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← Acting on weak evidence risks degrading the norms of scientific…
17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 18 Aug 2011 to 2 Oct 2026.
Everything filed under AI alignment
AI alignment
Everything filed under behavioural science
behavioural science
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AGI
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startups
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health and fitness Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: Acting on weak evidence risks degrading the norms of scientific rigour, and the whole scientific enterprise absorbs the cost. Acting on weak evidence risks degrading the norms of scientific rigour, and the whole scientific enterprise absorbs the cost. Last stated 10 months ago
30 Nov 2025
GT
Gary Taubes — holds since 2025-11-30 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An argument that comes with neither logic nor data should be judged to have failed, as mere arm waving. — tap to centre the map on it An argument that comes with neither logic nor data should be judged to have failed, as mere arm waving. Last stated 3 weeks ago
14 Sept 2026
RM
Roger Martin — holds since 2026-09-14 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The moment one cause looks far better than every other on thin information is exactly the moment it most needs sceptical investigation. — tap to centre the map on it The moment one cause looks far better than every other on thin information is exactly the moment it most needs sceptical investigation. Last stated 15 years ago
18 Aug 2011
HK
Holden Karnofsky — holds since 2011-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: When experiments are cheap, approval chains are the expensive part. — tap to centre the map on it When experiments are cheap, approval chains are the expensive part. Last stated 3 weeks ago
10 Sept 2026
EV
Elena Verna — holds since 2026-09-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A strong track record in a technical field is only weak evidence that someone has good strategic judgment about AGI. — tap to centre the map on it A strong track record in a technical field is only weak evidence that someone has good strategic judgment about AGI. Last stated 2 years ago
22 Mar 2025
NN
Neel Nanda — holds since 2025-03-22 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Give where there is strong evidence that donations do a lot of good, rather than where weak evidence suggests they might do far more. — tap to centre the map on it Give where there is strong evidence that donations do a lot of good, rather than where weak evidence suggests they might do far more. Last stated 15 years ago
18 Aug 2011
HK
Holden Karnofsky — holds since 2011-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A rising share of statistically insignificant experiments is the signal that a team has exploited an area too far and should go back to exploring. — tap to centre the map on it A rising share of statistically insignificant experiments is the signal that a team has exploited an area too far and should go back to exploring. Last stated 12 months ago
5 Oct 2025
AC
Albert Cheng — holds since 2025-10-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The evidence behind mainstream sleep advice is much weaker than sleep scientists and public health experts present it as being. — tap to centre the map on it The evidence behind mainstream sleep advice is much weaker than sleep scientists and public health experts present it as being. Last stated 5 years ago
10 Feb 2022
AG
Alexey Guzey — holds since 2022-02-10 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Advocates who argue for restricting AI on misuse grounds while privately fearing takeover end up less credible than if they said what they meant. — tap to centre the map on it Advocates who argue for restricting AI on misuse grounds while privately fearing takeover end up less credible than if they said what they meant. Last stated a year ago
5 Apr 2025
HT
Helen Toner — holds since 2025-04-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. — tap to centre the map on it A country outside the AI supply chain should just buy the index — which works only in the world where AI ends up commoditised rather than concentrated. Last stated 4 months ago
4 Jun 2026
AI
Alex Imas — holds since 2026-06-04 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A glorious transhumanist future awaits us if we get AI right — tap to centre the map on it A glorious transhumanist future awaits us if we get AI right Last stated yesterday
2 Oct 2026
HF
Henry Farrell — holds since 2026-10-02 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean. — tap to centre the map on it A human being is not an AGI: we lack a huge amount of knowledge and rely on continual learning instead, so continual learning is what superintelligence should mean. Last stated 10 months ago
25 Nov 2025
IS
Ilya Sutskever — holds since 2025-11-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A belief system combining cosmic stakes, privileged knowledge, personal vocation and an imperative to act can license extraordinary behavior when it conflicts with ordinary constraints. — tap to centre the map on it A belief system combining cosmic stakes, privileged knowledge, personal vocation and an imperative to act can license extraordinary behavior when it conflicts with ordinary constraints. Last stated 2 weeks ago
17 Sept 2026
VR
Venkatesh Rao — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally. — tap to centre the map on it A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally. Last stated 8 months ago
25 Jan 2026
JC
Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck. — tap to centre the map on it A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck. Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. — tap to centre the map on it A control evaluation that reports under one per cent risk should be read as several per cent, because the evaluation can itself fail. Last stated 2 years ago
7 May 2024
BS
Buck Shlegeris — holds since 2024-05-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A deep theoretical understanding to predict AI behavior is unattainable. — tap to centre the map on it A deep theoretical understanding to predict AI behavior is unattainable. Last stated a week ago
23 Sept 2026
TC
Tyler Cowen — holds since 2026-09-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. — tap to centre the map on it A feedback loop that reinforces a behavior pulls it toward whatever improves the loop's own score. Last stated a month ago
26 Aug 2026
HK
Henrik Karlsson — holds since 2026-08-26 — tap for who they are