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← An argument that comes with neither logic nor data should be judged to have failed, as mere arm waving.

17 connected korrents · 17 moments from 7 Nov 2014 to 17 Sept 2026.

Everything filed under politics politics Everything filed under America America Everything filed under behavioural science behavioural science Everything filed under management management Same subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subjectSame subject Read this korrent: An argument that comes with neither logic nor data should be judged to have failed, as mere arm waving. An argument that comes with neither logicnor data should be judged to have failed,as mere arm waving. Last stated 3 weeks ago 14 Sept 2026 RM Roger Martin — holds since 2026-09-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: No testimony suffices to establish a miracle unless its falsehood would be more miraculous than the fact it seeks to establish — tap to centre the map on it No testimony suffices to establish amiracle unless its falsehood wouldbe more miraculous than the fact itseeks to establish DH David Hume — holds since c. 1748 — tap for who they are Same subject: Acting on weak evidence risks degrading the norms of scientific rigour, and the whole scientific enterprise absorbs the cost. — tap to centre the map on it Acting on weak evidence risksdegrading the norms of scientificrigour, and the whole scientificenterprise absorbs the cost. Last stated 10 months ago 30 Nov 2025 GT Gary Taubes — holds since 2025-11-30 — tap for who they are Same subject: "There is no empirical evidence against my position" is not an argument for it. — tap to centre the map on it "There is no empirical evidenceagainst my position" is not anargument for it. Last stated 12 years ago 7 Nov 2014 DL Dan Luu — holds since 2014-11-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: When nobody in the room has data, the chief executive's opinion should win, and that is fine. — tap to centre the map on it When nobody in the room has data,the chief executive's opinion shouldwin, and that is fine. Last stated 2 months ago 2 Aug 2026 TV Tom Verrilli — holds since 2026-08-02 — tap for who they are Same subject: If a scientific controversy exists, there is credible evidence; saying there is none misreads the evidence or defines credible as agreeing with you. — tap to centre the map on it If a scientific controversy exists,there is credible evidence; sayingthere is none misreads the evidenceor defines credible as agreeing withyou. Last stated 8 months ago 8 Feb 2026 GT Gary Taubes — holds since 2026-02-08 — tap for who they are Same subject: Failures are more often explained by time pressure than by stupidity or malice. — tap to centre the map on it Failures are more often explained bytime pressure than by stupidity ormalice. Last stated 2 months ago 17 Aug 2026 FS Fabien Sanglard — holds since 2026-08-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: One good story outweighs a mountain of evidence, because most emotions cannot be argued with. — tap to centre the map on it One good story outweighs a mountainof evidence, because most emotionscannot be argued with. Last stated 8 months ago 20 Jan 2026 DS Derek Sivers — holds since 2026-01-20 — tap for who they are Same subject: The burden of proof for banning an activity should fall on the person proposing the ban, not on those opposing it. — tap to centre the map on it The burden of proof for banning anactivity should fall on the personproposing the ban, not on thoseopposing it. Last stated 3 weeks ago 14 Sept 2026 PB Paul Bloom — holds since 2026-09-14 — tap for who they are Same subject: A backlash against women's economic rise is not automatic; it happens only where politicians choose to mobilise it. — tap to centre the map on it A backlash against women's economicrise is not automatic; it happensonly where politicians choose tomobilise it. Last stated 2 years ago 1 Dec 2024 AE Alice Evans — holds since 2024-12-01 — tap for who they are Same subject: A candidate's political success is increasingly disconnected from their actual record of accomplishment. — tap to centre the map on it A candidate's political success isincreasingly disconnected from theiractual record of accomplishment. Last stated a month ago 31 Aug 2026 DD Daniel W. Drezner — holds since 2026-08-31 — tap for who they are Same subject: A country without cultural unity struggles to provide public goods, because its politics turns into an ethnic spoils system. — tap to centre the map on it A country without cultural unitystruggles to provide public goods,because its politics turns into anethnic spoils system. Last stated 6 months ago 9 Apr 2026 NS Noah Smith — holds since 2026-04-09 — tap for who they are Same subject: A century of fire suppression policy in the American West has dangerously overloaded forests with fuel and made megafires more likely. — tap to centre the map on it A century of fire suppression policyin the American West has dangerouslyoverloaded forests with fuel andmade megafires more likely. Last stated a month ago 22 Aug 2026 JP Jennifer Pahlka — holds since 2026-08-22 — tap for who they are Same subject: A Chinese crewed landing on the Moon before America returns would be a defeat for the free world. — tap to centre the map on it A Chinese crewed landing on the Moonbefore America returns would be adefeat for the free world. Last stated 2 months ago 18 Aug 2026 CH Casey Handmer — holds since 2025-10-31 — tap for who they are EB Eric Berger — holds since 2026-08-18 — tap for who they are Same subject: A city's first rail line comes in at a reasonable cost and every line after it does not, because the follow-up outgrows the in-house team that oversaw the pilot. — tap to centre the map on it A city's first rail line comes in ata reasonable cost and every lineafter it does not, because thefollow-up outgrows the in-house teamthat oversaw the pilot. Last stated 2 years ago 7 Dec 2024 AL Alon Levy — holds since 2024-12-07 — tap for who they are Same subject: A belief system combining cosmic stakes, privileged knowledge, personal vocation and an imperative to act can license extraordinary behavior when it conflicts with ordinary constraints. — tap to centre the map on it A belief system combining cosmicstakes, privileged knowledge,personal vocation and an imperativeto act can license extraordinarybehavior when it conflicts withordinary constraints. Last stated 2 weeks ago 17 Sept 2026 VR Venkatesh Rao — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are Same subject: A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally. — tap to centre the map on it A cancellation-reason drop-downmeasures list order rather thanreasons: randomise the options andevery one of them gets pickedequally. Last stated 8 months ago 25 Jan 2026 JC Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are Same subject: A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck. — tap to centre the map on it A decision cannot be judged by itsoutcome, because good decisions failthrough no fault of the decider andbad ones succeed by luck. Last stated 4 years ago 9 Aug 2022 GK Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
same subject or similar wordinga cloud: claims about one subject, named for itbar: when it was last stated, on a scale from 2014 to today (stretched back to the oldest claim here) — full is todaya face: someone who holds the claim — tap it for who they are

At the centre An argument that comes with neither logic nor data should be judged to have failed, as mere arm waving. Last stated 14 Sept 2026 · 3 weeks ago Holds Roger Martin Read this korrent →