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← Bayesianism is a version of the mistaken induction approach to AGI.

17 connected korrents · 16 moments from 3 Oct 2012 to 2 Oct 2026. Nearly all of them are about AGI.

Everything filed under mathematics mathematics Everything filed under measuring intelligence measuring intelligence Everything filed under AI alignment AI alignment Everything filed under energy energy Everything filed under LLMs LLMs Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: Bayesianism is a version of the mistaken induction approach to AGI. Bayesianism is a version of the mistakeninduction approach to AGI. Last stated 14 years ago 3 Oct 2012 DD David Deutsch — holds since 2012-10-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AI supplychain should just buy the index —which works only in the world whereAI ends up commoditised rather thanconcentrated. Last stated 4 months ago 4 Jun 2026 AI Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean. — tap to centre the map on it A human being is not an AGI: we lacka huge amount of knowledge and relyon continual learning instead, socontinual learning is whatsuperintelligence should mean. Last stated 10 months ago 25 Nov 2025 IS Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A language model is no substitute for a well-specified conventional algorithm, so it cannot simply be dropped into a complex problem and trusted. — tap to centre the map on it A language model is no substitutefor a well-specified conventionalalgorithm, so it cannot simply bedropped into a complex problem andtrusted. Last stated a year ago 7 Jun 2025 GM Gary Marcus — holds since 2025-06-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A poor country should prioritise owning a piece of AI over retraining its workers, but it should not bet everything on that. — tap to centre the map on it A poor country should prioritiseowning a piece of AI over retrainingits workers, but it should not beteverything on that. Last stated 4 months ago 4 Jun 2026 PT Phil Trammell — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are Same subject: A strong track record in a technical field is only weak evidence that someone has good strategic judgment about AGI. — tap to centre the map on it A strong track record in a technicalfield is only weak evidence thatsomeone has good strategic judgmentabout AGI. Last stated 2 years ago 22 Mar 2025 NN Neel Nanda — holds since 2025-03-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: A true artificial general intelligence cannot exist without being recognized as a moral subject. — tap to centre the map on it A true artificial generalintelligence cannot exist withoutbeing recognized as a moral subject. Last stated a year ago 10 Jun 2025 SH Samuel Hammond — holds since 2025-06-10 — tap for who they are Same subject: AGI is not a finish line to be crossed but a smear with width, and we are already standing on it. — tap to centre the map on it AGI is not a finish line to becrossed but a smear with width, andwe are already standing on it. Last stated a month ago 3 Sept 2026 PG Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: AGI might create a two-tier split in society — tap to centre the map on it AGI might create a two-tier split insociety Last stated a week ago 2 Oct 2026 PL Pieter Levels — holds since 2026-10-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: A persistently rising dividend yield eventually forces capital appreciation as the market rerates the stock. — tap to centre the map on it A persistently rising dividend yieldeventually forces capitalappreciation as the market reratesthe stock. Last stated 7 months ago 3 Mar 2026 SB Sanjay Bakshi — holds since 2026-03-03 — tap for who they are Same subject: A proof and an explanation are different things, and a theorem can stay an unsolved expository problem long after it is proved. — tap to centre the map on it A proof and an explanation aredifferent things, and a theorem canstay an unsolved expository problemlong after it is proved. Last stated 3 months ago 30 Jun 2026 GS Grant Sanderson — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: A stream of AI-written papers with any error rate at all becomes insufferable, because finding the error costs more than the paper is worth even at ninety-nine percent. — tap to centre the map on it A stream of AI-written papers withany error rate at all becomesinsufferable, because finding theerror costs more than the paper isworth even at ninety-nine percent. Last stated 3 months ago 30 Jun 2026 GS Grant Sanderson — holds since 2026-06-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: The mathematical community as a whole is a superintelligent entity that no single mathematician comes close to replicating. — tap to centre the map on it The mathematical community as awhole is a superintelligent entitythat no single mathematician comesclose to replicating. Last stated a year ago 14 Jun 2025 TT Terence Tao — holds since 2025-06-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: A company that uses an algorithm to nudge customers into behavior that isn't good for them is doing something bad. — tap to centre the map on it A company that uses an algorithm tonudge customers into behavior thatisn't good for them is doingsomething bad. Last stated a year ago 7 Oct 2025 MM Mr. Money Mustache — holds since 2025-10-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. — tap to centre the map on it A control evaluation that reportsunder one per cent risk should beread as several per cent, becausethe evaluation can itself fail. Last stated 2 years ago 7 May 2024 BS Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A unit of measure needs defining, perhaps via a chain of increasingly hard problems, each pair of which a single model can solve. — tap to centre the map on it A unit of measure needs defining,perhaps via a chain of increasinglyhard problems, each pair of which asingle model can solve. Last stated 4 weeks ago 15 Sept 2026 PG Paul Graham — holds since 2026-09-15 — tap for who they are Same subject: Being able to statistically predict what someone will say does not mean you understand them. — tap to centre the map on it Being able to statistically predictwhat someone will say does not meanyou understand them. Last stated 3 weeks ago 18 Sept 2026 CD Cory Doctorow — holds since 2026-09-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: Both the special-purpose-programs view and the blank-slate view of human intelligence are likely incorrect. — tap to centre the map on it Both the special-purpose-programsview and the blank-slate view ofhuman intelligence are likelyincorrect. Last stated 7 years ago 5 Nov 2019 FC François Chollet — holds since 2019-11-05 — tap for who they are
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At the centre Bayesianism is a version of the mistaken induction approach to AGI. Last stated 3 Oct 2012 · 14 years ago Holds David Deutsch Read this korrent →