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← Decision-bias research is itself biased, studying only how heuristics fail and never the strength they supply.
17 connected korrents · 15 moments from 30 Aug 2005 to 12 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under behavioural science
behavioural science
Everything filed under metascience
metascience
Everything filed under attitude change
attitude change
Everything filed under LLMs
LLMs Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Decision-bias research is itself biased, studying only how heuristics fail and never the strength they supply. Decision-bias research is itself biased, studying only how heuristics fail and never the strength they supply. Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Debiasing has largely failed, and that is fine, because the biases identified are experience-built heuristics that only look like biases in hindsight. — tap to centre the map on it Debiasing has largely failed, and that is fine, because the biases identified are experience-built heuristics that only look like biases in hindsight. Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: There is no correct heuristic for science, so what you need is many independent research programmes each running its own bias. — tap to centre the map on it There is no correct heuristic for science, so what you need is many independent research programmes each running its own bias. Last stated 4 months ago
30 Jun 2026
GS
Grant Sanderson — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Confirmation bias, seeking confirming information and dismissing the rest, is an even harder bias to circumvent — tap to centre the map on it Confirmation bias, seeking confirming information and dismissing the rest, is an even harder bias to circumvent Last stated 4 years ago
3 Mar 2023
MM
Michael Mauboussin — holds since 2023-03-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Teaching people a decision model is useless, because the intuition it rests on is built from experience and has no shortcut. — tap to centre the map on it Teaching people a decision model is useless, because the intuition it rests on is built from experience and has no shortcut. Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck. — tap to centre the map on it A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck. Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Algorithms beat people at judgment, which is not intuitive but is true, so they are the first recommended remedy for noise. — tap to centre the map on it Algorithms beat people at judgment, which is not intuitive but is true, so they are the first recommended remedy for noise. Last stated 7 years ago
12 Oct 2019
DK
Daniel Kahneman — holds since 2019-10-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A new technology is judged against perfection rather than against the thing it would replace, which is why it always comes up short. — tap to centre the map on it A new technology is judged against perfection rather than against the thing it would replace, which is why it always comes up short. Last stated 3 months ago
20 Jul 2026
PB
Paul Bloom — holds since 2026-07-20 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Chain-of-thought explanations from language models can be biased because training does not explicitly reward faithful reasoning. — tap to centre the map on it Chain-of-thought explanations from language models can be biased because training does not explicitly reward faithful reasoning. Last stated a year ago
1 May 2025
LW
Lilian Weng — holds since 2025-05-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: “Trust science” is a confused instruction: what deserves trust is the process, not any particular thing it has concluded so far. — tap to centre the map on it “Trust science” is a confused instruction: what deserves trust is the process, not any particular thing it has concluded so far. Last stated 3 years ago
16 Aug 2023
JC
Jason Crawford — holds since 2023-08-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A hotter field with more teams racing on the same question produces less reliable findings, not more. — tap to centre the map on it A hotter field with more teams racing on the same question produces less reliable findings, not more. Last stated 21 years ago
30 Aug 2005
JI
John Ioannidis — holds since 2005-08-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A hyped effect shrinking to a small but real one as the studies improve is a sign that a field is working, not failing. — tap to centre the map on it A hyped effect shrinking to a small but real one as the studies improve is a sign that a field is working, not failing. Last stated 4 years ago
11 Oct 2022
SR
Stuart Ritchie — holds since 2022-10-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Economics journals have made large datasets and heavy statistics the price of making any causal claim at all, which has squeezed qualitative economic history out of the field. — tap to centre the map on it Economics journals have made large datasets and heavy statistics the price of making any causal claim at all, which has squeezed qualitative economic history out of the field. Last stated a year ago
13 Oct 2025
AH
Anton Howes — holds since 2025-10-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Fraudulent papers pass peer review routinely, which is direct evidence that peer review does not do the job it is supposed to do. — tap to centre the map on it Fraudulent papers pass peer review routinely, which is direct evidence that peer review does not do the job it is supposed to do. Last stated 4 years ago
13 Dec 2022
AM
Adam Mastroianni — holds since 2022-12-13 — tap for who they are
Same subject: History has a reproducibility problem worse than science’s replication crisis, because hardly anyone ever goes back to the sources to check what a historian claimed they say. — tap to centre the map on it History has a reproducibility problem worse than science’s replication crisis, because hardly anyone ever goes back to the sources to check what a historian claimed they say. Last stated 3 years ago
29 Aug 2023
AH
Anton Howes — holds since 2023-08-29 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Being professionally offended by every little thing is no longer a dominant disposition — tap to centre the map on it Being professionally offended by every little thing is no longer a dominant disposition Last stated 2 years ago
6 Nov 2024
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2024-11-06 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Decades of warnings about an AI apocalypse do not justify much concern today. — tap to centre the map on it Decades of warnings about an AI apocalypse do not justify much concern today. Last stated a month ago
12 Sept 2026
PF
Paul Ford — holds since 2026-09-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Deliberately shifting a culture is far harder now that everyone can personalise their media and skip past anything they dislike. — tap to centre the map on it Deliberately shifting a culture is far harder now that everyone can personalise their media and skip past anything they dislike. Last stated a year ago
1 Jul 2025
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2025-07-01 — tap for who they are
At the centre
Decision-bias research is itself biased, studying only how heuristics fail and never the strength they supply.
Holds Read this korrent →
Debiasing has largely failed, and that is fine, because the biases identified are experience-built heuristics that only look like biases in hindsight.
Holds
There is no correct heuristic for science, so what you need is many independent research programmes each running its own bias.
Holds
Confirmation bias, seeking confirming information and dismissing the rest, is an even harder bias to circumvent
Holds
Teaching people a decision model is useless, because the intuition it rests on is built from experience and has no shortcut.
Holds
A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck.
Holds
Algorithms beat people at judgment, which is not intuitive but is true, so they are the first recommended remedy for noise.
Holds
A new technology is judged against perfection rather than against the thing it would replace, which is why it always comes up short.
Holds
Chain-of-thought explanations from language models can be biased because training does not explicitly reward faithful reasoning.
Holds
“Trust science” is a confused instruction: what deserves trust is the process, not any particular thing it has concluded so far.
Holds
A hotter field with more teams racing on the same question produces less reliable findings, not more.
Holds
A hyped effect shrinking to a small but real one as the studies improve is a sign that a field is working, not failing.
Holds
Economics journals have made large datasets and heavy statistics the price of making any causal claim at all, which has squeezed qualitative economic history out of the field.
Holds
Fraudulent papers pass peer review routinely, which is direct evidence that peer review does not do the job it is supposed to do.
Holds
History has a reproducibility problem worse than science’s replication crisis, because hardly anyone ever goes back to the sources to check what a historian claimed they say.
Holds
Being professionally offended by every little thing is no longer a dominant disposition
Holds
Decades of warnings about an AI apocalypse do not justify much concern today.
Holds
Deliberately shifting a culture is far harder now that everyone can personalise their media and skip past anything they dislike.
Holds