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← The moment one cause looks far better than every other on thin…
17 connected korrents · 14 moments from 18 Aug 2011 to 19 Sept 2026.
Everything filed under behavioural science
behavioural science
Everything filed under startups
startups
Everything filed under curiosity
curiosity
Everything filed under humility
humility
Everything filed under optimism
optimism
Everything filed under design
design Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Same subject Read this korrent: The moment one cause looks far better than every other on thin information is exactly the moment it most needs sceptical investigation. The moment one cause looks far better than every other on thin information is exactly the moment it most needs sceptical investigation. Last stated 15 years ago
18 Aug 2011
HK
Holden Karnofsky — holds since 2011-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Occasionally suspending your trust in everyone and digging into one question as deeply as you can is the single most formative thing you can do for how you think. — tap to centre the map on it Occasionally suspending your trust in everyone and digging into one question as deeply as you can is the single most formative thing you can do for how you think. Last stated 5 years ago
23 Nov 2021
HK
Holden Karnofsky — holds since 2021-11-23 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Give where there is strong evidence that donations do a lot of good, rather than where weak evidence suggests they might do far more. — tap to centre the map on it Give where there is strong evidence that donations do a lot of good, rather than where weak evidence suggests they might do far more. Last stated 15 years ago
18 Aug 2011
HK
Holden Karnofsky — holds since 2011-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Skepticism about a new technology only works if it is total enough to be turned on itself, which is what forces you to stay curious. — tap to centre the map on it Skepticism about a new technology only works if it is total enough to be turned on itself, which is what forces you to stay curious. Last stated 7 months ago
7 Apr 2026
MF
Martin Fowler — holds since 2026-04-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: It makes sense to load up on the very few good insights one has rather than pretend to know everything about everything at all times — tap to centre the map on it It makes sense to load up on the very few good insights one has rather than pretend to know everything about everything at all times
CM
Charlie Munger — holds since c. 1994 — tap for who they are
Same subject: The deeper anyone digs into a charity's cost-effectiveness estimate, the more unwarranted optimism they find, so the right prior on giving is a sceptical one. — tap to centre the map on it The deeper anyone digs into a charity's cost-effectiveness estimate, the more unwarranted optimism they find, so the right prior on giving is a sceptical one. Last stated 15 years ago
18 Aug 2011
HK
Holden Karnofsky — holds since 2011-08-18 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Doing PR before you have evidence customers want the thing is risky, because the publicity creates a sunk cost that makes the team see a failing product through. — tap to centre the map on it Doing PR before you have evidence customers want the thing is risky, because the publicity creates a sunk cost that makes the team see a failing product through. Last stated a year ago
5 Oct 2025
AC
Albert Cheng — holds since 2025-10-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A rising share of statistically insignificant experiments is the signal that a team has exploited an area too far and should go back to exploring. — tap to centre the map on it A rising share of statistically insignificant experiments is the signal that a team has exploited an area too far and should go back to exploring. Last stated a year ago
5 Oct 2025
AC
Albert Cheng — holds since 2025-10-05 — tap for who they are
Same subject: An audience wants a maker's judgment more than their research. — tap to centre the map on it An audience wants a maker's judgment more than their research. Last stated a month ago
19 Sept 2026
DS
David Sparks — holds since 2026-09-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A belief system combining cosmic stakes, privileged knowledge, personal vocation and an imperative to act can license extraordinary behavior when it conflicts with ordinary constraints. — tap to centre the map on it A belief system combining cosmic stakes, privileged knowledge, personal vocation and an imperative to act can license extraordinary behavior when it conflicts with ordinary constraints. Last stated a month ago
17 Sept 2026
VR
Venkatesh Rao — holds since 2026-09-17 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally. — tap to centre the map on it A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally. Last stated 9 months ago
25 Jan 2026
JC
Jason Cohen — holds since 2026-01-25 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck. — tap to centre the map on it A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck. Last stated 4 years ago
9 Aug 2022
GK
Gary Klein — holds since 2022-08-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Blaming and shaming people only makes them defensive, dig in their heels, or tune out, rather than change their minds. — tap to centre the map on it Blaming and shaming people only makes them defensive, dig in their heels, or tune out, rather than change their minds. Last stated 4 months ago
9 Jun 2026
AG
Adam Grant — holds since 2026-06-09 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Imaginary social trends can spuriously shape people's real beliefs and behaviors. — tap to centre the map on it Imaginary social trends can spuriously shape people's real beliefs and behaviors. Last stated 5 years ago
7 Mar 2022
AM
Adam Mastroianni — holds since 2022-03-07 — tap for who they are
Same subject: Public scrutiny of a new technology tends to jump only after a deadly incident, otherwise rising slowly over decades — tap to centre the map on it Public scrutiny of a new technology tends to jump only after a deadly incident, otherwise rising slowly over decades Last stated 9 months ago
15 Jan 2026
MB
Miles Brundage — holds since 2026-01-15 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A product that speeds up turning intention into reality increases appetite for continued use, then charges for that continuation. — tap to centre the map on it A product that speeds up turning intention into reality increases appetite for continued use, then charges for that continuation. Last stated 2 months ago
19 Aug 2026
KR
Kenneth Reitz — holds since 2026-08-19 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A small amount of friction is enough to reshape a behavior, because most wants are not strong enough to survive a minor inconvenience. — tap to centre the map on it A small amount of friction is enough to reshape a behavior, because most wants are not strong enough to survive a minor inconvenience. Last stated 10 months ago
1 Jan 2026
JC
James Clear — holds since 2026-01-01 — tap for who they are
Same subject: A society cannot remove the desire for status, only change what earns it. — tap to centre the map on it A society cannot remove the desire for status, only change what earns it. Last stated 2 months ago
6 Sept 2026
RH
Rob Henderson — holds since 2026-09-06 — tap for who they are
At the centre
The moment one cause looks far better than every other on thin information is exactly the moment it most needs sceptical investigation.
Holds Read this korrent →
Occasionally suspending your trust in everyone and digging into one question as deeply as you can is the single most formative thing you can do for how you think.
Holds
Give where there is strong evidence that donations do a lot of good, rather than where weak evidence suggests they might do far more.
Holds
Skepticism about a new technology only works if it is total enough to be turned on itself, which is what forces you to stay curious.
Holds
It makes sense to load up on the very few good insights one has rather than pretend to know everything about everything at all times
Last stated c. 1994
Holds
The deeper anyone digs into a charity's cost-effectiveness estimate, the more unwarranted optimism they find, so the right prior on giving is a sceptical one.
Holds
Doing PR before you have evidence customers want the thing is risky, because the publicity creates a sunk cost that makes the team see a failing product through.
Holds
A rising share of statistically insignificant experiments is the signal that a team has exploited an area too far and should go back to exploring.
Holds
An audience wants a maker's judgment more than their research.
Holds
A belief system combining cosmic stakes, privileged knowledge, personal vocation and an imperative to act can license extraordinary behavior when it conflicts with ordinary constraints.
Holds
A cancellation-reason drop-down measures list order rather than reasons: randomise the options and every one of them gets picked equally.
Holds
A decision cannot be judged by its outcome, because good decisions fail through no fault of the decider and bad ones succeed by luck.
Holds
Blaming and shaming people only makes them defensive, dig in their heels, or tune out, rather than change their minds.
Holds
Imaginary social trends can spuriously shape people's real beliefs and behaviors.
Holds
Public scrutiny of a new technology tends to jump only after a deadly incident, otherwise rising slowly over decades
Holds
A product that speeds up turning intention into reality increases appetite for continued use, then charges for that continuation.
Holds
A small amount of friction is enough to reshape a behavior, because most wants are not strong enough to survive a minor inconvenience.
Holds
A society cannot remove the desire for status, only change what earns it.
Holds