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← Real reasoning will have arrived when spending more compute at…

17 connected korrents · 13 moments on record from 18 Mar 2024 to 15 Aug 2026.

Everything filed under data centers data centers Everything filed under nuclear power nuclear power Everything filed under semiconductors semiconductors Everything filed under scaling laws scaling laws Everything filed under robotics robotics Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Everything filed under reinforcement learning reinforcement learning Everything filed under energy energy Everything filed under solar solar Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Real reasoning will have arrived when spending more compute at inference time reliably buys a dramatically better answer. Real reasoning will have arrived whenspending more compute at inference timereliably buys a dramatically betteranswer. Last stated 2 years ago 19 Jun 2024 AS Aravind Srinivas — holds since 2024-06-19 — tap for who they are Same subject: Demand for inference may be growing exponentially while GPU production can only grow linearly, and the tightening happens where those two lines cross. — tap to centre the map on it Demand for inference may be growingexponentially while GPU productioncan only grow linearly, and thetightening happens where those twolines cross. Last stated 3 months ago 27 May 2026 DR Dax Raad — holds since 2026-05-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: Inference was never going to be the easy, cheap half of AI, because inference is thinking, and thinking is far harder than reading. — tap to centre the map on it Inference was never going to be theeasy, cheap half of AI, becauseinference is thinking, and thinkingis far harder than reading. Last stated 6 months ago 23 Mar 2026 JH Jensen Huang — holds since 2026-03-23 — tap for who they are Same subject: The aha moment for reasoning models will come from computer use and robotics rather than from scientific discovery, because those are the infinitely verifiable playgrounds. — tap to centre the map on it The aha moment for reasoning modelswill come from computer use androbotics rather than from scientificdiscovery, because those are theinfinitely verifiable playgrounds. Last stated 2 years ago 3 Feb 2025 DP Dylan Patel — holds since 2025-02-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: Inference, not training, is now the constraint, and specialized low-energy hardware will beat general-purpose GPUs and TPUs on latency. — tap to centre the map on it Inference, not training, is now theconstraint, and specializedlow-energy hardware will beatgeneral-purpose GPUs and TPUs onlatency. Last stated a month ago 30 Jul 2026 JD Jeff Dean — holds since 2026-07-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: Formal verification is about to become economical, because models are getting good enough at writing the proofs that humans no longer have to. — tap to centre the map on it Formal verification is about tobecome economical, because modelsare getting good enough at writingthe proofs that humans no longerhave to. Last stated 5 months ago 22 Apr 2026 MK Martin Kleppmann — holds since 2026-04-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: Inference is a high-margin business even for a middleman: renting GPUs at scale, some models carry an eighty per cent margin over their sticker price. — tap to centre the map on it Inference is a high-margin businesseven for a middleman: renting GPUsat scale, some models carry aneighty per cent margin over theirsticker price. Last stated 3 months ago 27 May 2026 DR Dax Raad — holds since 2026-05-27 — tap for who they are Same subject: Reasoning is not taught to a model by people: it emerges from reinforcement learning on questions with checkable answers, with no human preference data at all. — tap to centre the map on it Reasoning is not taught to a modelby people: it emerges fromreinforcement learning on questionswith checkable answers, with nohuman preference data at all. Last stated 2 years ago 3 Feb 2025 NL Nathan Lambert — holds since 2025-02-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: Compute is not a market like phones, where demand is capped by how many buyers there are; intelligence is priced like energy, so the only real question is how much the world uses at a given price. — tap to centre the map on it Compute is not a market like phones,where demand is capped by how manybuyers there are; intelligence ispriced like energy, so the only realquestion is how much the world usesat a given price. Last stated 2 years ago 18 Mar 2024 SA Sam Altman — holds since 2024-03-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Most nuclear companies will not have this solved by 2031, and many still will not by 2035, because they have the wrong mindset. — tap to centre the map on it Most nuclear companies will not havethis solved by 2031, and many stillwill not by 2035, because they havethe wrong mindset. Last stated 3 weeks ago 15 Aug 2026 IT Isaiah Taylor — holds since 2026-08-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: Most of the nuclear industry is a modelling and simulation business producing paper reactors, not a business that builds them. — tap to centre the map on it Most of the nuclear industry is amodelling and simulation businessproducing paper reactors, not abusiness that builds them. Last stated 3 weeks ago 15 Aug 2026 IT Isaiah Taylor — holds since 2026-08-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: Nuclear safety should be pursued by reducing the consequence of an accident rather than its odds, because something unpredictable always happens. — tap to centre the map on it Nuclear safety should be pursued byreducing the consequence of anaccident rather than its odds,because something unpredictablealways happens. Last stated 3 weeks ago 15 Aug 2026 IT Isaiah Taylor — holds since 2026-08-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A data centre powered by solar and batteries alone needs an array so oversized that the design is not worth building. — tap to centre the map on it A data centre powered by solar andbatteries alone needs an array sooversized that the design is notworth building. Last stated 2 years ago 18 Apr 2024 AV Austin Vernon — holds since 2024-04-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A solar panel is a manufactured object that produces wealth rather than consuming it, at a hundred times the rate of the best farmland. — tap to centre the map on it A solar panel is a manufacturedobject that produces wealth ratherthan consuming it, at a hundredtimes the rate of the best farmland. Last stated 2 years ago 9 Nov 2024 CH Casey Handmer — holds since 2024-11-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: A solar-powered data centre can cut its power draw a great deal while giving up very little compute, which is how it survives a run of bad weather. — tap to centre the map on it A solar-powered data centre can cutits power draw a great deal whilegiving up very little compute, whichis how it survives a run of badweather. Last stated a year ago 15 Aug 2025 CH Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-08-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: A data centre earns its county far more tax revenue per gallon of water than a golf course does. — tap to centre the map on it A data centre earns its county farmore tax revenue per gallon of waterthan a golf course does. Last stated 11 months ago 11 Oct 2025 AM Andy Masley — holds since 2025-10-11 — tap for who they are Same subject: A data centre should be split into independent power blocks fed directly at 1500 volts DC, rather than run through one central distribution system. — tap to centre the map on it A data centre should be split intoindependent power blocks feddirectly at 1500 volts DC, ratherthan run through one centraldistribution system. Last stated 2 years ago 18 Apr 2024 AV Austin Vernon — holds since 2024-04-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: About a fifth of the US grid could be freed for data centres just by covering the yearly peak with batteries or peaker plants. — tap to centre the map on it About a fifth of the US grid couldbe freed for data centres just bycovering the yearly peak withbatteries or peaker plants. Last stated 6 months ago 13 Mar 2026 DP Dylan Patel — holds since 2026-03-13 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Real reasoning will have arrived when spending more compute at inference time reliably buys a dramatically better answer. Last stated 19 Jun 2024 · 2 years ago Holds Aravind Srinivas Read this korrent →