Tap a claim on the ring to put it at the centre.
← Confirmation bias, seeking confirming information and dismissing the rest, is an even harder bias to circumvent
17 connected korrents · 18 moments from 30 Aug 2005 to 24 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under metascience
metascience
Everything filed under attitude change
attitude change
Everything filed under peer review
peer review
Everything filed under behavioural science
behavioural science
Everything filed under curiosity
curiosity
Everything filed under ambition
ambition
Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject
Read this korrent: Confirmation bias, seeking confirming information and dismissing the rest, is an even harder bias to circumvent
Confirmation bias, seeking confirming information and dismissing the rest, is an even harder bias to circumvent
Last stated 4 years ago
3 Mar 2023
MM
Michael Mauboussin — holds since 2023-03-03 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Decision-bias research is itself biased, studying only how heuristics fail and never the strength they supply. — tap to centre the map on it
Decision-bias research is itself biased, studying only how heuristics fail and never the strength they supply.
Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Debiasing has largely failed, and that is fine, because the biases identified are experience-built heuristics that only look like biases in hindsight. — tap to centre the map on it
Debiasing has largely failed, and that is fine, because the biases identified are experience-built heuristics that only look like biases in hindsight.
Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Changing your mind in light of new facts should be celebrated rather than held against you. — tap to centre the map on it
Changing your mind in light of new facts should be celebrated rather than held against you.
Last stated 4 weeks ago
7 Sept 2026
SG
Stephan Guyenet — holds since 2018-08-30 — tap for who they are
GO
Gergely Orosz — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are
DH
David Heinemeier Hansson — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are
PL
Pieter Levels — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Resisting the discomfort of not knowing leads people to jump to conclusions or decide before they have enough information. — tap to centre the map on it
Resisting the discomfort of not knowing leads people to jump to conclusions or decide before they have enough information.
Last stated 2 years ago
2 Apr 2025
KN
Ken Norton — holds since 2025-04-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable. — tap to centre the map on it
Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable.
Last stated 5 years ago
22 Feb 2022
NN
Neel Nanda — holds since 2022-02-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Paying more attention to what is present than to what is absent is often a mistake, since absence can matter — tap to centre the map on it
Paying more attention to what is present than to what is absent is often a mistake, since absence can matter
Last stated 10 years ago
10 Jan 2017
RC
Robert Cialdini — holds since 2017-01-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Smarter people hold their opinions firmly but revise them quickly when new information appears, while clinging to consistency for its own sake is a mark of lower intelligence. — tap to centre the map on it
Smarter people hold their opinions firmly but revise them quickly when new information appears, while clinging to consistency for its own sake is a mark of lower intelligence.
Last stated 4 weeks ago
7 Sept 2026
PL
Pieter Levels — holds since 2026-09-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Even when advice is understood and believed, people discount it by assuming their own case is the exception. — tap to centre the map on it
Even when advice is understood and believed, people discount it by assuming their own case is the exception.
Last stated 4 years ago
14 Mar 2023
AM
Adam Mastroianni — holds since 2023-03-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: “Trust science” is a confused instruction: what deserves trust is the process, not any particular thing it has concluded so far. — tap to centre the map on it
“Trust science” is a confused instruction: what deserves trust is the process, not any particular thing it has concluded so far.
Last stated 3 years ago
16 Aug 2023
JC
Jason Crawford — holds since 2023-08-16 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A hotter field with more teams racing on the same question produces less reliable findings, not more. — tap to centre the map on it
A hotter field with more teams racing on the same question produces less reliable findings, not more.
Last stated 21 years ago
30 Aug 2005
JI
John Ioannidis — holds since 2005-08-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A hyped effect shrinking to a small but real one as the studies improve is a sign that a field is working, not failing. — tap to centre the map on it
A hyped effect shrinking to a small but real one as the studies improve is a sign that a field is working, not failing.
Last stated 4 years ago
11 Oct 2022
SR
Stuart Ritchie — holds since 2022-10-11 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Activism and ideological conformity weaken scholarly norms in academia. — tap to centre the map on it
Activism and ideological conformity weaken scholarly norms in academia.
Last stated a week ago
24 Sept 2026
RK
Razib Khan — holds since 2026-09-24 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Automatic filters cannot replace community acceptance, and human referees cannot be removed from mathematical publication. — tap to centre the map on it
Automatic filters cannot replace community acceptance, and human referees cannot be removed from mathematical publication.
Last stated 2 months ago
17 Aug 2026
TT
Terence Tao — holds since 2026-08-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Combining multiple AI models' outputs into one final answer tends to discard most of the good ideas that only one model produced. — tap to centre the map on it
Combining multiple AI models' outputs into one final answer tends to discard most of the good ideas that only one model produced.
Last stated 4 months ago
15 Jun 2026
RK
Rohit Krishnan — holds since 2026-06-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Decades of warnings about an AI apocalypse do not justify much concern today. — tap to centre the map on it
Decades of warnings about an AI apocalypse do not justify much concern today.
Last stated 3 weeks ago
12 Sept 2026
PF
Paul Ford — holds since 2026-09-12 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Deliberately shifting a culture is far harder now that everyone can personalise their media and skip past anything they dislike. — tap to centre the map on it
Deliberately shifting a culture is far harder now that everyone can personalise their media and skip past anything they dislike.
Last stated a year ago
1 Jul 2025
AE
Alice Evans — holds since 2025-07-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Ideas that first circulate in private group chats often become mainstream public opinion. — tap to centre the map on it
Ideas that first circulate in private group chats often become mainstream public opinion.
Last stated 2 years ago
19 May 2024
SK
Sriram Krishnan — holds since 2024-05-19 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wording a cloud: claims about one subject, named for it bar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2005 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is today a face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are
At the centre
Confirmation bias, seeking confirming information and dismissing the rest, is an even harder bias to circumvent
Last stated 3 Mar 2023 · 4 years ago
Holds Michael Mauboussin
Read this korrent →
Similar wording
Decision-bias research is itself biased, studying only how heuristics fail and never the strength they supply.
Last stated 9 Aug 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Gary Klein
Similar wording
Debiasing has largely failed, and that is fine, because the biases identified are experience-built heuristics that only look like biases in hindsight.
Last stated 9 Aug 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Gary Klein
Similar wording
Changing your mind in light of new facts should be celebrated rather than held against you.
Last stated 7 Sept 2026 · 4 weeks ago
Holds Stephan Guyenet Gergely Orosz David Heinemeier Hansson Pieter Levels
Similar wording
Resisting the discomfort of not knowing leads people to jump to conclusions or decide before they have enough information.
Last stated 2 Apr 2025 · 2 years ago
Holds Ken Norton
Similar wording
Thinking harder about a decision has diminishing returns because reality is inherently unknowable.
Last stated 22 Feb 2022 · 5 years ago
Holds Neel Nanda
Similar wording
Paying more attention to what is present than to what is absent is often a mistake, since absence can matter
Last stated 10 Jan 2017 · 10 years ago
Holds Robert Cialdini
Similar wording
Smarter people hold their opinions firmly but revise them quickly when new information appears, while clinging to consistency for its own sake is a mark of lower intelligence.
Last stated 7 Sept 2026 · 4 weeks ago
Holds Pieter Levels
Similar wording
Even when advice is understood and believed, people discount it by assuming their own case is the exception.
Last stated 14 Mar 2023 · 4 years ago
Holds Adam Mastroianni
Same subject: metascience
“Trust science” is a confused instruction: what deserves trust is the process, not any particular thing it has concluded so far.
Last stated 16 Aug 2023 · 3 years ago
Holds Jason Crawford
Same subject: metascience
A hotter field with more teams racing on the same question produces less reliable findings, not more.
Last stated 30 Aug 2005 · 21 years ago
Holds John Ioannidis
Same subject: metascience
A hyped effect shrinking to a small but real one as the studies improve is a sign that a field is working, not failing.
Last stated 11 Oct 2022 · 4 years ago
Holds Stuart Ritchie
Same subject: peer review
Activism and ideological conformity weaken scholarly norms in academia.
Last stated 24 Sept 2026 · a week ago
Holds Razib Khan
Same subject: peer review
Automatic filters cannot replace community acceptance, and human referees cannot be removed from mathematical publication.
Last stated 17 Aug 2026 · 2 months ago
Holds Terence Tao
Same subject: peer review
Combining multiple AI models' outputs into one final answer tends to discard most of the good ideas that only one model produced.
Last stated 15 Jun 2026 · 4 months ago
Holds Rohit Krishnan
Same subject: attitude change
Decades of warnings about an AI apocalypse do not justify much concern today.
Last stated 12 Sept 2026 · 3 weeks ago
Holds Paul Ford
Same subject: attitude change
Deliberately shifting a culture is far harder now that everyone can personalise their media and skip past anything they dislike.
Last stated 1 Jul 2025 · a year ago
Holds Alice Evans
Same subject: attitude change
Ideas that first circulate in private group chats often become mainstream public opinion.
Last stated 19 May 2024 · 2 years ago
Holds Sriram Krishnan