never going to be the easy, cheap half of AI, because inference is thinking, and thinking is far harder than reading.
Last stated 23 Mar 2026 · 7 months ago
Holds Jensen Huang
Similar wording
Compute is not a market like phones, where demand is capped by how many buyers there are; intelligence is priced like energy, so the only real question is how much the world uses at a given price.
Last stated 18 Mar 2024 · 3 years ago
Holds Sam Altman
Similar wording
Real reasoning will have arrived when spending more compute at inference time reliably buys a dramatically better answer.
Last stated 19 Jun 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Aravind Srinivas
Same subject: LLMs
A badly written AI outbound email is evidence of a bad vendor, not of a limit of AI.
Last stated 1 Jan 2026 · 10 months ago
Holds Jason Lemkin
Same subject: LLMs
A bigger context window does not give you a smarter model; the intelligence of the model is what decides how much of that window it can actually attend to.
Last stated 15 Jul 2026 · 3 months ago
Holds Dex Horthy
Same subject: LLMs
A body of publications is easy for AI models to consume via pretraining corpora but cumbersome for most humans due to CAPTCHAs, accounts, and paywalls.
Last stated 17 Sept 2026 · a month ago
Holds Patrick Collison
Same subject: OpenAI
A tiny language model inventing a plausible-sounding name is the same phenomenon as a large one confidently stating a false fact.
Last stated 12 Feb 2026 · 8 months ago
Holds Andrej Karpathy
Same subject: OpenAI
AI should be released iteratively rather than built in secret, because AI and surprise do not go together and the world needs time to adapt before it is under the gun.
Last stated 18 Mar 2024 · 3 years ago
Holds Sam Altman
Same subject: OpenAI
An AI can already earn an A on a university economics midterm, years earlier than informed forecasters expected.
Last stated 21 Mar 2023 · 4 years ago
Holds Bryan Caplan
Same subject: scaling laws
AI progress is faster than people expect, and ordinary scaling can be enough to solve problems that looked very hard.
Last stated 2 Feb 2025 · 2 years ago
Holds Ajeya Cotra Scott Alexander Miles Brundage
Same subject: scaling laws
As models keep growing, AI is running out of enough high-quality unique training tokens to keep up.
Last stated 24 Jun 2026 · 4 months ago
Holds Lilian Weng