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← Peak programmer has passed: the economic value of writing code by hand…

17 connected korrents · 18 moments from 6 Oct 2024 to 4 Oct 2026.

Everything filed under AI and jobs AI and jobs Everything filed under code generation code generation Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under coding agents coding agents Everything filed under design design In tensionIn tension — David Heinemeier Hansson said bothSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Peak programmer has passed: the economic value of writing code by hand has peaked, and Jevons' paradox will not bail every programmer out. Peak programmer has passed: the economicvalue of writing code by hand has peaked,and Jevons' paradox will not bail everyprogrammer out. Last stated 6 months ago 8 Apr 2026 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2025-07-12 — tap for who they are DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-04-08 — tap for who they are In tension: Demand for intelligence is highly elastic — every fall in inference cost is met with rapidly growing usage. — tap to centre the map on it Demand for intelligence is highlyelastic — every fall in inferencecost is met with rapidly growingusage. Last stated 2 months ago 23 Aug 2026 GR Guillermo Rauch — holds since 2026-08-23 — tap for who they are In tension: The pie of software work is exploding, not growing: with the cost of exploring a hunch down a thousandfold, projects nobody would have contemplated get done. — tap to centre the map on it The pie of software work isexploding, not growing: with thecost of exploring a hunch down athousandfold, projects nobody wouldhave contemplated get done. Last stated 6 months ago 8 Apr 2026 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-04-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI makes this a golden age for programming and a more level playing field. — tap to centre the map on it AI makes this a golden age forprogramming and a more level playingfield. Last stated 8 months ago 19 Feb 2026 NR Naval Ravikant — holds since 2026-02-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: This is a really exciting time to be building software, and programming today is more fun than it was in 2012 or 2013. — tap to centre the map on it This is a really exciting time to bebuilding software, and programmingtoday is more fun than it was in2012 or 2013. Last stated 2 years ago 6 Oct 2024 MT Michael Truell — holds since 2024-10-06 — tap for who they are Same subject: As AI makes code cheaper to produce, understanding and architectural design become more valuable. — tap to centre the map on it As AI makes code cheaper to produce,understanding and architecturaldesign become more valuable. Last stated 2 years ago 27 Jan 2025 NE Nelson Elhage — holds since 2025-01-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: The economic trade-off between language verbosity and programmer cost has changed. — tap to centre the map on it The economic trade-off betweenlanguage verbosity and programmercost has changed. Last stated 2 weeks ago 4 Oct 2026 DH David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-10-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: Leaning on AI trades knowledge for speed, and the price may be a generation of programmers in which juniors stay juniors forever. — tap to centre the map on it Leaning on AI trades knowledge forspeed, and the price may be ageneration of programmers in whichjuniors stay juniors forever. Last stated 2 years ago 22 Mar 2025 TH ThePrimeagen — holds since 2025-03-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: It is no longer worth not reading the code in exchange for the occasional two-week hand fix, because the volume of code we can now generate has gone up ten to a hundred times. — tap to centre the map on it It is no longer worth not readingthe code in exchange for theoccasional two-week hand fix,because the volume of code we cannow generate has gone up ten to ahundred times. Last stated 3 months ago 15 Jul 2026 DH Dex Horthy — holds since 2026-07-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI-generated code does not reach the structural quality of the best hand-written software. — tap to centre the map on it AI-generated code does not reach thestructural quality of the besthand-written software. Last stated 4 months ago 7 Jun 2026 SS Salvatore Sanfilippo — holds since 2026-06-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: There is still no white-collar apocalypse in the data: you have to squint to see anything, and even junior developer hiring is below trend rather than falling. — tap to centre the map on it There is still no white-collarapocalypse in the data: you have tosquint to see anything, and evenjunior developer hiring is belowtrend rather than falling. Last stated 5 months ago 4 Jun 2026 AI Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company must cut half its engineers to pay for the other half's tokens, and that is what the layoffs are actually about. — tap to centre the map on it A company must cut half itsengineers to pay for the otherhalf's tokens, and that is what thelayoffs are actually about. Last stated 7 months ago 11 Mar 2026 SY Steve Yegge — holds since 2026-03-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: A likely outcome is that many occupations are eventually mostly replaced by AI while humans still have plenty to do. — tap to centre the map on it A likely outcome is that manyoccupations are eventually mostlyreplaced by AI while humans stillhave plenty to do. Last stated a month ago 7 Sept 2026 NS Noah Smith — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A lot of jobs will probably be created because of AI. — tap to centre the map on it A lot of jobs will probably becreated because of AI. Last stated 3 weeks ago 27 Sept 2026 MG Molly Graham — holds since 2026-09-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI will not eliminate software engineering jobs, but engineers who are highly skilled with AI tools could displace those who are not. — tap to centre the map on it AI will not eliminate softwareengineering jobs, but engineers whoare highly skilled with AI toolscould displace those who are not. Last stated 6 months ago 27 Apr 2026 JS Jon Seager — holds since 2026-04-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: As a capability becomes abundant, its remaining scarce complements become more valuable. — tap to centre the map on it As a capability becomes abundant,its remaining scarce complementsbecome more valuable. Last stated a month ago 13 Sept 2026 VR Venkatesh Rao — holds since 2026-09-13 — tap for who they are Same subject: Many things only worked because there is a limit to the rate at which humans can operate. — tap to centre the map on it Many things only worked becausethere is a limit to the rate atwhich humans can operate. Last stated 3 weeks ago 2 Oct 2026 PG Paul Graham — holds since 2026-10-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: AI coding assistants are leveling the skill gap between software developers who can afford to use them. — tap to centre the map on it AI coding assistants are levelingthe skill gap between softwaredevelopers who can afford to usethem. Last stated 6 months ago 3 May 2026 YX Yihui Xie — holds since 2026-05-03 — tap for who they are DH A view that moved — David Heinemeier Hansson: this claim 8 Apr 2026, then the centre claim 8 Apr 2026
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At the centre Peak programmer has passed: the economic value of writing code by hand has peaked, and Jevons' paradox will not bail every programmer out. Last stated 8 Apr 2026 · 6 months ago Holds David Heinemeier Hansson Read this korrent →